Event Previews – Page 6

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot (03-30-2024)

Posted on March 25, 2024 by Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3/#8DD/#8P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0, +116) vs. [#4/#7P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0, -141)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #44 ranked Women’s fighter.
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #48 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#5FLY/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#10FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#12FLY] Jennifer Maia (21-10-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (3-0-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#9FLY] Taila Santos (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#5SW] Jessica Andrade (25-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#34SW] Molly McCann (14-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:37 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Erin Blanchfield	-141		55.82%
Elo K170	Manon Fiorot	1900.55	+21.15	53.04%
Elo Modified	Erin Blanchfield	1903.15	+29.37	54.22%
Glicko-1	Erin Blanchfield	1926.20	+55.87	57.97%
WHR	Erin Blanchfield	1797.42	+0.53	50.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 210, Erin Blanchfield 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#11] Vicente Luque (22-9-1, -148) vs. [#25] Joaquin Buckley (17-6-0, +121)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#11LW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-16-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#15WW] Geoff Neal (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2022-04-16: L vs. [#3WW] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#35WW] Alex Morono (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#81WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vicente Luque	-148		56.87%
Elo K170	Vicente Luque	2059.66	+230.09	79.00%
Elo Modified	Vicente Luque	2021.41	+189.63	74.87%
Glicko-1	Vicente Luque	2070.41	+188.13	74.70%
WHR	Vicente Luque	1890.49	+171.19	72.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 231, Joaquin Buckley 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#32] Bruno Silva (23-10-0, -277) vs. [#66] Chris Weidman (15-7-0, +217)
Chris Weidman is the All-Time #3 ranked Middleweight and #22 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#23MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (13-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#9MW] Brendan Allen (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (20-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Weidman (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-04-24: L vs. [*] Uriah Hall (17-11-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 0:17 of round 1
2020-08-08: W vs. [*] Omari Akhmedov (24-8-1) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bruno Silva	-277		69.95%
Elo K170	Chris Weidman	1745.05	+84.73	61.96%
Elo Modified	Chris Weidman	1771.85	+85.32	62.04%
Glicko-1	Chris Weidman	1791.07	+54.93	57.84%
WHR	Bruno Silva	1683.24	+148.55	70.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 161, Chris Weidman 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Bruno Silva leads 1-0
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UFC 2024: A Global Stage for Martial Arts Mastery

Posted on March 23, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Picture Credit

The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) calendar for 2024 is shaping up to be another electrifying year for mixed martial arts enthusiasts. With a slate of events that span the globe, the UFC continues to cement its status as the pinnacle of combat sports. In this article, we delve into the highlights of the upcoming UFC events, offering fans a glimpse into the matchups that are sure to captivate audiences worldwide.

A High-Octane Beginning and Mid-Year Spectacles

The year began with Magomed Ankalaev defeating Johnny Walker by TKO (strikes) in the second round of their rematch in January. This victory was a significant highlight early in the UFC calendar, setting a high standard for the fights that followed. By the time UFC 297 rolled around, fans had already witnessed a series of compelling bouts, including Sean Strickland’s encounter with Dricus du Plessis for the UFC Middleweight Title in Toronto. The months that followed continued to deliver exciting matchups, with UFC 298 showcasing a featherweight title fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Ilia Topuria, alongside other notable fights such as Robert Whittaker vs. Paulo Costa and Tai Tuivasa vs. Marcin Tybura.

In UFC 299, Sean O’Malley beat Marlon Vera by decision in a much-anticipated rematch for the UFC Bantamweight Title in Miami. In the co-main event, Dustin Poirier knocked out Benoit Saint-Denis in the second round in a lightweight clash. This event also saw Michael Page improve to 22-2, winning in a decision over Kevin Holland in the welterweight division.

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This Week’s WHR Parlays…

Posted on March 20, 2024 by Jason

I know I said in my last post, I was going to cover the rest of March in that one, but changed my mind.

In this post, I’m going to cover this week’s fights and will now feature three different parlays:

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights with at least 1 draw or 1 loss. More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Major organizations only. I may leave comments on interesting bets for other organizations.

