Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Lyoto Machida (26-10-0, +233) vs. [#11] Ryan Bader (27-6-0, -304)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #7 ranked Light Heavyweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #17 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (1-2-0)
2020-09-11: L vs. [#5LHW] Phil Davis (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#3MW/#10P4P] Gegard Mousasi (47-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-14: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (31-17-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:22 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#3LHW] Vadim Nemkov (13-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:02 of round 2
2019-09-07: NC vs. [#18HW+] Cheick Kongo (30-11-2)
2019-01-26: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (39-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ryan Bader | -304 | 71.47% | |
| Elo K170 | Ryan Bader | 2133.85 | +226.68 | 73.80% |
| Elo Modified | Ryan Bader | 2107.76 | +118.54 | 62.69% |
| Glicko-1 | Ryan Bader | 2140.41 | +56.85 | 58.11% |
| WHR | Ryan Bader | 1952.72 | +57.17 | 56.49% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 210, Ryan Bader 231
Previous Match-up Record: Lyoto Machida leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-2
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#6] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0, -182) vs. [*] Vanessa Porto (22-8-0, +148)
Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#48BW] DeAnna Bennett (10-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-08-10: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#12FW] Lucie Pudilova (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Porto (3-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [*] Karina Rodriguez (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#37FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via TUD (39-37, 40-36, 39-37)
2018-01-13: W vs. [#11FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Liz Carmouche | -182 | 61.54% | |
| Elo K170 | Liz Carmouche | 1596.15 | +33.76 | 53.85% |
| Elo Modified | Liz Carmouche | 1634.42 | +50.05 | 55.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Liz Carmouche | 1630.93 | +49.28 | 57.05% |
| WHR | Liz Carmouche | 1595.68 | +49.63 | 55.65% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liz Carmouche 209, Vanessa Porto 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#30] Jeremy Kennedy (16-2-0, -119) vs. [#48] Adam Borics (16-1-0, -108)
Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Kennedy (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2020-11-19: W vs. [#109FW] Matt Bessette (24-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#43FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [*] Luis Rafael Laurentino (34-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Adam Borics (2-1-0)
2020-10-29: W vs. [#486LW] Erick Sanchez (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#246LW] Mike Hamel (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#16FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:20 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jeremy Kennedy | -119 | 51.13% | |
| Elo K170 | Jeremy Kennedy | 1801.92 | +23.26 | 52.65% |
| Elo Modified | Jeremy Kennedy | 1822.40 | +83.03 | 58.99% |
| Glicko-1 | Jeremy Kennedy | 1861.84 | +137.07 | 68.76% |
| WHR | Jeremy Kennedy | 1748.51 | +109.29 | 62.23% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeremy Kennedy 141, Adam Borics 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#8] Cat Zingano (11-4-0, -553) vs. [#47] Olivia Parker (4-1-0, +383)
Cat Zingano is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (2-1-0)
2020-09-11: W vs. [#22FW] Gabrielle Holloway (6-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via TKO (Eye Injury) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#21BW] Marion Reneau (9-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Last 3 Fights: Olivia Parker (2-1-0)
2020-07-02: L vs. [#17FW] Chelsea Chandler (3-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 1
2020-01-10: W vs. [NA] Carolyn Biskup-Roe (2-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2019-07-12: W vs. [NA] Jamie Driver (2-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Cat Zingano | -553 | 80.35% | |
| Elo K170 | Cat Zingano | 1433.66 | +322.01 | 81.32% |
| Elo Modified | Cat Zingano | 1502.72 | +292.47 | 78.25% |
| Glicko-1 | Cat Zingano | 1497.98 | +361.54 | 88.90% |
| WHR | Cat Zingano | 1507.45 | +396.48 | 85.96% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cat Zingano 210, Olivia Parker 281
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Goiti Yamauchi (25-4-0) vs. [*] Dan Moret (14-6-0)
Last 3 Fights: Goiti Yamauchi (3-0-0)
2019-12-29: W vs. [#96LW] Daron Cruickshank (23-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 1
