Event Previews – Page 21

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (2020-06-06)

Posted on June 1, 2020 by Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0, -582) vs. [#6] Felicia Spencer (8-1-0, +417)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#1BW/#8DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#25FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Nunes	-582		81.52%
Elo K170	Amanda Nunes	2024.67	+498.24	90.69%
Elo Modified	Amanda Nunes	1987.37	+417.36	86.14%
Glicko-1	Amanda Nunes	2050.60	+477.15	93.98%
WHR	Amanda Nunes	2142.16	+172.97	68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 175, Felicia Spencer 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0, +120) vs. [*] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0, -146)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #20 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #7 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (0-3-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cody Garbrandt	-146		56.63%
Elo K170	Raphael Assuncao	1855.29	+53.47	56.08%
Elo Modified	Cody Garbrandt	1825.74	+10.56	51.16%
Glicko-1	Cody Garbrandt	1844.49	+9.92	51.43%
WHR	Cody Garbrandt	1940.75	+56.03	56.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Assuncao 294, Cody Garbrandt 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raphael Assuncao leads 2-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Aljamain Sterling (18-3-0, -114) vs. [#5] Cory Sandhagen (12-1-0, -109)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #24 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#6BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#75FW] Cody Stamann (18-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#17BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#68BW] Mario Bautista (8-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Aljamain Sterling	-114		50.53%
Elo K170	Aljamain Sterling	2120.72	+176.70	69.15%
Elo Modified	Aljamain Sterling	2086.47	+207.28	71.25%
Glicko-1	Aljamain Sterling	2143.59	+220.63	78.08%
WHR	Aljamain Sterling	2043.07	+26.15	52.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 364, Cory Sandhagen 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 9: Woodley vs. Burns (2020-05-30)

Posted on May 25, 2020 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[*] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1, 170.5lb, -186) vs. [#9] Gilbert Burns (18-3-0, 170.5lb, +154)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#14WW] Demian Maia (28-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#24WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#55WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Tyron Woodley			62.28%
Elo K170	Tyron Woodley	2247.91	+118.23	63.18%
Elo Modified	Tyron Woodley	2185.79	+80.41	58.71%
Glicko-1	Tyron Woodley	2251.86	+69.91	59.93%
WHR	Gilbert Burns	2036.36	+250.28	75.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 455, Gilbert Burns 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (259)
[#12] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0, 255.5lb, -110) vs. [#27] Augusto Sakai (14-1-1, 259.5lb, -114)

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (23-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#43HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#28HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#26HW+] Marcin Tybura (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#30HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#70HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Augusto Sakai			50.42%
Elo K170	Blagoy Ivanov	1855.20	+95.84	60.78%
Elo Modified	Blagoy Ivanov	1931.69	+175.41	68.31%
Glicko-1	Blagoy Ivanov	2001.18	+201.28	76.9%
WHR	Blagoy Ivanov	1866.91	+95.43	60.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 210, Augusto Sakai 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (150)
[#169] Spike Carlyle (9-1-0, 150.0lb, +120) vs. [#170] Billy Quarantillo (13-2-0, 149.5lb, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#264FW] Aalon Cruz (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1807LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#596WW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#236FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2019-07-23: W vs. [#247FW] Kamuela Kirk (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [*] Adrian Vilaca (8-3-0) via KO in 4:32 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Odds Favorite	Billy Quarantillo			56.63%
Elo K170	Billy Quarantillo	1670.65	+143.40	65.82%
Elo Modified	Billy Quarantillo	1685.99	+105.25	61.32%
Glicko-1	Billy Quarantillo	1751.74	+132.13	68.15%
WHR	Billy Quarantillo	1870.58	+94.99	60.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Spike Carlyle 91, Billy Quarantillo 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris (05-16-2020)

