Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Thiago Santos (21-9-0, -173) vs. [#16] Johnny Walker (18-5-0, +143)
Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (0-3-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#3LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-07-06: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#20LHW] Ryan Spann (19-7-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1
2020-03-14: L vs. [#18LHW] Nikita Krylov (27-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#12LHW] Corey Anderson (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Thiago Santos | -173 | 60.62% | |
| Elo K170 | Thiago Santos | 1845.08 | +67.72 | 57.67% |
| Elo Modified | Thiago Santos | 1897.72 | +110.04 | 61.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Thiago Santos | 1990.18 | +133.61 | 68.33% |
| WHR | Thiago Santos | 1878.79 | +139.27 | 65.39% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 210, Johnny Walker 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0, -204) vs. [#9] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0, +167)
Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#10BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#14FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [*] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Aspen Ladd | -204 | 64.18% | |
| Elo K170 | Aspen Ladd | 1637.05 | +118.20 | 63.18% |
| Elo Modified | Aspen Ladd | 1658.73 | +35.65 | 53.89% |
| Glicko-1 | Aspen Ladd | 1662.62 | +107.67 | 65.02% |
| WHR | Aspen Ladd | 1661.22 | +154.22 | 66.92% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aspen Ladd 665, Macy Chiasson 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aspen Ladd leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#12] Kevin Holland (21-7-0, -152) vs. [#74] Kyle Daukaus (10-2-0, +125)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#6MW] Marvin Vettori (16-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#4MW] Derek Brunson (23-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-12-12: W vs. [*] Ronaldo Souza (26-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (1-2-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#64MW] Phil Hawes (11-2-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#134MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#24MW] Brendan Allen (17-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kevin Holland | -152 | 57.57% | |
| Elo K170 | Kevin Holland | 1808.05 | +240.31 | 74.99% |
| Elo Modified | Kevin Holland | 1783.36 | +178.44 | 68.59% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Holland | 1868.74 | +241.55 | 80.06% |
| WHR | Kevin Holland | 1727.81 | +179.99 | 69.47% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 175, Kyle Daukaus 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#30] Krzysztof Jotko (22-5-0, -171) vs. [#35LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-6-0, +140)
Last 3 Fights: Krzysztof Jotko (2-1-0)
2021-05-01: L vs. [#11MW] Sean Strickland (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#35MW] Eryk Anders (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#43MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (14-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Misha Cirkunov (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#20LHW] Ryan Spann (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-09-14: W vs. [#25LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-2-0) via Submission (Peruvian Necktie) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#16LHW] Johnny Walker (18-5-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Krzysztof Jotko | -171 | 60.22% | |
| Elo K170 | Krzysztof Jotko | 1776.34 | +136.52 | 65.10% |
| Elo Modified | Krzysztof Jotko | 1770.20 | +111.34 | 61.95% |
| Glicko-1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 1764.26 | +85.92 | 62.12% |
| WHR | Krzysztof Jotko | 1699.09 | +96.55 | 60.85% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Krzysztof Jotko 154, Misha Cirkunov 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#55] Joe Solecki (11-2-0, -150) vs. [#80] Jared Gordon (17-4-0, +122)
Last 3 Fights: Joe Solecki (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#69LW] Jim Miller (32-16-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#126LW] Austin Hubbard (13-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:51 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Matt Wiman (16-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2021-02-20: W vs. [#207FW] Danny Chavez (11-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#169FW] Chris Fishgold (18-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD] Charles Oliveira (31-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joe Solecki | -150 | 57.11% | |
| Elo K170 | Joe Solecki | 1746.72 | +33.82 | 53.86% |
| Elo Modified | Joe Solecki | 1737.55 | +20.95 | 52.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Joe Solecki | 1760.48 | +55.28 | 57.89% |
