Fight Matrix Program – UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 (07-20-2024)
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#4DD/#2P4P] Leon Edwards (22-3-0, -219) vs. [#3] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0, +178)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #41 ranked Absolute fighter.
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (17-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#2WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#8WW] Gilbert Burns (22-7-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#17WW] Vicente Luque (22-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Leon Edwards | -219 | 65.61% | |
| Elo K170 | Leon Edwards | 2511.81 | +146.49 | 69.92% |
| Elo Modified | Leon Edwards | 2428.91 | +127.03 | 67.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Leon Edwards | 2475.92 | +98.88 | 63.86% |
| WHR | Leon Edwards | 2197.26 | +76.98 | 60.90% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 224, Belal Muhammad 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#2] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0, -386) vs. [#4] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0, +297)
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #30 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #23 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#8HW+] Marcin Tybura (25-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jailton Almeida (21-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-07-23: W vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tom Aspinall | -386 | 75.92% | |
| Elo K170 | Curtis Blaydes | 2095.51 | +9.74 | 51.40% |
| Elo Modified | Tom Aspinall | 2083.63 | +3.46 | 50.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Curtis Blaydes | 2176.97 | +6.01 | 50.86% |
| WHR | Tom Aspinall | 2040.57 | +12.12 | 51.74% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Aspinall 259, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tom Aspinall leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Bobby Green (32-15-1, -123) vs. [#27] Paddy Pimblett (21-3-0, +101)
Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#68LW] Jim Miller (37-18-0) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-26)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#17LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (21-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#96LW] Tony Ferguson (25-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#57LW] Jared Gordon (20-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#227LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bobby Green | -123 | 52.57% | |
| Elo K170 | Paddy Pimblett | 1926.89 | +17.54 | 52.52% |
| Elo Modified | Paddy Pimblett | 1929.69 | +36.86 | 55.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Bobby Green | 1970.21 | +4.50 | 50.65% |
| WHR | Paddy Pimblett | 1895.57 | +71.84 | 60.19% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 105, Paddy Pimblett 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba (07-20-2024)
Women Strawweight (115)
[#4/#9DD] Amanda Lemos (14-3-1, +109) vs. [#5] Virna Jandiroba (20-3-0, -132)
Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (2-1-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#7SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (25-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-4-2) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10SW] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-4-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#8SW] Angela Hill (17-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Virna Jandiroba | -132 | 54.31% | |
| Elo K170 | Amanda Lemos | 1800.01 | +36.93 | 55.29% |
| Elo Modified | Amanda Lemos | 1778.17 | +21.34 | 53.07% |
| Glicko-1 | Amanda Lemos | 1785.31 | +44.78 | 56.41% |
| WHR | Virna Jandiroba | 1696.26 | +44.57 | 56.38% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 154, Virna Jandiroba 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Lemos leads 4-3
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Middleweight (185)
[#30] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -180) vs. [#33] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +149)
Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#21MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#74MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#143MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#25MW] Gregory Rodrigues (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#28MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#41MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jun Yong Park | -180 | 61.55% | |
| Elo K170 | Jun Yong Park | 1741.08 | +42.51 | 56.09% |
| Elo Modified | Jun Yong Park | 1786.79 | +70.00 | 59.94% |
| Glicko-1 | Jun Yong Park | 1831.07 | +104.32 | 64.58% |
| WHR | Jun Yong Park | 1739.08 | +88.13 | 62.42% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 224, Brad Tavares 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#45] Steve Garcia (15-5-0, -135) vs. [#92] Seung Woo Choi (11-6-0, +112)
Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#80FW] Melquizael Costa (21-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#146FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-12-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2022-10-29: W vs. [#113LW] Chase Hooper (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Seung Woo Choi (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#164FW] Jarno Errens (14-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [*] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-06-11: L vs. [#108FW] Joshua Culibao (12-3-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Steve Garcia | -135 | 54.91% | |
| Elo K170 | Steve Garcia | 1727.80 | +242.20 | 80.13% |
| Elo Modified | Steve Garcia | 1746.30 | +211.41 | 77.15% |
| Glicko-1 | Steve Garcia | 1787.15 | +245.55 | 80.43% |
| WHR | Steve Garcia | 1682.42 | +147.30 | 70.01% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 224, Seung Woo Choi 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-14-2024)
Notable Info
- An update was also pushed to the All-Time Rankings on 7/12.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez (07-13-2024)
Women Flyweight (125)
[#4/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (12-6-0, -221) vs. [#16] Tracy Cortez (11-1-0, +180)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #7 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#13FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#3P4P] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-05-07: L vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via SD ()
Last 3 Fights: Tracy Cortez (3-0-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#18FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#14BW] Melissa Gatto (9-2-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#34FLY] Justine Kish (9-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rose Namajunas | -221 | 65.84% | |
| Elo K170 | Rose Namajunas | 1835.62 | +128.28 | 67.66% |