Posted on May 16, 2020 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0, +130) vs. [#16] Walt Harris (13-7-0, -158)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#8HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-04-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#34HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [#42HW+] Sergey Spivak (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1836.95) [+120.35] – Win%: 63.41
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1860.35) [+58.47] – Win%: 56.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alistair Overeem (1805.87) [+11.27] – Win%: 52.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 161, Walt Harris 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alistair Overeem leads 3-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0, -194) vs. [#16] Angela Hill (12-7-0, +162)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #30 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#22SW] Randa Markos (10-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6SW] Carla Esparza (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#99SW] Konklak Suphisara (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#43SW] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#54SW] Ariane Carnelossi (12-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 63.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1627.84) [+102.04] – Win%: 61.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1619.37) [+80.08] – Win%: 58.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Claudia Gadelha (1599.79) [+50.98] – Win%: 59.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 315, Angela Hill 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#14LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0, -132) vs. [#21] Dan Ige (13-2-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#32FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#54FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#153FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Ige (1935.29) [+99.08] – Win%: 61.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1887.89) [+10.73] – Win%: 51.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Edson Barboza (1909.09) [+57.43] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 252, Dan Ige 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira (05-13-2020)

Posted on May 11, 2020 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Anthony Smith (33-14-0, -173) vs. [#11] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0, +143)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#43MW] Karl Roberson (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Smith – Win%: 60.62
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Smith (2080.27) [+125.09] – Win%: 63.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Smith (2091.57) [+163.18] – Win%: 67.14
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Anthony Smith (2088.13) [+156.02] – Win%: 76.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 347, Glover Teixeira 242
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#30] Ben Rothwell (37-12-0, +124) vs. [#22LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0, -150)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#12HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#47LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-13: L vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ovince St. Preux – Win%: 57.33
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ovince St. Preux (1733.16) [+31.62] – Win%: 53.60
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ovince St. Preux (1757.42) [+18.91] – Win%: 52.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ben Rothwell (1735.59) [+5.80] – Win%: 51.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 158, Ovince St. Preux 228
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#10] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) vs. [#35] Drew Dober (22-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#18LW] Francisco Trinaldo (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#50LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#90LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#438FW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#16LW] Beneil Dariush (18-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Hernandez (1843.03) [+75.41] – Win%: 58.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Hernandez (1817.88) [+56.68] – Win%: 56.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexander Hernandez (1824.03) [+53.17] – Win%: 59.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 298, Drew Dober 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Hernandez leads 2-0
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Therapy for the Sports Fans

Posted on May 7, 2020 by Oleg

We’re now approaching two months into an almost complete lock-down of the United States, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As our nation and the rest of the world are looking to gradually resume normalcy, the state of professional sports is not looking good for the rest of 2020. While NFL is still planning to kick off the 2020-2021 season in the fall, both NBA and NHL likely won’t start their regular seasons until the very end of the year – and that’s the best case scenario. However MMA followers might have it better than the fans of more traditional ball-and-stick team sports: there are only 3 people who have to be in the combat arena at any given time, which makes it far more reasonable to practice some semblance of social distancing. UFC president Dana White has been raring at the bit to bring back violent action in the Octagon. And while UFC 249 had to be postponed from the originally scheduled date of April 18th, it looks like things have finally fallen into place – though we won’t be seeing the long awaited lightweight title bout between Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov just yet, we are going to see some actual MMA fights this Saturday! (Fingers crossed).

Of course in the big scheme of things, lack of professional sports is a comparatively minor problem during a pandemic. Aside from the obvious worrying about infection and illness, a huge number of people are out of work and have a hard time paying the bills or putting food on the table. And even those of us who are lucky to still have a job – and perhaps even an ability to work remotely from the safety of our homes – are bound to be affected by the uncertainty of the current situation. The anxiety can build up, leading to depression and other psychological issues. If you are struggling with anxiety or depression, please seek professional help. You might think that you can’t afford it, but the cost of therapy may be less than you realize. And while it’s easy to dismiss sports as meaningless entertainment, for those of us who are used to watching MMA fights every weekend – or basketball games several times a week, the change in routine brings additional free time to fill. This is certainly not helping anyone’s mental state. Luckily, Dana White and UFC are coming to the rescue. Let’s take a look at three top-billed fights from each of the three UFC events scheduled in the next ten days.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje (05-09-2020)