2019-10-04: W vs. [#76LW] Saad Awad (23-13-0) via Verbal Submission (Armbar) in 1:40 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#23FW] Daniel Weichel (40-12-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 27-30)
Last 3 Fights: Dan Moret (1-2-0)
2019-11-29: W vs. [*] Anton Kuivanen (26-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-06-29: L vs. [#61LW] Jared Gordon (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [*] Alex White (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Goiti Yamauchi | 1910.04 | +419.73 | 87.18% |
| Elo Modified | Goiti Yamauchi | 1859.26 | +347.90 | 82.10% |
| Glicko-1 | Goiti Yamauchi | 1922.59 | +398.46 | 90.83% |
| WHR | Goiti Yamauchi | 1824.11 | +318.42 | 81.07% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Goiti Yamauchi 467, Dan Moret 497
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#4] Julia Budd (14-3-0, -364) vs. [#16] Dayana Silva (9-5-0, +273)
Last 3 Fights: Julia Budd (2-1-0)
2020-08-21: W vs. [#19FW] Jessy Miele (9-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (23-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 4
2019-07-12: W vs. [*] Olga Rubin (6-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:14 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dayana Silva (2-1-0)
2020-08-23: W vs. [#124FLY] Tayna Lamounier Vieira (3-2-0) via UD ()
2020-03-01: L vs. [#11FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via SD ()
2019-09-06: W vs. [#37BW] Sidy Rocha (12-8-2) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Julia Budd | -364 | 74.52% | |
| Elo K170 | Julia Budd | 1668.71 | +400.91 | 86.19% |
| Elo Modified | Julia Budd | 1642.75 | +261.07 | 75.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Julia Budd | 1617.89 | +216.46 | 77.66% |
| WHR | Julia Budd | 1626.92 | +235.49 | 74.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julia Budd 231, Dayana Silva 229
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[*] Diana Avsaragova (2-0-0) vs. [NA] Tara Graff (1-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: Diana Avsaragova (2-0-0)
2019-05-04: W vs. [NA] Ania Lurchenkova (0-1-0) via UD ()
2017-12-29: W vs. [NA] Alina Makarova (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:57 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tara Graff (1-2-0)
2020-08-07: L vs. [#106FLY] Valerie Loureda (3-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-11-10: L vs. [*] Alibeth Rall Milliron (2-0-0) via TKO in 0:10 of round 3
2018-10-13: W vs. [NA] Marisol Ruelas (1-2-0) via TKO in 3:15 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diana Avsaragova 706, Tara Graff 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#759] Isaiah William (4-3-0) vs. [#1459] Nainoa Dung (3-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: Isaiah William (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#186LW] Jordan Leavitt (8-0-0) via UD ()
2019-11-16: W vs. [#1001LW] Juan Roman (3-2-0) via TKO in 4:15 of round 1
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Moe Williams (5-5-0) via TKO in 4:04 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Nainoa Dung (1-2-0)
2020-08-07: L vs. [#1049LW] Charlie Campbell (2-2-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 1:42 of round 2
2019-12-21: L vs. [*] Zach Zane (14-9-0) via UD ()
2019-07-12: W vs. [*] Brad Robison (3-1-0) via UD (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Isaiah William | 1137.11 | +104.65 | 61.73% |
| Elo Modified | Nainoa Dung | 1140.59 | +1.29 | 50.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Isaiah William | 1169.39 | +140.32 | 69.16% |
| WHR | Isaiah William | 1160.94 | +138.27 | 65.29% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Isaiah William 412, Nainoa Dung 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#235] Jornel Lugo (5-0-0) vs. [#345] Cass Bell (5-1-0)
Last 3 Fights: Jornel Lugo (3-0-0)
2020-11-12: W vs. [#801BW] Schyler Sootho (4-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-13: W vs. [#392BW] Cortavious Romious (4-1-0) via SD ()
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] John Douma (4-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Cass Bell (2-1-0)
2020-07-24: L vs. [#35BW] Raufeon Stots (15-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:24 of round 3
2019-12-20: W vs. [*] Pierre Daguzan (5-4-0) via UD ()
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Isaiah Rocha (1-1-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:21 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Jornel Lugo | 1413.96 | +107.84 | 62.07% |
| Elo Modified | Jornel Lugo | 1485.26 | +94.03 | 60.15% |
| Glicko-1 | Jornel Lugo | 1345.22 | +9.44 | 51.36% |
| WHR | Cass Bell | 1303.59 | +39.93 | 54.55% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jornel Lugo 148, Cass Bell 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Jeffrey Glossner (2-1-0) vs. [#1022] Jaylon Bates (1-0-0)
Last 3 Fights: Jeffrey Glossner (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [NA] Jason Tipaldos (0-2-0) via TKO in 0:10 of round 1
2018-03-23: L vs. [#653FW] Anthony Jimenez (5-2-1) via UD ()
