Event Previews – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze (03-15-2025)

Posted on March 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +112) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -132)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marvin Vettori	-132		54.67%
Elo K170	Marvin Vettori	2009.39	+57.86	58.25%
Elo Modified	Marvin Vettori	1985.59	+20.87	53.00%
Glicko-1	Marvin Vettori	2053.34	+4.01	50.58%
WHR	Roman Dolidze	1907.49	+23.92	53.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -183) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +151)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	-183		61.87%
Elo K170	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1844.67	+114.94	65.96%
Elo Modified	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1838.39	+95.93	63.46%
Glicko-1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1888.49	+118.79	66.46%
WHR	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1808.24	+131.27	68.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -274) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +219)

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Diyar Nurgozhay	-274		70.03%
Elo K170	Diyar Nurgozhay	1628.60	+185.41	74.41%
Elo Modified	Diyar Nurgozhay	1664.08	+229.62	78.95%
Glicko-1	Diyar Nurgozhay	1692.56	+218.75	77.89%
WHR	Diyar Nurgozhay	1685.27	+213.68	77.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev (03-18-2025)

Posted on March 3, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alex Pereira	-119		51.83%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2301.88	+82.59	61.67%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2263.89	+54.04	57.71%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2399.12	+80.63	61.40%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2171.55	+123.01	67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael Fiziev	-128		53.86%
Elo K170	Justin Gaethje	2266.79	+349.47	88.20%
Elo Modified	Justin Gaethje	2211.91	+306.89	85.40%
Glicko-1	Justin Gaethje	2261.68	+296.39	84.63%
WHR	Justin Gaethje	1976.06	+103.38	64.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Iasmin Lucindo	-128		53.63%
Elo K170	Amanda Lemos	1706.38	+34.71	54.98%
Elo Modified	Amanda Lemos	1696.13	+75.21	60.66%
Glicko-1	Amanda Lemos	1693.03	+90.69	62.76%
WHR	Amanda Lemos	1605.17	+90.53	62.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (03-01-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#8UFC] Manel Kape (20-7-0, -240) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-2-0, +195)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#32FLY] Bruno Silva (14-7-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#207FLY] Jose Johnson (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#134FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-240		67.55%
Elo K170	Asu Almabayev	1906.15	+92.32	62.98%
Elo Modified	Asu Almabayev	1867.33	+54.36	57.76%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1889.32	+0.11	50.02%
WHR	Manel Kape	1810.43	+47.02	56.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 77, Asu Almabayev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Asu Almabayev leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#100][#51UFC] Cody Brundage (10-6-0, +141) vs. [#238][#70UFC] Julian Marquez (9-5-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#106MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#23MW] Bo Nickal (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (0-3-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-03-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Julian Marquez	-170		60.27%
Elo K170	Cody Brundage	1418.18	+93.47	63.14%
Elo Modified	Cody Brundage	1396.06	+4.68	50.67%
Glicko-1	Julian Marquez	1397.10	+20.82	52.99%
WHR	Cody Brundage	1390.71	+60.37	58.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 231, Julian Marquez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Brundage leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31][#21UFC] William Gomis (14-2-0, -218) vs. [#85][#43UFC] Hyder Amil (10-0-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#32FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#414BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#242FW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#132FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#936FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-08-15: W vs. [#784LW] Emrah Sonmez (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	William Gomis	-218		65.58%
Elo K170	William Gomis	1851.45	+174.98	73.25%
Elo Modified	William Gomis	1722.26	+73.41	60.41%
Glicko-1	William Gomis	1733.70	+67.07	59.53%
WHR	William Gomis	1659.21	+25.17	53.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 154, Hyder Amil 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs Cejudo (02-22-2025)