Posted on May 3, 2020 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#2/#6DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0, -179) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0, +150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #10 ranked Lightweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-07: W vs. [#8LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-08-25: W vs. [#113WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Ferguson – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Ferguson (2326.98) [+147.38] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Ferguson (2265.16) [+142.16] – Win%: 65.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tony Ferguson (2285.64) [+124.10] – Win%: 71.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 336, Justin Gaethje 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Justin Gaethje leads 3-2
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#9DD/#2P4P] Henry Cejudo (15-2-0, -222) vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0, +181)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#8BW/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2016-12-30: L vs. [#25BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-47)
2016-06-04: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2016-01-17: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Henry Cejudo – Win%: 65.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Henry Cejudo (2247.66) [+229.12] – Win%: 74.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Henry Cejudo (2163.15) [+213.73] – Win%: 71.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Henry Cejudo (2199.49) [+209.55] – Win%: 81.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 336, Dominick Cruz 1226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dominick Cruz leads 4-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0, -285) vs. [#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-0-0, +229)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#6HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#26HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-11-02: W vs. [#38HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#147HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 70.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Francis Ngannou (2149.39) [+337.67] – Win%: 82.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Francis Ngannou (2133.52) [+301.99] – Win%: 78.95
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Francis Ngannou (2117.05) [+278.58] – Win%: 88.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 315, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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UFC 249: Preview and Prediction for Ferguson-Gaethje

Posted on April 30, 2020 by A. J. Riot

For the love of all that is holy, finally, we get some real, live sporting action coming up soon.

On May 9th, UFC 249 is supposed to take place. Who knows if local regulations will still permit it a couple of weeks from now; we could see a regression in the control of this outbreak. That said, I really, really, really, sincerely hope we get to see this event.

It’s not Tony Ferguson vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov like we all wanted. But according to Dana White, the winner of this fight will get Nurmagomedov. Khabib withdrew in his scheduled tilt against Ferguson because he was ‘stuck in Russia’ due to the coronavirus – yeah, yeah, a likely story. But Dana says we’ll see Khabib fight the winner of the May 9th fight in the fall, ‘100 percent.’

Dana has gone back on his word many-a-times, so I’m just hoping that this is true. Dana White also said, “The Ferguson vs. Gaethje fight is one of the most violent fights you will see.” – White via ESPN. Ok … I disagree. But we’ll see. But hey, man. I like the hype.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 28: Lee vs. Oliveira (03-14-2020)

Posted on March 9, 2020 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#6] Kevin Lee (18-5-0, -142) vs. [#8] Charles Oliveira (28-8-0, +116)
Kevin Lee is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Lee (1-2-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22LW] Gregor Gillespie (13-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:47 of round 1
2019-05-18: L vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-12-15: L vs. [#13LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#110LW] Jared Gordon (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#47FW] Nik Lentz (30-11-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2019-02-02: W vs. [#46LW] David Teymur (8-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:55 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Lee – Win%: 55.89
Elo Favorite (Standard): Charles Oliveira (2066.44) [+60.69] – Win%: 56.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Charles Oliveira (2065.30) [+97.23] – Win%: 60.49
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Charles Oliveira (2069.93) [+94.71] – Win%: 66.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Lee 133, Charles Oliveira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#8] Demian Maia (28-9-0, +167) vs. [#20] Gilbert Burns (17-3-0, -204)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:54 of round 3
2019-06-29: W vs. [#16WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-5-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#39WW] Lyman Good (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#22WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#49WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#239LW] Mike Davis (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gilbert Burns – Win%: 64.18
Elo Favorite (Standard): Demian Maia (2157.98) [+147.30] – Win%: 66.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Demian Maia (2107.18) [+101.42] – Win%: 60.92
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Demian Maia (2107.75) [+74.81] – Win%: 63.32
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 140, Gilbert Burns 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#15] Randa Markos (10-7-1, +216) vs. [#22] Amanda Ribas (8-1-0, -270)

