Welterweight (170)
[#2] Colby Covington (16-3-0, -331) vs. [#5] Jorge Masvidal (35-15-0, +259)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #21 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#25WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (1-2-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#19WW] Nate Diaz (20-13-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Colby Covington | -331 | 73.38% | |
| Elo K170 | Colby Covington | 2220.47 | +70.39 | 57.97% |
| Elo Modified | Colby Covington | 2161.33 | +30.11 | 53.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Jorge Masvidal | 2236.11 | +23.39 | 53.36% |
| WHR | Colby Covington | 2029.94 | +57.03 | 56.48% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 119, Jorge Masvidal 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Colby Covington leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) vs. [#17] Renato Carneiro (16-4-1)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2020-11-14: W vs. [*] Paul Felder (17-6-0) via SD (50-45, 50-45, 47-48)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#10WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#7WW] Leon Edwards (19-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#38LW] Alexander Hernandez (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-06-26: W vs. [#84LW] Jai Herbert (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 2
2020-12-12: L vs. [#13LW] Rafael Fiziev (11-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Rafael dos Anjos | 2004.83 | +154.17 | 66.92% |
| Elo Modified | Rafael dos Anjos | 1937.35 | +100.20 | 60.79% |
| Glicko-1 | Rafael dos Anjos | 1967.57 | +85.96 | 62.12% |
| WHR | Rafael dos Anjos | 1880.83 | +55.01 | 56.25% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 476, Renato Carneiro 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Renato Carneiro leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Edson Barboza (22-10-0, +139) vs. [*] Bryce Mitchell (14-0-0, -166)
Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#10FW] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3
2021-05-15: W vs. [#21FW] Shane Burgos (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 3
2020-10-10: W vs. [#83FW] Makwan Amirkhani (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (3-0-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#38FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#144LW] Charles Rosa (14-7-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#577LW] Matt Sayles (8-4-0) via Submission (Twister) in 4:20 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bryce Mitchell | -166 | 59.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Bryce Mitchell | 1845.61 | +37.28 | 54.25% |
| Elo Modified | Bryce Mitchell | 1851.79 | +13.55 | 51.48% |
| Glicko-1 | Edson Barboza | 1888.27 | +62.35 | 58.88% |
| WHR | Edson Barboza | 1752.82 | +36.38 | 54.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 189, Bryce Mitchell 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0, -336) vs. [#77] Alex Oliveira (22-11-1, +259)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#46LHW] Kyle Daukaus (11-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (17-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#6MW] Derek Brunson (23-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (0-3-0)
2021-10-02: L vs. [#54WW] Niko Price (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#41WW] Randy Brown (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2020-10-24: L vs. [#31WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (15-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:40 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kevin Holland | -336 | 73.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Kevin Holland | 1808.17 | +288.54 | 78.89% |
| Elo Modified | Kevin Holland | 1798.34 | +253.45 | 75.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Holland | 1868.75 | +320.96 | 86.39% |
| WHR | Kevin Holland | 1714.95 | +138.21 | 65.28% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 154, Alex Oliveira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#28] Sergey Spivak (13-3-0, -221) vs. [#50] Greg Hardy (7-4-0, +176)
Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#20HW+] Tom Aspinall (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2021-06-19: W vs. [#23HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-16-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-20: W vs. [#76HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (1-2-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#5HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2020-12-19: L vs. [#12HW+] Marcin Tybura (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2020-10-31: W vs. [#64HW+] Maurice Greene (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergey Spivak | -221 | 65.52% | |
| Elo K170 | Sergey Spivak | 1624.50 | +135.33 | 64.98% |
| Elo Modified | Sergey Spivak | 1643.72 | +69.46 | 57.54% |
| Glicko-1 | Sergey Spivak | 1648.48 | +106.27 | 64.83% |
| WHR | Sergey Spivak | 1620.76 | +149.63 | 66.45% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergey Spivak 182, Greg Hardy 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergey Spivak leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#62] Jamie Mullarkey (15-4-0, +124) vs. [#98] Jalin Turner (11-5-0, -150)
Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (2-1-0)
2021-10-02: W vs. [#122LW] Devonte Smith (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 2
2021-03-27: W vs. [#146LW] Khama Worthy (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1
2020-10-17: L vs. [#224LW] Fares Ziam (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#320LW] Uros Medic (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 1
2020-09-12: W vs. [#219WW] Brok Weaver (17-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 2
2020-02-22: W vs. [#117FW] Joshua Culibao (10-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jalin Turner | -150 | 57.33% | |
| Elo K170 | Jalin Turner | 1630.71 | +70.20 | 57.95% |
| Elo Modified | Jalin Turner | 1628.88 | +37.71 | 54.12% |
| Glicko-1 | Jalin Turner | 1659.71 | +11.87 | 51.71% |
| WHR | Jalin Turner | 1582.92 | +10.72 | 51.22% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Mullarkey 154, Jalin Turner 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#4/#8DD/#7P4P] Marina Rodriguez (15-1-2, -270) vs. [#11] Xiaonan Yan (13-2-0, +215)
Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#8SW] Mackenzie Dern (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Ribas (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#5SW/#10DD] Carla Esparza (18-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [*] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#55SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Marina Rodriguez | -270 | 69.68% | |
| Elo K170 | Marina Rodriguez | 1799.94 | +159.68 | 67.47% |
| Elo Modified | Marina Rodriguez | 1811.35 | +208.21 | 71.33% |
| Glicko-1 | Marina Rodriguez | 1819.05 | +273.61 | 82.85% |
| WHR | Marina Rodriguez | 1707.87 | +177.13 | 69.19% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 147, Xiaonan Yan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#60] Kennedy Nzechukwu (9-2-0, -152) vs. [#98] Nicolae Negumereanu (11-1-0, +125)
Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#26LHW] Da Un Jung (15-2-1) via KO (Elbows) in 3:04 of round 1
2021-06-26: W vs. [#84LHW] Danilo Marques (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
2021-03-06: W vs. [#124LHW] Carlos Ulberg (5-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Nicolae Negumereanu (2-1-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#173LHW] Isaac Villanueva (18-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2021-06-19: W vs. [#129LHW] Aleksa Camur (6-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-03-16: L vs. [*] Saparbek Safarov (9-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-26)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kennedy Nzechukwu | -152 | 57.57% | |
| Elo K170 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1511.17 | +34.65 | 53.95% |
| Elo Modified | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1567.91 | +79.94 | 58.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1539.53 | +53.77 | 57.68% |
| WHR | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1542.19 | +99.64 | 61.19% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 112, Nicolae Negumereanu 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#27] Mariya Agapova (10-2-0, -209) vs. [*] Maryna Moroz (10-3-0, +169)
Last 3 Fights: Mariya Agapova (2-1-0)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#51FLY] Sabina Mazo (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:53 of round 3
2020-08-22: L vs. [#59FLY] Shana Dobson (4-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 2
2020-06-13: W vs. [*] Hannah Cifers (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:42 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Maryna Moroz (2-1-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#43FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#51FLY] Sabina Mazo (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mariya Agapova | -209 | 64.53% | |
| Elo K170 | Maryna Moroz | 1534.09 | +112.30 | 62.55% |
| Elo Modified | Maryna Moroz | 1562.42 | +106.99 | 61.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Maryna Moroz | 1503.55 | +91.89 | 62.92% |
| WHR | Maryna Moroz | 1456.19 | +64.83 | 57.35% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mariya Agapova 147, Maryna Moroz 721
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#35] Brian Kelleher (24-12-0, +456) vs. [#64] Umar Nurmagomedov (13-0-0, -668)
Last 3 Fights: Brian Kelleher (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#106FW] Kevin Croom (23-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#307BW] Domingo Pilarte (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#16BW] Ricky Simon (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#113BW] Sergey Morozov (18-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 2
2019-11-23: W vs. [#1026BW] Braian Gonzalez (8-2-0) via SUB in 4:34 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Umar Nurmagomedov | -668 | 82.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Umar Nurmagomedov | 1795.16 | +81.83 | 59.24% |
| Elo Modified | Umar Nurmagomedov | 1806.40 | +87.48 | 59.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Umar Nurmagomedov | 1834.59 | +100.05 | 64.01% |
| WHR | Umar Nurmagomedov | 1751.50 | +111.18 | 62.43% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Kelleher 49, Umar Nurmagomedov 409
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#15] Tim Elliott (17-12-1, +194) vs. [#23] Tagir Ulanbekov (14-1-0, -246)
Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#6FLY] Matheus Nicolau (17-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#46FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#171FLY] Ryan Benoit (10-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Tagir Ulanbekov (3-0-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#71FLY] Allan Nascimento (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#49FLY] Bruno Silva (12-6-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-13: W vs. [#946BW] Denilson Matos (13-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:18 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tagir Ulanbekov | -246 | 67.64% | |
| Elo K170 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 1736.77 | +146.96 | 66.18% |
| Elo Modified | Tagir Ulanbekov | 1716.11 | +124.62 | 63.31% |
| Glicko-1 | Tagir Ulanbekov | 1746.99 | +152.42 | 70.63% |
| WHR | Tagir Ulanbekov | 1669.93 | +117.39 | 63.10% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 147, Tagir Ulanbekov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#122] Devonte Smith (11-3-0, -200) vs. [#188] Ludovit Klein (17-4-0, +166)
Last 3 Fights: Devonte Smith (1-2-0)
2021-10-02: L vs. [#62LW] Jamie Mullarkey (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 2
2021-02-06: W vs. [#261LW] Justin Jaynes (16-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-08-17: L vs. [#146LW] Khama Worthy (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (1-2-0)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#43FW] Nate Landwehr (15-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2021-05-08: L vs. [#101FW] Michael Trizano (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#366FW] Shane Young (13-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:16 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Devonte Smith | -200 | 63.94% | |
| Elo K170 | Ludovit Klein | 1548.91 | +35.99 | 54.10% |
| Elo Modified | Devonte Smith | 1557.63 | +1.23 | 50.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Ludovit Klein | 1571.23 | +34.55 | 54.96% |
| WHR | Ludovit Klein | 1487.87 | +28.55 | 53.26% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devonte Smith 154, Ludovit Klein 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#23] Dustin Jacoby (16-5-1, -193) vs. [#33] Michal Oleksiejczuk (18-4-0, +157)
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (2-0-1)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#86LHW] John Allan (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#75LHW] Darren Stewart (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2021-05-01: D vs. [#25LHW] Ion Cutelaba (16-6-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#62LHW] Shamil Gamzatov (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [#69LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (11-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#32LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:29 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dustin Jacoby | -193 | 62.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | 1750.02 | +6.20 | 50.71% |
| Elo Modified | Dustin Jacoby | 1779.92 | +78.13 | 58.47% |
| Glicko-1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1804.62 | +83.30 | 61.76% |
| WHR | Dustin Jacoby | 1746.10 | +164.80 | 67.98% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 119, Michal Oleksiejczuk 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Colby Covington
Highest Stored DD Rating: Colby Covington
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2022-3-5