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Fight Matrix

Inactivity – Does Age Matter?

Posted on July 22, 2026 by Jason

Recently, I thought about the effects of inactivity and wondered if age is a compounding factor. Does an older fighter suffer more from inactivity than a younger fighter?

Below, are the statistics for win % by the amount of inactivity prior to a fight.

Win% By Inactivity
Once we get past the slight improvement seen in the 91-180d segment, it is a pretty gradual decline in win %.

 

Let’s look at some age-specific data.  The age ranges themselves were driven by my desire to split the fight data (by count) as evenly as possible.

Win% Difference from Avg

It seems that all age groups benefit from staying active, especially the “Under 23” group.  They see a win percentage improvement at inactivity periods of slightly beyond one year!  I would not take the large dip at the higher inactivity periods for the “Under 23” group very seriously.  The data is thin — how many fighters will be in this age group and have that many years of inactivity since their last fight?  Not many.

All in all, the age groups track pretty similarly, but the older groups seem to handle inactivity a little better than the younger groups.

Win Diff 2

Interesting.  Perhaps maturity plays a role here?  I would’ve expected the opposite…

Taking the sport as a whole, it is easy to say that staying active matters, but how much impact do other factors have, like matchmaking?  Is a fighter returning from 4 years of inactivity more likely to have a favorable match-up or a terrible one?  Does this impact fighters of different ages in a similar manner?

Note: The data that drives the line charts is a subset of the data used for the win percentages in the first image as we do not have birth dates for all fighters. The win rate for fighters with birth dates is much higher than those without.  Hardly anyone records the birth date of a 0-2 fighter.

I welcome discussion in the comments section…

 

 

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov (07-25-2026)

Posted on July 20, 2026 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2][#2UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1, -534) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1, +389)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2025-10-04: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-03-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#34LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (2-0-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#9LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-07-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#65LHW] Billy Elekana (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -534 80.46%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2209.49 +335.13 87.31%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2195.27 +286.65 83.89%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2293.96 +304.82 85.25%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 1995.69 +128.49 67.69%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 34.1, Bogdan Guskov 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 294, Bogdan Guskov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#10UFC] Steve Erceg (14-4-0, -122) vs. [*] Ramazonbek Temirov (19-3-0, +100)
Steve Erceg is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#14FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#65FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazonbek Temirov (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#24FLY] Charles Johnson (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-12: W vs. [*] C.J. Vergara (12-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:50 of round 1
2023-09-24: W vs. [#224FLY] Takaki Soya (13-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -122 52.35%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1819.41 +23.69 53.40%
Elo Modified Ramazonbek Temirov 1803.60 +8.34 51.20%
Glicko-1 Ramazonbek Temirov 1857.01 +24.71 53.55%
WHR Ramazonbek Temirov 1696.92 +4.01 50.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 31.0, Ramazonbek Temirov 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 84, Ramazonbek Temirov 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#117][#57UFC] Islam Dulatov (12-1-0, -734) vs. [*] Wellington Turman (18-8-0, +519)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Dulatov (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#459WW] Adam Fugitt (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-10-08: W vs. [#339MW] Vanilton Antunes (16-9-0) via KO (Elbow) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#735MW] Ioannis Palaiologos (20-15-1) via TKO (Knee to the Body) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (0-3-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#217MW] Jared Gooden (23-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-06-24: L vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#93MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Dulatov -734 84.48%
Elo K170 Islam Dulatov 1667.86 +228.68 78.86%
Elo Modified Islam Dulatov 1650.34 +187.98 74.69%
Glicko-1 Islam Dulatov 1745.79 +291.68 84.27%
WHR Islam Dulatov 1592.21 +239.28 79.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Dulatov 28.0, Wellington Turman 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Dulatov 371, Wellington Turman 966
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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“It’s not a joke” – Anthony Joshua believes Ilia Topuria got too caught up in the fame before the Justin Gaethje Fight

Posted on July 20, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Anthony Joshua references Ilia Topuria’s shocking defeat to Justin Gaethje on the UFC White House card when discussing his own mindset in the build-up to his highly anticipated return.

The UFC Freedom event held at the White House in Washington, DC, was headlined by a lightweight title clash between two all-time greats in mixed martial arts (MMA), Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje.

Many believed Topuria would be too much for Gaethje, given that he was undefeated at the time and had knocked out huge names such as Alexander Volkanovski, Max Holloway, and Charles Oliveira.