Last 3 Fights: Randa Markos (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#37SW] Ashley Yoder (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#42SW] Mackenzie Dern (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#70SW] Emily Whitmire (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2016-05-21: W vs. [#54SW] Jennifer Gonzalez Araneda (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:42 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Ribas – Win%: 69.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Ribas (1487.35) [+16.28] – Win%: 51.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Ribas (1553.11) [+119.16] – Win%: 62.75
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Amanda Ribas (1518.47) [+71.74] – Win%: 63.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randa Markos 140, Amanda Ribas 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 248: Adesanya vs Romero (03-07-2020)

Posted on March 2, 2020 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#10P4P] Israel Adesanya (18-0-0, -272) vs. [#5] Yoel Romero (13-4-0, +217)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Yoel Romero is the All-Time #10 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2
2019-04-13: W vs. [#9MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-5-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#31MW] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#2MW] Paulo Henrique Costa (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 69.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Israel Adesanya (2300.34) [+296.60] – Win%: 79.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Israel Adesanya (2251.89) [+211.23] – Win%: 71.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Israel Adesanya (2225.31) [+159.88] – Win%: 76.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Yoel Romero 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 3-2
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Weili Zhang (20-1-0, -181) vs. [#3/#7DD/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0, +150)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#7P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#38SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (17-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Weili Zhang – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Weili Zhang (1874.18) [+154.26] – Win%: 66.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Weili Zhang (1848.41) [+128.90] – Win%: 63.74
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Weili Zhang (1874.48) [+168.06] – Win%: 77.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 189, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#18] Beneil Dariush (17-4-1, -164) vs. [#33] Drakkar Klose (11-1-1, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#143LW] Frank Camacho (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#36LW] Drew Dober (22-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2
2018-11-10: W vs. [#115LW] Thiago Moises (12-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#55LW] Christos Giagos (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#75LW] Bobby Green (24-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#34LW] Lando Vannata (11-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Beneil Dariush – Win%: 59.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Beneil Dariush (1895.67) [+62.04] – Win%: 57.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Beneil Dariush (1878.97) [+70.20] – Win%: 57.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Beneil Dariush (1894.69) [+80.73] – Win%: 64.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 133, Drakkar Klose 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 27: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo (02-29-2020)

Posted on February 24, 2020 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1] Joseph Benavidez (28-5-0, -129) vs. [#3] Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1-0, +104)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #15 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#9FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#8FLY] Alex Perez (23-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#21FLY] Tim Elliott (15-10-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-07-27: W vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (2067.41) [+119.82] – Win%: 63.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (2051.53) [+134.33] – Win%: 64.29
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Joseph Benavidez (2034.93) [+85.36] – Win%: 65.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 245, Deiveson Figueiredo 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 4-2
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Felicia Spencer (7-1-0, -746) vs. [#24] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-3-0, +510)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#11FW] Pam Sorenson (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Zarah Fairn dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-12-15: W vs. [#215FLY] Izabela Badurek (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#50FLY] Suvi Salmimies (11-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Felicia Spencer – Win%: 84.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Felicia Spencer (1489.70) [+233.01] – Win%: 74.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Felicia Spencer (1535.41) [+222.53] – Win%: 72.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Felicia Spencer (1473.25) [+156.74] – Win%: 77.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felicia Spencer 217, Zarah Fairn dos Santos 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Felicia Spencer leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Magomed Ankalaev (12-1-0, -249) vs. [#30] Ion Cutelaba (15-4-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [#34LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [*] Marcin Prachnio (13-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#42LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-27: L vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#85LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:25 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Ankalaev – Win%: 68.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Magomed Ankalaev (1822.00) [+161.16] – Win%: 67.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Magomed Ankalaev (1825.13) [+138.49] – Win%: 64.71
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Magomed Ankalaev (1793.40) [+89.59] – Win%: 66.39
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 112, Ion Cutelaba 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 25: Felder vs. Hooker (02-22-2020)