| WHR | Jared Gordon | 1688.40 | +75.38 | 58.52% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joe Solecki 175, Jared Gordon 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#12] Karol Rosa (14-3-0, -336) vs. [#19] Bethe Correia (11-5-1, +256)
Last 3 Fights: Karol Rosa (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#31BW] Joselyne Edwards (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#20BW] Vanessa Melo (11-8-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#48FLY] Lara Procopio (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
Last 3 Fights: Bethe Correia (1-2-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#14FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#5BW] Irene Aldana (13-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:24 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Karol Rosa | -336 | 73.28% | |
| Elo K170 | Karol Rosa | 1553.38 | +237.76 | 74.77% |
| Elo Modified | Karol Rosa | 1538.93 | +179.01 | 68.65% |
| Glicko-1 | Karol Rosa | 1538.48 | +219.42 | 77.95% |
| WHR | Karol Rosa | 1533.62 | +170.05 | 68.50% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karol Rosa 238, Bethe Correia 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Bantamweight (135)
[#114] Douglas Silva de Andrade (26-4-0, -231) vs. [#290] Gaetano Pirrello (15-6-1, +185)
Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (1-2-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#65FW] Lerone Murphy (10-0-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-11-16: W vs. [*] Renan Barao (34-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#2BW] Petr Yan (15-2-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Gaetano Pirrello (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#31FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Enzo Maria Iezzi (7-6-0) via TKO in 2:11 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Percy Herrera (8-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:13 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Douglas Silva de Andrade | -231 | 66.54% | |
| Elo K170 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1550.06 | +175.17 | 69.00% |
| Elo Modified | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1582.49 | +197.70 | 70.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1600.51 | +224.35 | 78.44% |
| WHR | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1608.29 | +230.28 | 74.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Douglas Silva de Andrade 255, Gaetano Pirrello 255
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Lightweight (155)
[#89] Devonte Smith (11-2-0, -162) vs. [#100] Jamie Mullarkey (14-4-0, +134)
Last 3 Fights: Devonte Smith (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#154FW] Justin Jaynes (16-8-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-08-17: L vs. [#129LW] Khama Worthy (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [*] Dong Hyun Ma (17-11-3) via TKO (Punches) in 3:53 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (1-2-0)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#129LW] Khama Worthy (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1
2020-10-17: L vs. [#160LW] Fares Ziam (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#22LW] Brad Riddell (10-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Devonte Smith | -162 | 59.12% | |
| Elo K170 | Devonte Smith | 1645.16 | +203.57 | 71.71% |
| Elo Modified | Devonte Smith | 1675.97 | +185.05 | 69.21% |
| Glicko-1 | Devonte Smith | 1667.28 | +133.28 | 68.29% |
| WHR | Devonte Smith | 1574.99 | +65.37 | 57.41% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devonte Smith 238, Jamie Mullarkey 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jamie Mullarkey leads 1-0
.
Bantamweight (135)
[*] Alejandro Perez (21-8-1, -226) vs. [*] Johnny Eduardo (28-12-0, +180)
Last 3 Fights: Alejandro Perez (1-2-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#19BW] Yadong Song (17-5-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:04 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#23BW] Cody Stamann (19-4-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#91BW] Eddie Wineland (24-15-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Johnny Eduardo (1-2-0)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#125FW] Nathaniel Wood (17-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:18 of round 2
2017-06-03: L vs. [*] Matthew Lopez (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2016-11-19: W vs. [*] Manny Gamburyan (15-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alejandro Perez | -226 | 66.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Alejandro Perez | 1599.68 | +91.10 | 60.26% |
| Elo Modified | Alejandro Perez | 1604.38 | +84.45 | 59.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Alejandro Perez | 1603.09 | +58.16 | 58.29% |
| WHR | Alejandro Perez | 1496.89 | +88.72 | 60.00% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alejandro Perez 819, Johnny Eduardo 1219
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alejandro Perez leads 2-1
.
