Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Israel Adesanya | -172 | 60.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Nassourdine Imavov | 2129.10 | +55.48 | 57.92% |
| Elo Modified | Nassourdine Imavov | 2067.77 | +8.80 | 51.27% |
| Glicko-1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 2142.97 | +48.45 | 56.93% |
| WHR | Israel Adesanya | 2001.24 | +32.55 | 54.67% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)
Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sharabutdin Magomedov | -190 | 62.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Michael Page | 1975.46 | +48.71 | 56.96% |
| Elo Modified | Michael Page | 1965.28 | +29.17 | 54.19% |
| Glicko-1 | Michael Page | 2034.18 | +37.47 | 55.37% |
| WHR | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 1928.16 | +31.50 | 54.52% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergei Pavlovich | -304 | 71.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Sergei Pavlovich | 1922.30 | +39.40 | 55.65% |
| Elo Modified | Sergei Pavlovich | 1930.58 | +93.97 | 63.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Sergei Pavlovich | 2022.14 | +150.13 | 70.35% |
| WHR | Sergei Pavlovich | 1914.43 | +131.64 | 68.09% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Said Nurmagomedov (18-3-0, -181) vs. [#31][#23UFC] Vinicius Oliveira (22-3-0, +149)
Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#40 BW] Muin Gafurov (21-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-03-11: L vs. [#22 BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] Saidyokub Kakhramonov (11-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:50 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Oliveira (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#41 BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#193 BW] Bernardo Sopai (12-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 4:41 of round 3
2023-09-26: W vs. [*] Victor Madrigal (15-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:02 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Said Nurmagomedov | -181 | 61.59% | |
| Elo K170 | Said Nurmagomedov | 1862.78 | +21.79 | 53.13% |
| Elo Modified | Said Nurmagomedov | 1872.77 | +30.33 | 54.35% |
| Glicko-1 | Said Nurmagomedov | 1942.09 | +65.23 | 59.28% |
| WHR | Said Nurmagomedov | 1869.77 | +67.81 | 59.64% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Said Nurmagomedov 469, Vinicius Oliveira 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#55][#34UFC] Muhammadjon Naimov (11-3-0, -272) vs. [#265][#70UFC] Kaan Ofli (11-3-1, +216)
Last 3 Fights: Muhammadjon Naimov (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#27 FW] Felipe Lima (14-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 3
2024-02-24: W vs. [#401 FW] Erik Silva (9-3-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 0:44 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#56 FW] Nathaniel Wood (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Kaan Ofli (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#110 FW] Mairon Santos (14-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-02-24: W vs. [#795 FW] Jarrett Wilbraham (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 3
2022-11-18: W vs. [*] Ernie Braca (5-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:55 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Muhammadjon Naimov | -272 | 69.79% | |
| Elo K170 | Muhammadjon Naimov | 1617.33 | +63.84 | 59.08% |
| Elo Modified | Muhammadjon Naimov | 1610.61 | +38.99 | 55.59% |
| Glicko-1 | Muhammadjon Naimov | 1623.17 | +59.30 | 58.45% |
| WHR | Kaan Ofli | 1589.63 | +16.85 | 52.42% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muhammadjon Naimov 224, Kaan Ofli 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#32][#15UFC] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0, -385) vs. [#99][#27UFC] Thomas Petersen (10-2-0, +287)
Last 3 Fights: Shamil Gaziev (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#63 HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#12 HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-12-16: W vs. [#72 HW+] Martin Buday (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Thomas Petersen (2-1-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#122 HW+] Mohammed Usman (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#121 HW+] Jamal Pogues (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-08-29: W vs. [*] Chandler Cole (10-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 1:08 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Shamil Gaziev | -385 | 75.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Shamil Gaziev | 1716.34 | +257.63 | 81.51% |
| Elo Modified | Shamil Gaziev | 1728.87 | +236.48 | 79.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Shamil Gaziev | 1742.15 | +256.31 | 81.39% |
| WHR | Shamil Gaziev | 1695.05 | +228.18 | 78.81% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shamil Gaziev 182, Thomas Petersen 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#209][#71UFC] Terrance McKinney (15-7-0, -380) vs. [*] Damir Hadzovic (14-7-0, +284)
Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#67 LW] Esteban Ribovics (14-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:37 of round 1
2023-10-14: W vs. [#766 FW] Brendon Marotte (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Damir Hadzovic (1-2-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#79 LW] Marc Diakiese (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#139 LW] Yancy Medeiros (16-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#9 LW] Renato Carneiro (20-6-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Terrance McKinney | -380 | 75.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Damir Hadzovic | 1552.96 | +47.68 | 56.82% |
| Elo Modified | Damir Hadzovic | 1562.84 | +38.01 | 55.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Damir Hadzovic | 1567.89 | +14.54 | 52.09% |
| WHR | Terrance McKinney | 1518.48 | +53.01 | 57.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 266, Damir Hadzovic 924
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#40][#22UFC] Fares Ziam (16-4-0, +119) vs. [#117][#49UFC] Mike Davis (11-2-0, -145)
Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#60 LW] Matt Frevola (11-5-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:59 of round 3
2024-02-24: W vs. [#88 LW] Claudio Puelles (12-5-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#115 LW] Jai Herbert (13-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (3-0-0)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#377 LW] Natan Levy (8-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:43 of round 2
2022-10-01: W vs. [#202 LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#84 LW] Mason Jones (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mike Davis | -145 | 56.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Fares Ziam | 1874.28 | +184.40 | 74.30% |
| Elo Modified | Fares Ziam | 1815.16 | +112.06 | 65.59% |
| Glicko-1 | Fares Ziam | 1824.95 | +78.52 | 61.11% |
| WHR | Fares Ziam | 1730.06 | +7.32 | 51.05% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 126, Mike Davis 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#17][#14UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (12-3-0, -229) vs. [#16 BW][#15UFC BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1, +186)
Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#22 FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3
2024-07-13: W vs. [#25 SW] Fatima Kline (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#44 BW] Priscila Cachoeira (12-6-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:21 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#7 BW] Macy Chiasson (10-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:58 of round 2
2024-01-20: L vs. [#3 BW/#10DD/#10P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-9-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2023-07-15: NC vs. [#10 BW] Holly Holm (15-7-0)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jasmine Jasudavicius | -229 | 66.55% | |
| Elo K170 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1668.07 | +222.89 | 78.30% |
| Elo Modified | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1684.56 | +214.90 | 77.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1691.77 | +239.76 | 79.90% |
| WHR | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1641.40 | +225.06 | 78.51% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jasmine Jasudavicius 91, Mayra Bueno Silva 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#136] Bogdan Grad (14-2-0, -121) vs. [#285][#72UFC] Lucas Alexander (8-4-0, -101)
Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Grad (3-0-0)
2024-08-27: W vs. [#147 FW] Michael Aswell (10-2-0) via SD ()
2024-03-15: W vs. [#364 FW] Caiona Batista (15-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:03 of round 1
2023-11-10: W vs. [#680 BW] Breno Marinho (14-11-2) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:38 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Lucas Alexander (1-2-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#222 FW] Jeka Saragih (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-03-25: W vs. [*] Steven Peterson (19-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#34 FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bogdan Grad | -121 | 52.14% | |
| Elo K170 | Bogdan Grad | 1609.97 | +215.83 | 77.60% |
| Elo Modified | Bogdan Grad | 1579.96 | +147.68 | 70.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Bogdan Grad | 1594.91 | +170.42 | 72.73% |
| WHR | Bogdan Grad | 1525.91 | +165.02 | 72.11% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bogdan Grad 158, Lucas Alexander 441
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#121][#29UFC] Jamal Pogues (11-4-0, -111) vs. [*] Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-0-0, -111)
Last 3 Fights: Jamal Pogues (2-1-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#99 HW+] Thomas Petersen (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#54 HW+] Mick Parkin (10-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#255 HW+] Josh Parisian (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Hamdy Abdelwahab (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#63 HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-06-03: W vs. [NA] Matthew Strickland (0-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:00 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [*] Tyler Lee (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Hamdy Abdelwahab | -111 | 50.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Jamal Pogues | 1491.77 | +57.44 | 58.19% |
| Elo Modified | Jamal Pogues | 1516.13 | +58.81 | 58.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Jamal Pogues | 1512.11 | +104.69 | 64.62% |
| WHR | Jamal Pogues | 1489.59 | +169.83 | 72.66% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamal Pogues 364, Hamdy Abdelwahab 917
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#170][#64UFC] Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (15-4-0, +124) vs. [#260][#74UFC] Bolaji Oki (9-2-0, -147)
Last 3 Fights: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (2-1-0)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#64 LW] Loik Radzhabov (19-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 3
2023-08-15: W vs. [#173 LW] George Hardwick (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-17: W vs. [#949 WW] Micheal Murphy (9-9-1) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Bolaji Oki (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#129 LW] Chris Duncan (12-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#274 FW] Timothy Cuamba (8-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-29: W vs. [#322 LW] Dylan Salvador (6-2-0) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 2:46 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bolaji Oki | -147 | 57.13% | |
| Elo K170 | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 1603.93 | +101.72 | 64.23% |
| Elo Modified | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 1629.64 | +123.05 | 67.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 1613.76 | +138.28 | 68.91% |
| WHR | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 1519.98 | +82.29 | 61.63% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 336, Bolaji Oki 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-1-26
Completion time: 2025-01-26T16:08:00.1746208-05:00