Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento (05-11-2024)

Heavyweight (265)
[#15] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0, -153) vs. [#23] Rodrigo Nascimento (12-1-0, +125)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (20-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-45)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#24HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#10HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (3-0-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#54HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-7-0) via UD ()
2023-05-20: W vs. [#25HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#68LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Derrick Lewis	-153		57.63%
Elo K170	Derrick Lewis	1764.71	+21.43	53.08%
Elo Modified	Derrick Lewis	1789.57	+85.71	62.09%
Glicko-1	Derrick Lewis	1832.73	+120.95	66.73%
WHR	Derrick Lewis	1707.73	+31.91	54.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 189, Rodrigo Nascimento 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Derrick Lewis leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#12] Joaquin Buckley (18-6-0, -153) vs. [#46MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-8-2, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#16WW] Vicente Luque (22-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-10-07: W vs. [#35WW] Alex Morono (24-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#79WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#134MW] Sedriques Dumas (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52MW] Brunno Ferreira (11-1-0) via TKO in 1:17 of round 1
2022-04-10: W vs. [*] Paval Masalski (14-17-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joaquin Buckley	-153		57.85%
Elo K170	Joaquin Buckley	1963.90	+188.72	74.77%
Elo Modified	Joaquin Buckley	1947.86	+165.85	72.21%
Glicko-1	Joaquin Buckley	2025.23	+142.38	69.42%
WHR	Joaquin Buckley	1813.21	+5.26	50.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 42, Nursulton Ruziboev 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#18] Alonzo Menifield (15-3-1, +172) vs. [#33] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0, -214)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-0-1)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#44LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
2023-02-11: D vs. [#44LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#53LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
2023-05-13: W vs. [#79MW] Ihor Potieria (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Ulberg	-214		64.96%
Elo K170	Alonzo Menifield	1818.36	+67.13	59.54%
Elo Modified	Alonzo Menifield	1855.90	+78.72	61.14%
Glicko-1	Alonzo Menifield	1894.14	+84.27	61.90%
WHR	Carlos Ulberg	1779.00	+47.93	56.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 147, Carlos Ulberg 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#22] Diego Ferreira (18-5-0, +230) vs. [#32] Mateusz Rebecki (20-1-0, -288)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#78LW] Michael Johnson (22-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#7LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-2-0) via TKO (Submission to Knee to the Body) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-05-08: L vs. [*] Gregor Gillespie (14-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Rebecki (3-0-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#153LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:08 of round 1
2023-06-24: W vs. [#50LW] Loik Radzhabov (19-5-1) via TKO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#579LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mateusz Rebecki	-288		71.01%
Elo K170	Mateusz Rebecki	1963.94	+113.30	65.75%
Elo Modified	Mateusz Rebecki	1977.47	+79.09	61.19%
Glicko-1	Mateusz Rebecki	2080.06	+148.46	70.15%
WHR	Mateusz Rebecki	2032.48	+153.64	70.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 357, Mateusz Rebecki 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#26] Alex Caceres (21-14-0, +153) vs. [#44] Sean Woodson (11-1-1, -189)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#11FW] Giga Chikadze (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#62FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#94FW] Julian Erosa (29-11-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sean Woodson (2-0-1)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#46FW] Charles Jourdain (15-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#181FW] Dennis Buzukja (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: D vs. [*] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Woodson	-189		62.32%
Elo K170	Alex Caceres	1782.34	+63.75	59.07%
Elo Modified	Alex Caceres	1782.12	+121.91	66.86%
Glicko-1	Alex Caceres	1821.58	+169.08	72.58%
WHR	Alex Caceres	1688.39	+77.85	61.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 259, Sean Woodson 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Caceres leads 1-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#48] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (11-1-0, +138) vs. [#156] Robelis Despaigne (5-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#71HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-23-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#94HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2023-04-29: L vs. [#24HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Robelis Despaigne (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#225HW+] Josh Parisian (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-12-03: W vs. [#373HW+] Miles Banks (2-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:04 of round 1
2023-09-24: W vs. [NA] Stevie Payne (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:03 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Robelis Despaigne	-169		59.92%
Elo K170	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1676.28	+315.81	86.03%
Elo Modified	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1720.73	+301.82	85.03%
Glicko-1	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1721.86	+317.21	86.13%
WHR	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1627.12	+280.55	83.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 119, Robelis Despaigne 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#137] Chase Hooper (13-3-1, +143) vs. [#185] Viacheslav Borshchev (7-3-1, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#236LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:58 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [#579LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#80LW] Steve Garcia (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Viacheslav Borshchev (1-1-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#138LW] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-05-20: W vs. [#296LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-10-01: L vs. [#112LW] Mike Davis (11-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Viacheslav Borshchev	-173		60.62%
Elo K170	Chase Hooper	1589.23	+106.41	64.85%
Elo Modified	Chase Hooper	1614.71	+107.29	64.97%
Glicko-1	Chase Hooper	1658.87	+102.30	64.31%
WHR	Chase Hooper	1602.57	+61.61	58.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 175, Viacheslav Borshchev 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#135] Esteban Ribovics (12-1-0, -193) vs. [#157] Terrance McKinney (15-6-0, +157)