Now for the parlays…

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas (03-23-2024)

Posted on March 18, 2024 by Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-6-0, -177) vs. [#6SW] Amanda Ribas (12-4-0, +146)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #10 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (1-2-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#3FLY/#7DD/#8P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-05-07: L vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via SD ()
2021-11-06: W vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (24-3-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-06-24: L vs. [#5FLY] Maycee Barber (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#11FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rose Namajunas	-177		61.11%
Elo K170	Rose Namajunas	1779.79	+124.26	67.15%
Elo Modified	Rose Namajunas	1755.84	+84.86	61.97%
Glicko-1	Rose Namajunas	1735.05	+75.64	60.72%
WHR	Rose Namajunas	1699.09	+61.24	58.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 203, Amanda Ribas 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#60] Justin Tafa (7-3-0, +209) vs. [#68] Karl Williams (9-1-0, -267)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#125HW+] Austen Lane (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#125HW+] Austen Lane (12-4-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#120HW+] Parker Porter (13-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Karl Williams (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#69HW+] Chase Sherman (18-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#169HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (8-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2022-09-06: W vs. [*] Jimmy Lawson (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Karl Williams	-267		69.21%
Elo K170	Karl Williams	1548.72	+32.94	54.73%
Elo Modified	Karl Williams	1622.79	+50.33	57.19%
Glicko-1	Justin Tafa	1623.74	+50.05	57.15%
WHR	Justin Tafa	1521.04	+53.90	57.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 196, Karl Williams 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#63] Edmen Shahbazyan (12-4-0, -192) vs. [#156] A.J. Dobson (7-2-0, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#25MW] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-12-10: W vs. [*] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#13MW] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: A.J. Dobson (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#175MW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#80MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#107MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Edmen Shahbazyan	-192		62.73%
Elo K170	Edmen Shahbazyan	1578.86	+173.80	73.12%
Elo Modified	Edmen Shahbazyan	1592.60	+100.31	64.05%
Glicko-1	Edmen Shahbazyan	1618.65	+166.34	72.26%
WHR	Edmen Shahbazyan	1543.43	+80.90	61.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edmen Shahbazyan 308, A.J. Dobson 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura (03-16-2024)

Posted on March 11, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0, -128) vs. [#16] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0, +104)
Tai Tuivasa is the All-Time #49 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (0-3-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2022-12-03: L vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-02-04: W vs. [#25HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (19-6-0) via UD ()
2022-08-20: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tai Tuivasa	-128		53.38%
Elo K170	Marcin Tybura	1862.59	+104.08	64.55%
Elo Modified	Marcin Tybura	1878.58	+104.84	64.65%
Glicko-1	Marcin Tybura	1900.89	+78.35	61.09%
WHR	Marcin Tybura	1781.69	+89.16	62.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tai Tuivasa 189, Marcin Tybura 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 5 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#31] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-4-0, -493) vs. [#45] Ovince St. Preux (26-17-0, +350)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#22LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#44LHW] Devin Clark (14-9-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:28 of round 2
2022-11-19: W vs. [#29LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-10-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#18LHW] Philipe Lins (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#64LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kennedy Nzechukwu	-493		78.91%
Elo K170	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1615.71	+83.10	61.74%
Elo Modified	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1662.55	+112.03	65.59%
Glicko-1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1701.10	+149.64	70.29%
WHR	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1659.57	+120.40	66.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 224, Ovince St. Preux 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Mike Davis (10-2-0, -260) vs. [*] Natan Levy (8-1-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (3-0-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#176LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (7-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#86LW] Mason Jones (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Thomas Gifford (17-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:45 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Natan Levy (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#715LW] Genaro Valdez (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#209LW] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#41LW] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mike Davis	-260		68.91%
Elo K170	Mike Davis	1626.84	+90.45	62.73%
Elo Modified	Mike Davis	1661.28	+100.34	64.05%
Glicko-1	Mike Davis	1678.91	+148.62	70.17%
WHR	Mike Davis	1664.94	+201.00	76.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Davis 532, Natan Levy 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Art of War: Gaethje’s Approach to Modern MMA

Posted on March 7, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a constantly evolving sport, demanding its athletes adapt and refine their skills to stay competitive. Among these athletes, Justin Gaethje stands out for his remarkable evolution from a brawler known for his sheer aggression and willingness to engage in wars, to a more strategic and technical fighter.