2018-01-12: W vs. [#512FW] Jose Avalos (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jaylon Bates (1-0-0)
2020-11-05: W vs. [NA] Joseph Supino (0-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Jeffrey Glossner | 1097.59 | +12.59 | 51.44% |
| Elo Modified | Jeffrey Glossner | 1163.18 | +25.68 | 52.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Jeffrey Glossner | 1114.90 | +36.34 | 55.21% |
| WHR | Jeffrey Glossner | 1115.43 | +43.98 | 55.01% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeffrey Glossner 524, Jaylon Bates 155
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Tony Johnson (8-3-0) vs. [#220] Dalton Rosta (4-0-0)
Last 3 Fights: Tony Johnson (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [*] Joe Schilling (4-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:07 of round 3
2019-06-25: W vs. [*] Alton Cunningham (7-2-0) via UD ()
2018-10-27: W vs. [*] Jaquis Williams (7-11-0) via MD ()
Last 3 Fights: Dalton Rosta (3-0-0)
2020-10-29: W vs. [#330MW] Ty Gwerder (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#684MW] Mark Gardner (1-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2019-10-25: W vs. [NA] Claude Wilcox (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Tony Johnson | 1361.78 | +42.38 | 54.82% |
| Elo Modified | Dalton Rosta | 1407.73 | +16.81 | 51.84% |
| Glicko-1 | Tony Johnson | 1394.79 | +59.84 | 58.53% |
| WHR | Tony Johnson | 1456.07 | +159.04 | 67.41% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Johnson 553, Dalton Rosta 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] John Douma (4-2-0) vs. [#1225] Will Smith (3-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: John Douma (1-2-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#235BW] Jornel Lugo (5-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#1372FW] Mike Kimbel (3-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1
2018-06-15: L vs. [*] Adam Acquaviva (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:47 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Will Smith (2-1-0)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#482FW] Lucas Brennan (4-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Aaron Reese (0-2-0) via UD ()
2019-07-20: W vs. [NA] Carl Langston (0-5-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | John Douma | 1119.65 | +133.00 | 64.74% |
| Elo Modified | John Douma | 1244.03 | +255.51 | 75.37% |
| Glicko-1 | John Douma | 1149.32 | +162.68 | 71.84% |
| WHR | John Douma | 1073.04 | +85.17 | 59.61% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Douma 531, Will Smith 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Talita Nogueira (7-2-0) vs. [*] Jessica Borga (3-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: Talita Nogueira (1-2-0)
2019-10-25: L vs. [#19FW] Jessy Miele (9-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2018-07-13: L vs. [#4FW] Julia Budd (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 3
2017-08-25: W vs. [#15FW] Amanda Bell (7-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jessica Borga (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#40FW] Amber Leibrock (4-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:45 of round 1
2019-04-26: W vs. [#111FLY] Lucie Bertaud (3-2-0) via TKO in 3:36 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#40BW] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via Submission (Punches) in 3:24 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Talita Nogueira | 1239.63 | +95.06 | 60.69% |
| Elo Modified | Talita Nogueira | 1324.66 | +158.74 | 66.71% |
| Glicko-1 | Talita Nogueira | 1318.55 | +161.40 | 71.69% |
| WHR | Talita Nogueira | 1256.62 | +122.49 | 63.64% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Talita Nogueira 532, Jessica Borga 580
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[*] Nathan Ghareeb (2-0-0) vs. [#1047] Cody Law (2-0-0)
Last 3 Fights: Nathan Ghareeb (2-0-0)
2019-10-25: W vs. [NA] Zach Johnson (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2019-07-20: W vs. [NA] Brad Sustad (0-11-0) via TKO in 1:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Cody Law (2-0-0)
2020-12-10: W vs. [NA] Kenny Champion (2-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 3
2020-10-29: W vs. [NA] Orlando Ortega (0-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:41 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Cody Law | 1167.05 | +71.69 | 58.12% |
| Elo Modified | Cody Law | 1263.50 | +113.94 | 62.22% |
| Glicko-1 | Cody Law | 1190.62 | +78.36 | 61.09% |
| WHR | Cody Law | 1135.10 | +51.81 | 55.89% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathan Ghareeb 532, Cody Law 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Lyoto Machida
Highest Stored DD Rating: Julia Budd
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Lyoto Machida vs. Ryan Bader
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Lyoto Machida vs. Ryan Bader
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-4-5