Posted on February 19, 2020 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#8] Dan Hooker (19-8-0, -136) vs. [#9] Paul Felder (17-4-0, +112)
Paul Felder is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#13LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#112WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#112WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#30WW] Mike Perry (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dan Hooker – Win%: 54.99
Elo Favorite (Standard): Paul Felder (1997.16) [+12.99] – Win%: 51.48
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dan Hooker (1969.78) [+19.40] – Win%: 52.12
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Dan Hooker (1981.82) [+20.38] – Win%: 53.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 140, Paul Felder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34] Jim Crute (10-1-0, +125) vs. [#42] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-3-0, -149)

Last 3 Fights: Jim Crute (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#20LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-5-0) via Submission (Peruvian Necktie) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#39LHW] Sam Alvey (33-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2018-12-01: W vs. [#47LHW] Paul Craig (12-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-20: W vs. [#85LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#44LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michal Oleksiejczuk – Win%: 57.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1646.75) [+41.12] – Win%: 54.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1664.15) [+3.19] – Win%: 50.35
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1664.40) [+47.53] – Win%: 58.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Crute 161, Michal Oleksiejczuk 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#59] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (16-6-1, -146) vs. [#144] Ben Sosoli (7-2-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1-2-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 2
2018-11-03: W vs. [*] Adam Wieczorek (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ben Sosoli (1-0-0, 2 NC)
2019-10-18: NC vs. [#104HW+] Greg Hardy (5-2-0)
2019-08-27: NC vs. [#223HW+] Dustin Joynson (5-0-0)
2019-03-29: W vs. [#318HW+] Kelvin Fitial (15-9-2) via KO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marcos Rogerio de Lima – Win%: 56.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1527.20) [+167.14] – Win%: 68.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1573.28) [+202.54] – Win%: 70.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1514.40) [+120.68] – Win%: 72.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcos Rogerio de Lima 364, Ben Sosoli 127
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 25: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 (02-15-2020)

Posted on February 11, 2020 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Jan Blachowicz (25-8-0, +184) vs. [#9] Corey Anderson (13-4-0, -227)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Corey Anderson is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#10MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2019-02-23: L vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#27LHW] Johnny Walker (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#47HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Corey Anderson – Win%: 66.34
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jan Blachowicz (2064.49) [+64.86] – Win%: 57.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jan Blachowicz (2017.04) [+3.13] – Win%: 50.34
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jan Blachowicz (2033.48) [+26.79] – Win%: 54.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 91, Corey Anderson 105
Previous Match-up Record: Corey Anderson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#61] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0, +133) vs. [#142] Michel Pereira (24-10-0, -160)
Diego Sanchez is the All-Time #23 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Sanchez (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#155WW] Mickey Gall (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-09-08: W vs. [#248WW] Craig White (14-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#92WW] Tristan Connelly (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#115WW] Danny Roberts (17-5-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#571HW+] Dae Sung Kim (4-6-0) via TKO in 1:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michel Pereira – Win%: 58.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Diego Sanchez (1711.43) [+187.22] – Win%: 70.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Diego Sanchez (1707.76) [+158.73] – Win%: 66.70
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Diego Sanchez (1668.64) [+98.66] – Win%: 68.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Sanchez 224, Michel Pereira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Devin Clark (10-4-0) vs. [#164] Dequan Townsend (22-10-0)