This article delves into the transformation of Gaethje’s fighting style, exploring how his approach has shifted within the modern MMA landscape, highlighting his journey towards becoming a more calculated competitor in the octagon and discussing his UFC 300 fight against Max Holloway at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on April 13.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 299: O’Malley vs. Vera 2 (03-09-2024)

Posted on March 4, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#9DD/#10P4P] Sean OMalley (17-1-0, -279) vs. [#5] Marlon Vera (24-8-1, +222)
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #12 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (23-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
2022-10-22: W vs. [#8BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:17 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean OMalley	-279		70.32%
Elo K170	Sean OMalley	2123.84	+52.00	57.43%
Elo Modified	Marlon Vera	2085.54	+28.81	54.14%
Glicko-1	Marlon Vera	2156.78	+23.83	53.42%
WHR	Sean OMalley	1962.01	+2.97	50.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 203, Marlon Vera 203
Previous Match-up Record: Marlon Vera leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#4] Dustin Poirier (29-8-0, +175) vs. [#15] Benoit St. Denis (13-1-0, -215)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (1-2-0)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#3LW/#8P4P] Justin Gaethje (25-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2021-12-11: L vs. [#2LW/#5DD/#7P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (3-0-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#38LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#51LW] Thiago Moises (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#83LW] Ismael Bonfim (19-4-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Benoit St. Denis	-215		65.24%
Elo K170	Dustin Poirier	2238.03	+263.03	81.97%
Elo Modified	Dustin Poirier	2188.08	+223.38	78.35%
Glicko-1	Dustin Poirier	2247.43	+171.99	72.91%
WHR	Dustin Poirier	2004.99	+68.90	59.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 224, Benoit St. Denis 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#14] Kevin Holland (25-10-0, -132) vs. [#18] Michael Page (21-2-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#12WW] Jack Della Maddalena (16-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#42WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2023-04-08: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#56WW] Goiti Yamauchi (28-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1
2022-05-13: L vs. [#24WW] Logan Storley (15-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)
2021-10-01: W vs. [#23MW] Douglas Lima (33-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Holland	-132		54.43%
Elo K170	Michael Page	1997.58	+99.52	63.94%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	1992.24	+51.37	57.34%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2077.22	+52.73	57.53%
WHR	Michael Page	1936.14	+89.44	62.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 175, Michael Page 365
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev (03-02-2024)

Posted on February 26, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#13] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0, +119) vs. [#37] Shamil Gaziev (12-0-0, -146)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#7HW+] Jailton Almeida (20-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2022-12-10: W vs. [#30LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-06-04: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Gaziev (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#69HW+] Martin Buday (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2
2023-09-19: W vs. [#146HW+] Greg Velasco (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2023-02-18: W vs. [#47HW+] Darko Stosic (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Shamil Gaziev	-146		56.51%
Elo K170	Shamil Gaziev	1753.20	+13.23	51.51%
Elo Modified	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1760.24	+25.72	52.81%
Glicko-1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1814.26	+25.36	53.64%
WHR	Shamil Gaziev	1740.76	+23.48	52.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 294, Shamil Gaziev 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Vitor Petrino (10-0-0, -287) vs. [#62] Tyson Pedro (10-4-0, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#51LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#36LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#155LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Pedro (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#155LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#51LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:05 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vitor Petrino	-287		70.61%
Elo K170	Vitor Petrino	1740.71	+207.33	72.06%
Elo Modified	Vitor Petrino	1761.62	+200.28	70.62%
Glicko-1	Vitor Petrino	1786.69	+167.98	72.45%
WHR	Vitor Petrino	1826.11	+241.20	75.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Petrino 119, Tyson Pedro 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vitor Petrino leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#61] Eryk Anders (15-8-0, -331) vs. [#205] Jamie Pickett (13-10-0, +251)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#77MW] Kyle Daukaus (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 2
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32MW] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (0-3-0)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#124MW] Bo Nickal (5-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2022-09-10: L vs. [#155MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-9-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:52 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Eryk Anders	-331		72.94%
Elo K170	Eryk Anders	1545.43	+370.68	84.47%
Elo Modified	Eryk Anders	1606.85	+357.24	82.69%
Glicko-1	Eryk Anders	1650.23	+438.85	92.59%
WHR	Eryk Anders	1594.96	+385.96	85.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 266, Jamie Pickett 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Eryk Anders leads 1-0
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What to Expect at UFC 299 and Who to Bet on?