Posted on February 17, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#8][#7UFC] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0, +215) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Yadong Song (21-9-1, -268)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#1BW][#4DD][#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#24BW] Chris Gutierrez (21-6-2) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Yadong Song	-268		69.64%
Elo K170	Henry Cejudo	2117.01	+208.33	76.84%
Elo Modified	Henry Cejudo	2108.85	+197.73	75.73%
Glicko-1	Henry Cejudo	2187.57	+227.06	78.70%
WHR	Henry Cejudo	1987.79	+131.57	68.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 371, Yadong Song 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Brendan Allen (24-6-0, +227) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Anthony Hernandez (13-2-0, -286)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#31MW] Michel Pereira (32-12-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#20MW] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#54MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-286		70.78%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	2018.80	+24.55	53.53%
Elo Modified	Anthony Hernandez	1982.98	+13.50	51.94%
Glicko-1	Anthony Hernandez	2074.70	+37.34	55.35%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	2000.39	+106.00	64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Anthony Hernandez 126
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Hernandez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brendan Allen leads 1-0
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Featherweight (140)
[#12BW][#11UFCBW] Rob Font (21-8-0, +136) vs. [#37BW][#27UFCBW] Jean Matsumoto (16-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#16BW] Kyler Phillips (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#7BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#45BW] Brad Katona (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#206BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#224BW] Kasey Tanner (8-1-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jean Matsumoto	-169		59.72%
Elo K170	Rob Font	1924.76	+58.03	58.28%
Elo Modified	Rob Font	1907.33	+36.16	55.18%
Glicko-1	Rob Font	1975.48	+93.38	63.12%
WHR	Rob Font	1785.24	+10.63	51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 126, Jean Matsumoto 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gregory Rodrigues	-184		62.01%
Elo K170	Jared Cannonier	1959.16	+106.65	64.88%
Elo Modified	Jared Cannonier	1924.11	+33.41	54.79%
Glicko-1	Jared Cannonier	1961.48	+15.14	52.18%
WHR	Jared Cannonier	1865.10	+51.89	57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Youssef Zalal	-417		76.91%
Elo K170	Calvin Kattar	1874.77	+91.45	62.87%
Elo Modified	Calvin Kattar	1863.66	+74.96	60.62%
Glicko-1	Calvin Kattar	1913.70	+39.14	55.61%
WHR	Youssef Zalal	1773.62	+19.24	52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ismael Bonfim	-148		56.87%
Elo K170	Ismael Bonfim	1858.94	+287.23	83.93%
Elo Modified	Ismael Bonfim	1850.07	+246.48	80.52%
Glicko-1	Ismael Bonfim	1894.65	+260.64	81.77%
WHR	Ismael Bonfim	1823.27	+239.80	79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dricus Du Plessis	-206		64.42%
Elo K170	Dricus Du Plessis	2342.57	+202.95	76.28%
Elo Modified	Dricus Du Plessis	2265.23	+161.48	71.70%
Glicko-1	Dricus Du Plessis	2353.76	+176.08	73.37%
WHR	Dricus Du Plessis	2149.81	+110.57	65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-116		51.18%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2044.50	+194.83	75.43%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1998.60	+143.52	69.56%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2019.82	+144.34	69.65%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1911.21	+34.12	54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tallison Teixeira	-154		57.91%
Elo K170	Justin Tafa	1439.06	+32.89	54.72%
Elo Modified	Justin Tafa	1521.83	+89.07	62.54%
Glicko-1	Justin Tafa	1535.44	+83.04	61.73%
WHR	Justin Tafa	1434.77	+27.93	54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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UFC Fight Night 250: A Defining Moment for Fighters, the Middleweight Division, and the Future of MMA

Posted on January 31, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed martial arts has always been a sport of unpredictability. Legends rise and fall, new stars emerge from the shadows, and the dynamics of divisions shift with every event. UFC Fight Night 250, scheduled for February 1, 2025, at the anb Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, is no exception. This event is not just another fight night; it carries the weight of history, potential career resurgences, and the possible rise of future champions. With Israel Adesanya making his return against a hungry contender in Nassourdine Imavov, this main event has the potential to alter the course of the UFC middleweight division.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Henry Cejudo vs Song Yadong: Triple C to Get Back on Track?

Posted on January 29, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Two top-tier bantamweights Henry Cejudo and Song Yadong will step into the Octagon in the main event of UFC Fight Night 252, at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle on Saturday, February 22.

Fans are eagerly anticipating what promises to be an exciting matchup, with the best sports betting sites gearing up to provide competitive odds for the bout.

Following back-to-back losses against Aljamain Sterling and Merab Dvalishvili, Cejudo will be looking to restore his winning reputation. Before those defeats, Triple C was on a six-fight win streak taking out some big names such as Dominick Cruz, Marlon Moraes, TJ Dillashaw and Demetrious Johnson.