Last 3 Fights: Esteban Ribovics (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#393LW] Kamuela Kirk (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#50LW] Loik Radzhabov (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-16: W vs. [#523FW] Thomas Paull (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#651LW] Brendon Marotte (8-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-08-12: W vs. [#219LW] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2023-07-15: L vs. [#138LW] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Esteban Ribovics	-193		62.86%
Elo K170	Esteban Ribovics	1640.56	+67.78	59.63%
Elo Modified	Esteban Ribovics	1674.16	+73.68	60.45%
Glicko-1	Esteban Ribovics	1716.14	+85.00	61.99%
WHR	Esteban Ribovics	1647.10	+65.41	59.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Esteban Ribovics 308, Terrance McKinney 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Tabatha Ricci (9-2-0, -134) vs. [*] Tecia Pennington (13-6-0, +111)

Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#14SW] Gillian Robertson (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#84SW] Jessica Penne (14-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Pennington (2-1-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#8SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#9SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#48SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tabatha Ricci	-134		54.71%
Elo K170	Tecia Pennington	1527.80	+25.01	53.59%
Elo Modified	Tecia Pennington	1616.00	+40.29	55.77%
Glicko-1	Tecia Pennington	1635.27	+58.86	58.39%
WHR	Tecia Pennington	1591.81	+49.89	57.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tabatha Ricci 182, Tecia Pennington 763
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#149] Billy Goff (9-2-0, +141) vs. [#168] Trey Waters (8-1-0, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Goff (3-0-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#506WW] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2022-08-02: W vs. [#310WW] Shimon Smotritsky (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2022-04-01: W vs. [#190LHW] Justin Sumter (9-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Trey Waters (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#355WW] Josh Quinlan (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-14: W vs. [#620WW] Jalin Fuller (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:53 of round 2
2022-09-06: L vs. [#69WW] Gabriel Bonfim (15-1-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 4:13 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Trey Waters	-172		60.38%
Elo K170	Billy Goff	1586.52	+89.44	62.59%
Elo Modified	Billy Goff	1605.04	+72.18	60.24%
Glicko-1	Billy Goff	1641.48	+112.27	65.62%
WHR	Billy Goff	1561.81	+102.87	64.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Goff 259, Trey Waters 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#34] Charles Johnson (14-6-0, +138) vs. [#72] Jake Hadley (10-2-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#77FLY] Azat Maksum (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#26FLY] Rafael Estevam (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#31FLY] Cody Durden (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Hadley (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#31FLY] Cody Durden (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#188FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2022-11-05: W vs. [*] Carlos Candelario (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:39 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jake Hadley	-170		59.97%
Elo K170	Charles Johnson	1556.21	+32.47	54.66%
Elo Modified	Charles Johnson	1581.79	+6.87	50.99%
Glicko-1	Charles Johnson	1628.43	+13.79	51.98%
WHR	Jake Hadley	1546.29	+2.07	50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 98, Jake Hadley 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62] Jared Gooden (23-9-0, +186) vs. [#103] Kevin Jousset (10-2-0, -231)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#132WW] Wellington Turman (18-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-03-11: L vs. [#39WW] Carlston Harris (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#364WW] Demarques Jackson (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#166WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#207WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2023-05-26: W vs. [#352WW] Kitt Campbell (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Jousset	-231		66.61%
Elo K170	Kevin Jousset	1652.97	+18.97	52.73%
Elo Modified	Kevin Jousset	1667.56	+4.74	50.68%
Glicko-1	Jared Gooden	1708.30	+47.50	56.79%
WHR	Jared Gooden	1597.31	+13.51	51.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gooden 161, Kevin Jousset 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#26] J.J. Aldrich (13-6-0, +117) vs. [#36] Veronica Hardy (8-4-1, -143)

Last 3 Fights: J.J. Aldrich (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#51FLY] Montana De La Rosa (12-9-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#168FLY] Na Liang (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:49 of round 2
2023-03-11: L vs. [#18FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Veronica Hardy (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#37FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (6-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#107FLY] Juliana Miller (3-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-14: L vs. [*] Bea Malecki (4-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Veronica Hardy	-143		56.08%
Elo K170	J.J. Aldrich	1471.97	+85.56	62.07%
Elo Modified	J.J. Aldrich	1515.85	+148.11	70.11%
Glicko-1	J.J. Aldrich	1490.29	+169.04	72.57%
WHR	J.J. Aldrich	1471.04	+129.58	67.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: J.J. Aldrich 217, Veronica Hardy 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: J.J. Aldrich leads 2-1
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Joaquin Buckley
Highest Stored DD Rating: Joaquin Buckley
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Joaquin Buckley vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Joaquin Buckley vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-5-5