Posted on February 22, 2024 by A. J. Riot

The Ultimate Fighting Championship 299: O’Malley versus Vera 2 is a scintillating promise that pits two fiercest titans against each other. Scheduled to be held at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, in March 2024, it also promises one of the biggest and most hopeful MMA events. With the stacked fight card, potential matchups may be jaw-dropping, where fans can brace themselves for adrenaline-packed action and memorable moments. Let’s delve deep into the world of UFC 299!

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Bookmaker’s Favourite In UFC 299: O’Malley Vs. Vera Fight

Posted on February 20, 2024 by A. J. Riot

The MMA calendar for 2024 is already jam-packed full of exciting events in the coming months. One of the most anticipated right now is the O’Malley vs Vera, that is scheduled for the 9th of March 2024. who is everything you need to know about the events, and who is the bookie’s favourite to win.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 (02-23-2024)

Posted on February 19, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2, -253) vs. [#5] Brandon Royval (15-7-0, +201)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #26 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#10BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (22-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#4FLY] Kai Kara-France (24-11-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#10FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [#41FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-253		68.32%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	2022.28	+171.15	68.61%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	2026.57	+266.16	76.23%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2145.82	+329.02	86.92%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	2027.83	+281.22	78.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 231, Brandon Royval 70
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#4] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0, -173) vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0, +141)
Yair Rodriguez is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#4FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-10-17: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Yair Rodriguez	-173		60.43%
Elo K170	Yair Rodriguez	2113.37	+125.87	63.99%
Elo Modified	Yair Rodriguez	2044.32	+99.92	60.76%
Glicko-1	Yair Rodriguez	2128.98	+138.90	68.99%
WHR	Yair Rodriguez	1955.28	+117.46	63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yair Rodriguez 231, Brian Ortega 588
Previous Match-up Record: Yair Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brian Ortega leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#64] Daniel Zellhuber (14-1-0, -261) vs. [#186] Francisco Prado (13-1-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Zellhuber (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#95LW] Christos Giagos (20-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#263LW] Lando Vannata (12-7-2) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#176LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#522LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#114LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-16: W vs. [#717WW] Jose Barrios Vargas (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Daniel Zellhuber	-261		68.87%
Elo K170	Daniel Zellhuber	1740.90	+145.15	66.00%
Elo Modified	Daniel Zellhuber	1768.02	+165.55	67.36%
Glicko-1	Daniel Zellhuber	1802.83	+124.56	67.20%
WHR	Daniel Zellhuber	1659.94	+127.03	64.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Zellhuber 161, Francisco Prado 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria (02-16-2024)

Posted on February 12, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-3-0, -115) vs. [#4] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0, -106)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #45 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#128LW] Jai Herbert (12-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkanovski	-115		50.96%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkanovski	2321.36	+256.15	76.32%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkanovski	2262.80	+222.64	72.61%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkanovski	2350.37	+251.14	80.93%
WHR	Alexander Volkanovski	2221.72	+172.17	68.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 119, Ilia Topuria 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#7] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0, -217) vs. [*] Paulo Costa (14-2-0, +174)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Robert Whittaker	-217		65.22%
Elo K170	Robert Whittaker	2141.38	+140.79	65.55%
Elo Modified	Robert Whittaker	2118.40	+114.65	62.29%
Glicko-1	Robert Whittaker	2177.03	+93.48	63.14%
WHR	Robert Whittaker	1951.77	+57.07	56.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 224, Paulo Costa 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Robert Whittaker leads 4-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#11] Ian Garry (13-0-0, -231) vs. [#13] Geoff Neal (15-5-0, +184)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#38WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#166WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-08-06: W vs. [#9WW] Vicente Luque (22-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2021-12-11: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ian Garry	-231		66.46%
Elo K170	Geoff Neal	1980.69	+1.27	50.15%
Elo Modified	Ian Garry	1970.17	+39.99	54.37%
Glicko-1	Ian Garry	2004.00	+34.99	55.02%
WHR	Ian Garry	1918.30	+74.75	58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Garry 182, Geoff Neal 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
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Previewing UFC 300

Posted on February 12, 2024 by Oleg

UFC 300 will take place in Las Vegas on April 13th, 2024. The date of this historic show is coming up fast, however the order of bouts on the card is also still unknown, so instead of strictly looking at the main card as I usually do in event previews, I will talk about the five fights announced so far that interest me the most:

[#3 LW] Justin Gaethje vs [#2 FW] Max Holloway

This is the highest-ranked men’s fight on the card so far. Even though it’s not for a title (and don’t tell me anything about ‘BMF’), this fight could very well be the headliner – and it actually might be, but more on this later. Here we have a former featherweight champion making his second attempt at moving up a division to take on a perennial lightweight contender. The odds favorite, Justin ‘The Highlight’ Gaethje, has rebounded from his most recent title loss to Charles Oliveira with victories over Rafael Fiziev and a spectacular second round head kick knockout over Dusting Porrier. Though he has already fought for the title twice, Justin is still very close to title contention; however he instead chose to take a superfight with Max Holloway.

Holloway has once had a long reign as the king of the featherweight division, before the ascent of Alexander Volkanovski – to whom Holloway lost thrice. He still continues to take out all the top contenders in the 145-lbs division, but as long as Volkanovski remains champion, the probability of Max getting another title shot are very low. Why not try his luck in a different weight class? This won’t be Holloway’s first foray at 155 lbs; in fact he has started his career as a lightweight, and as recently as 2019 has faced Dustin Porrier for the interim lightweight title. MMA math and the odds say that Justin should walk away victorious from this bout; indeed this will be a tough hill to climb for the outsized and outpowered Holloway, whose best chance is to out-cardio Gaethje. I’m curious to see whether Justin’s considerable power will be enough to crack Holloway’s legendary chin and it appears there is no real trend for those placing a bet online as the odds are tight.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer (02-10-2024)

Posted on February 5, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#15] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0, +178) vs. [#29] Joseph Pyfer (12-2-0, -223)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #40 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#14MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-07-23: W vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#3MW/#10DD] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#79MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#53MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [*] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joseph Pyfer	-223		65.74%
Elo K170	Jack Hermansson	1864.46	+187.12	70.16%
Elo Modified	Jack Hermansson	1909.80	+200.20	70.61%
Glicko-1	Jack Hermansson	1965.84	+178.50	73.64%
WHR	Jack Hermansson	1805.63	+127.58	64.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 434, Joseph Pyfer 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Dan Ige (17-7-0, -176) vs. [#52] Andre Fili (23-10-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#42FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#36FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#178FW] Lucas Almeida (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1
2023-07-22: L vs. [#35FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#18FW] Bill Algeo (18-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dan Ige	-176		60.97%
Elo K170	Dan Ige	1830.30	+109.34	62.24%
Elo Modified	Dan Ige	1795.55	+117.13	62.55%
Glicko-1	Dan Ige	1834.04	+124.33	67.17%
WHR	Dan Ige	1724.77	+83.67	59.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 140, Andre Fili 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#83] Robert Bryczek (17-5-0) vs. [#185] Ihor Potieria (24-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Bryczek (3-0-0)
2023-07-28: W vs. [#102LHW] Samuel Kristofic (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [#276MW] Lee Chadwick (28-19-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:41 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#331MW] Abdel Rahmane Driai (8-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ihor Potieria (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#61LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-05-13: L vs. [#31LHW] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Robert Bryczek	1645.42	+199.96	71.37%
Elo Modified	Robert Bryczek	1661.97	+191.74	69.83%
Glicko-1	Robert Bryczek	1741.82	+261.39	81.83%
WHR	Robert Bryczek	1670.09	+241.68	75.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Bryczek 197, Ihor Potieria 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Alexander Volkanovski vs. Ilia Topuria Title Fight

Posted on January 30, 2024 by A. J. Riot

The MMA world is abuzz with anticipation for UFC 298, where featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski returns to defend his title in the 145-pound division. This fight, taking place on February 17, 2024, in Anaheim, California, is about defending the title and marks a significant chapter in MMA history.

Volkanovski, coming off a challenging stint against the No. 1 pound-for-pound fighter, Islam Makhachev, where he took on the fight on short notice in October, is set to make his sixth title defense. His opponent, Ilia Topuria, comes into this bout with an unblemished record in the UFC, winning all six of his fights and securing three consecutive performance bonuses.

This will be Topuria’s first attempt at capturing UFC gold. The stakes are high for Volkanovski, who has faced setbacks in two of his last three bouts against Makhachev in his pursuit to become a two-division champion.

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