Welterweight (170)
[#63] Niko Price (14-5-0, -133) vs. [#69] Alex Oliveira (22-10-1, +108)
Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#48WW] Michel Pereira (27-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-19: NC vs. [#32WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#5WW] Vicente Luque (21-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (1-2-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#43WW] Randy Brown (13-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2020-10-24: L vs. [#36WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (14-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-07-25: W vs. [#252WW] Peter Sobotta (17-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Niko Price | -133 | 54.27% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Oliveira | 1607.32 | +12.10 | 51.38% |
| Elo Modified | Niko Price | 1632.43 | +12.93 | 51.41% |
| Glicko-1 | Niko Price | 1654.05 | +40.08 | 55.74% |
| WHR | Niko Price | 1620.78 | +18.96 | 52.16% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 84, Alex Oliveira 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Niko Price leads 2-1
.
Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Casey ONeill (7-0-0, -213) vs. [#25] Antonina Shevchenko (9-3-0, +171)
Last 3 Fights: Casey ONeill (3-0-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#48FLY] Lara Procopio (7-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 3
2021-02-20: W vs. [#56FLY] Shana Dobson (4-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 2
2020-09-25: W vs. [#173FLY] Christina Stelliou (6-4-0) via TKO in 2:12 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (1-2-0)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#13FLY] Andrea Lee (12-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:52 of round 2
2020-11-21: W vs. [#31FLY] Ariane Lipski (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 2
2020-05-30: L vs. [#3FLY/#10P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (16-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Casey ONeill | -213 | 64.84% | |
| Elo K170 | Casey ONeill | 1496.27 | +129.41 | 64.37% |
| Elo Modified | Casey ONeill | 1556.25 | +119.89 | 62.83% |
| Glicko-1 | Casey ONeill | 1542.67 | +110.53 | 65.39% |
| WHR | Casey ONeill | 1465.65 | +40.44 | 54.61% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey ONeill 105, Antonina Shevchenko 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Women Bantamweight (135)
[#32] Stephanie Egger (5-2-0, +106) vs. [*] Shanna Young (7-3-0, -131)
Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#17FLY] Tracy Cortez (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-05: W vs. [NA] Cinja Kiefer (4-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-07-28: W vs. [#46FW] Reina Miura (12-4-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Shanna Young (1-2-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#9BW] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-11-01: W vs. [#47FW] Maiju Suotama (8-6-0) via UD (29-27, 28-27, 28-26)
2019-08-13: L vs. [#87FLY] Sarah Alpar (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:55 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Shanna Young | -131 | 53.88% | |
| Elo K170 | Stephanie Egger | 1259.28 | +33.40 | 53.81% |
| Elo Modified | Stephanie Egger | 1295.21 | +10.70 | 51.17% |
| Glicko-1 | Stephanie Egger | 1304.25 | +74.33 | 60.54% |
| WHR | Stephanie Egger | 1273.14 | +119.36 | 63.30% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Egger 357, Shanna Young 595
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Lightweight (155)
[#29] Alexander Hernandez (12-4-0, -350) vs. [#210] Mike Breeden (10-3-0, +270)
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#17LW] Thiago Moises (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#75LW] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:46 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#28LW] Drew Dober (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Mike Breeden (2-1-0)
2021-05-07: W vs. [#755LW] Nick Compton (12-9-0) via UD ()
2020-12-11: W vs. [#535LW] Ken Beverly (9-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-08-25: L vs. [#214LW] Anthony Romero (9-1-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexander Hernandez | -350 | 74.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Hernandez | 1708.35 | +255.06 | 76.23% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Hernandez | 1702.30 | +208.72 | 71.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Hernandez | 1769.13 | +246.38 | 80.51% |
| WHR | Alexander Hernandez | 1667.28 | +256.78 | 76.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 217, Mike Breeden 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Kevin Holland
Highest Stored DD Rating: Thiago Santos
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Thiago Santos vs. Johnny Walker
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Aspen Ladd vs. Macy Chiasson
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-9-26