Gaethje was coming into the fight as the much older man at 37 years old, and he had also suffered losses to the likes of Dustin Poirier and Charles Oliveira.

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FightMatrix Undisputed Interview with Judo Senseis: Chris Reid and Haley Beebe

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Former WBC Africa Champion Javan Buyu Headlines International Boxing Card in Nairobi on July 25

Posted on July 12, 2026 by Heather

SportPesa Boxing presents a stacked night featuring title contention, experienced international talent, and Moroccan fighters proudly representing their city.

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Polish players have more options than ever when it comes to online casinos, yet some platforms keep showing up in conversations year after year. Fireball Casino is one of them, and the reasons are specific enough to be worth looking at closely.

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Mobile gaming has changed how players interact with online casinos, and Bison Casino is no exception. The app brings the full casino experience to your phone, with no quality loss compared to the desktop version.

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Lemon Casino Official Website Advantages

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When players choose where to spend time and money online, they are not simply selecting a game catalogue. They are deciding which brand they trust enough to hand over personal data, payment details, and real money. That decision begins the moment they land on a website, and the official platform is where trust either forms or collapses.

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Why Goldenbet Is Becoming a Top Real Money Casino Choice in 2026

Posted on July 22, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The online casino industry has changed significantly over the last few years, giving players more choices than ever before. Whether someone enjoys spinning slot reels, playing live Blackjack, or placing bets on major sporting events, modern real money casinos offer entertainment that can be accessed from almost anywhere. With so many platforms competing for attention, players now expect much more than attractive welcome bonuses. They look for secure payments, reliable customer support, smooth mobile performance, and a wide selection of games.

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The Ability of International Tournaments to Bring Strangers Together

Posted on July 21, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Tournaments are events that unite millions of people by their common emotions. Fans leave their work and spend days watching a series of matches. The atmosphere that emerges is impossible to describe with words; this feeling is just something to experience personally. Tune in to one of the most expected tournaments and feel the spirit of unity among fans.

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Posted on July 19, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Nobody who follows MMA seriously is going to admit that cricket has anything to teach them. The sports exist on opposite ends of some invisible spectrum of what counts as properly athletic, and the fans of each tend to view the other with a mixture of confusion and mild contempt. But spend five days watching a Test match at a critical point in the series and then try to tell me the psychological architecture is different to what happens in a championship fight. It is not. The surfaces are different. The clothing is different. The cricket betting markets look nothing like the MMA ones. Underneath all of that, both sports are doing the same thing to the people competing in them, and the people who bet on them are reading the same signals, whether they know it or not.

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Over 1,500 games, a welcome package worth up to A$5,000 plus 75 free spins, crypto and AUD banking, a live dealer section running around the clock: that’s the short version of what JokaVipRoom puts on the table for Australian players. Licensed under Curaçao eGaming, it operates with SSL encryption and RNG certification across the board. The mobile platform runs in-browser on iOS and Android. Support is available 24/7. Good ground to start from.

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Betflix is the increasingly preferred platform for fans of online casino and slots

Posted on July 18, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The online casino sector is always innovating, and players are searching for the sites and apps that provide both the games and experience they demand with minimal hassle. Nowadays, gamers expect games to run quickly across all devices, transactions to be fast and secure, and the navigation on the site to be instinctive. Game makers are improving their platforms to satisfy those desires.

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Responsible gaming tools for sports wagering communities

Posted on July 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Responsible gaming tools are essential for sports wagering communities, especially where combat sports fans regularly engage with operator platforms. As event-driven wagering can heighten player activity, integrated controls on the betting platform provide crucial support for maintaining safer play and balanced entertainment.

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Ultra-Fast Networks Impact on Australian Gambling: What Has Changed?

Posted on July 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The development of internet infrastructure affects various areas of activity, and gambling is no exception. The emergence of low-latency networks, large-scale fiber-optic routes and the spread of 5G are creating conditions for new forms that are being actively implemented by free spins no deposit Australia casino platforms.

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Fight Camp Doesn’t Pause for Finals: How MMA Student-Athletes Stay Ahead in the Classroom

Posted on July 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

For most college students, finals week means library marathons and too much coffee. For an MMA athlete, it can also mean bruised ribs from sparring, an upcoming weight cut, and a statistics exam that suddenly feels just as intimidating as the opponent waiting inside the cage. That’s the reality thousands of student-athletes live every semester, where academic deadlines and fight preparation collide without either one slowing down.

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