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (17-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
2019-06-01: W vs. [#121LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#19LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dequan Townsend (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#128MW] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3
2019-03-09: W vs. [#399LHW] Wayman Carter (7-10-0) via SUB in of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Devin Clark (1553.42) [+247.08] – Win%: 75.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Devin Clark (1573.65) [+242.13] – Win%: 74.27
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Devin Clark (1535.67) [+188.83] – Win%: 81.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devin Clark 126, Dequan Townsend 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Jon Jones and the State of the Light-Heavyweight Division

Posted on February 3, 2020 by Oleg

UFC is kicking off 2020 with back-to-back Pay-Per-View events showcasing two of their biggest stars: while UFC 246 featured the long-awaited return of Conor McGregor, this coming Saturday UFC 247 will take us to Houston, Texas – where the reigning light-heavyweight champion and top ranked Jon Jones will put his title on the line against the undefeated [#9] Dominick Reyes.

Besides the big stars in the main event, these cards have something else in common. For one, a relatively weak undercard – something to be expected these days with a big-name main event. UFC 247 does have another title fight, with Valentina Schevchenko defending the women’s flyweight belt against Katlyn Chookagian in the co-main, but the quality of match-ups drops off drastically after that. The quality of the undercard aside, even the main event seems like a foregone conclusion. This was true for McGregor vs Cerrone, and the fight played out much like most fans and pundits envisioned. The same seems to be the case for Jones vs Reyes. Some MMA sportsbooks are offering great odds for this fight, if you want to drop a few bucks on the champion, or try to win big betting on the underdog challenger. But I am not a gambler, so I will instead examine this fight from the sporting perspective – as well as the overall state of the UFC’s light-heavyweight division, which was once the showcase of the promotion.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes (02-08-2020)

Posted on February 3, 2020 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (25-1-0, -450) vs. [#9] Dominick Reyes (12-0-0, +337)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#4LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#14MW] Chris Weidman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 78.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2426.11) [+440.21] – Win%: 88.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2358.60) [+420.93] – Win%: 86.33
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jon Jones (2352.40) [+350.78] – Win%: 92.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 217, Dominick Reyes 113
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (18-3-0, -1226) vs. [#2/#6P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (13-2-0, +722)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #11 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#4FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#7DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#8FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 88.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1854.94) [+134.20] – Win%: 64.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1860.55) [+110.34] – Win%: 61.85
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Valentina Shevchenko (1851.42) [+117.13] – Win%: 70.38
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 182, Katlyn Chookagian 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#173] Juan Adams (5-2-0, -226) vs. [#349] Justin Tafa (3-1-0, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#104HW+] Greg Hardy (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2019-05-04: L vs. [#67HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#230HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#146HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [NA] David Taumoepeau (1-3-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [*] Jeremy Joiner (4-3-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1270.41) [+121.23] – Win%: 63.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Adams (1412.99) [+159.56] – Win%: 66.79
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Juan Adams (1326.52) [+117.55] – Win%: 71.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 203, Justin Tafa 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. dos Santos (01-25-2020)

Posted on January 22, 2020 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0, +197) vs. [#7] Curtis Blaydes (12-2-0, -245)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#44HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#17HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16HW+] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 67.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2018.18) [+70.21] – Win%: 57.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2029.22) [+65.99] – Win%: 57.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Junior dos Santos (2019.20) [+66.54] – Win%: 62.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 210, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#7] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0, -260) vs. [#25] Michael Chiesa (16-4-0, +209)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#5WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (18-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#75WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-07-07: L vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rafael dos Anjos – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2029.40) [+89.18] – Win%: 60.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (1994.37) [+67.74] – Win%: 57.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rafael dos Anjos (2007.12) [+76.27] – Win%: 63.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 189, Michael Chiesa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, -103) vs. [#32] Arnold Allen (15-1-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#26FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#84LW] Michael Johnson (19-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#14FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-17-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#100FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#86FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#81FW] Mads Burnell (13-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 51.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1954.82) [+113.53] – Win%: 62.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1940.09) [+106.52] – Win%: 61.45
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Josh Emmett (1937.01) [+96.57] – Win%: 67.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 196, Arnold Allen 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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