Meanwhile, Song is also focused on getting back to his best after losing to Petr Yan at UFC 299. Before that, Kung Fu Kid was on a two-fight win streak following victories over Ricky Simon and Chris Gutierrez.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Adesanya vs Imavov (02-01-2025)

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Israel Adesanya	-172		60.48%
Elo K170	Nassourdine Imavov	2129.10	+55.48	57.92%
Elo Modified	Nassourdine Imavov	2067.77	+8.80	51.27%
Glicko-1	Nassourdine Imavov	2142.97	+48.45	56.93%
WHR	Israel Adesanya	2001.24	+32.55	54.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sharabutdin Magomedov	-190		62.74%
Elo K170	Michael Page	1975.46	+48.71	56.96%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	1965.28	+29.17	54.19%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2034.18	+37.47	55.37%
WHR	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1928.16	+31.50	54.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sergei Pavlovich	-304		71.83%
Elo K170	Sergei Pavlovich	1922.30	+39.40	55.65%
Elo Modified	Sergei Pavlovich	1930.58	+93.97	63.20%
Glicko-1	Sergei Pavlovich	2022.14	+150.13	70.35%
WHR	Sergei Pavlovich	1914.43	+131.64	68.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (01-26-2025)

Posted on January 26, 2025 by Jason

PFL: Road to Dubai Championship Series – A Visual Preview

Posted on January 23, 2025 by Oleg

PFL: Road to Dubai Championship Series will take place January 25, 2025, at Coca-Cola Arena in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

The event can be viewed in US on MAX starting at 11:00 AM EST.

Main Event: (C) [#3PFL] [#14 LW] Usman Nurmagomedov vs [#1 PFL] [#10 LW] Paul Hughes for the PFL Lightweight Championship

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UFC 311: A Visual Preview

Posted on January 17, 2025 by Oleg

UFC 311 takes place on Saturday, January 18th at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California, US. The main card broadcast begins at 10 PM EST live on ESPN+ Pay-Per-View. Prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 8 PM EST, and the early prelims start at 6 PM EST on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card

Main Event: UFC Lightweight Championship (155)

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UFC 311: A Comprehensive Overview Of Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2 & Dvalishvili vs Nurmagomedov

Posted on January 15, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Billed as “Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2”, UFC 311 promises to be an event that lives up to the hype that fight fans have had ever since it was announced.

Set to take place in Inglewood, California, at the Intuit Dome on January 18, 2025, MMA enthusiasts have arguably been waiting years to see the rematch take place between Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan. The duo faced off against each other in a contest at UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleynik in April 2019, where Makhachev was victorious by unanimous decision.

It was a fight that had attracted plenty of attention when it took place almost six years ago and is one that is going to intrigue even more this time around. Bettors are going to be keen on what the fight has to offer, as those who participate in UFC betting activities will find it difficult to find the flight hard to ignore. At the same time, it is a card that is stacked with talent, thus presenting several wagering opportunities that can help enhance the overall entertainment that can be obtained when the athletes take to the Octagon.

There had been concerns that this fight would have to be postponed due to the current wildfires that are being experienced in California. However, the venue has already confirmed that they would be in a position to keep the event going ahead, which is going to have pleased fans and bettors alike.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2 (01-18-2025)

Posted on January 13, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0, -412) vs. [#2] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, +309)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #3 ranked Lightweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#85LW] Joaquim Silva (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-412		76.69%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2556.76	+254.43	81.22%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2486.06	+287.50	83.96%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2615.44	+351.80	88.34%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2401.98	+275.75	83.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 231, Arman Tsarukyan 280
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0, +260) vs. [#4] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0-0, -339)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#8BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#92BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-339		73.54%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2333.07	+201.36	76.12%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2307.32	+202.31	76.22%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2373.25	+200.67	76.05%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2142.63	+89.04	62.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 126, Umar Nurmagomedov 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1, -109) vs. [#4] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0, -112)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#36HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jamahal Hill	-112		50.32%
Elo K170	Jiri Prochazka	2065.68	+71.39	60.13%
Elo Modified	Jiri Prochazka	2049.92	+56.56	58.07%
Glicko-1	Jiri Prochazka	2147.96	+78.90	61.16%
WHR	Jiri Prochazka	1995.35	+112.11	65.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 203, Jamahal Hill 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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