| Elo Modified | Rose Namajunas | 1799.79 | +123.30 | 67.04% |
| Glicko-1 | Rose Namajunas | 1793.33 | +159.71 | 71.49% |
| WHR | Rose Namajunas | 1758.21 | +142.86 | 69.47% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 112, Tracy Cortez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[*] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0, -205) vs. [#49] Muslim Salikhov (19-5-0, +168)
Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#16MW] Kevin Holland (26-11-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-10: W vs. [#52WW] Alex Morono (24-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-05-21: L vs. [#18MW] Michel Pereira (32-11-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#22WW] Randy Brown (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1
2023-06-17: L vs. [#30WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-6-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#98WW] Andre Fialho (16-9-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Santiago Ponzinibbio | -205 | 64.30% | |
| Elo K170 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | 1780.71 | +44.07 | 56.31% |
| Elo Modified | Santiago Ponzinibbio | 1856.35 | +137.28 | 68.79% |
| Glicko-1 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | 1904.14 | +172.26 | 72.94% |
| WHR | Santiago Ponzinibbio | 1743.12 | +106.03 | 64.80% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 462, Muslim Salikhov 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#36] Drew Dober (27-13-0, -111) vs. [#173] Jean Silva (13-2-0, -111)
Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#10LW] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#144LW] Ricky Glenn (22-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2023-05-06: L vs. [#42LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#68FW] Charles Jourdain (15-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 2
2024-01-13: W vs. [#150FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2023-09-05: W vs. [#249FW] Kevin Vallejos (13-1-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Drew Dober | -111 | 50.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Drew Dober | 1761.94 | +51.94 | 57.42% |
| Elo Modified | Drew Dober | 1758.67 | +8.97 | 51.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Jean Silva | 1806.37 | +4.28 | 50.62% |
| WHR | Jean Silva | 1784.08 | +2.65 | 50.38% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 161, Jean Silva 14
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-07-2024)
Notable Info
- Semi-annual (or is it bi-annual?) community adjustment caused some fluctuations within the rankings.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka (06-22-2024)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0, -166) vs. [#4] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1, +138)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#27LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alex Pereira | -166 | 59.76% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Pereira | 2222.62 | +94.56 | 63.28% |
| Elo Modified | Alex Pereira | 2187.33 | +76.81 | 60.88% |
| Glicko-1 | Alex Pereira | 2300.85 | +78.25 | 61.08% |
| WHR | Alex Pereira | 2122.78 | +64.07 | 59.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 77, Jiri Prochazka 77
Previous Match-up Record: Alex Pereira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#4] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +120) vs. [#24] Diego Lopes (24-6-0, -145)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-08-05: W vs. [#330FW] Gavin Tucker (13-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Lopes | -145 | 56.56% | |
| Elo K170 | Brian Ortega | 2102.06 | +255.21 | 81.29% |
| Elo Modified | Brian Ortega | 2058.70 | +186.82 | 74.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Brian Ortega | 2118.28 | +161.12 | 71.66% |
| WHR | Brian Ortega | 1971.85 | +131.61 | 68.08% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 126, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0, -145) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (38-19-0, +119)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#6MW] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#15MW] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-09: L vs. [#9LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Roman Dolidze | -145 | 56.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Anthony Smith | 1874.62 | +131.98 | 68.13% |
| Elo Modified | Anthony Smith | 1858.13 | +73.92 | 60.48% |
| Glicko-1 | Anthony Smith | 1898.48 | +21.83 | 53.14% |
| WHR | Roman Dolidze | 1792.14 | +37.10 | 55.32% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Smith 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov (06-22-2024)
Middleweight (185)
[#5] Robert Whittaker (25-7-0, -132) vs. [#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, +109)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#133MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Robert Whittaker | -132 | 54.31% | |
| Elo K170 | Robert Whittaker | 2193.81 | +395.22 | 90.68% |
| Elo Modified | Robert Whittaker | 2171.37 | +335.76 | 87.36% |
| Glicko-1 | Robert Whittaker | 2235.78 | +325.50 | 86.69% |
| WHR | Robert Whittaker | 1997.91 | +119.66 | 66.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 126, Ikram Aliskerov 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-2-0, -214) vs. [#5] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0, +176)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#11HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergei Pavlovich | -214 | 65.29% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Volkov | 2021.69 | +19.09 | 52.75% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkov | 2038.66 | +39.48 | 55.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkov | 2135.60 | +44.88 | 56.42% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 1988.36 | +16.28 | 52.34% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Alexander Volkov 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 4-3
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Welterweight (170)
[#24] Kelvin Gastelum (18-9-0, -239) vs. [#39] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0, +194)
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (17-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10WW] Ian Garry (14-0-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-11-05: L vs. [#19WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3
2022-09-10: W vs. [*] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kelvin Gastelum | -239 | 67.45% | |
| Elo K170 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1859.69 | +76.95 | 60.90% |
| Elo Modified | Kelvin Gastelum | 1865.16 | +110.79 | 65.42% |
| Glicko-1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 1912.01 | +127.36 | 67.55% |
| WHR | Kelvin Gastelum | 1767.26 | +79.02 | 61.18% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 203, Daniel Rodriguez 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Been on a bad streak… but have to (pretend) gamble our way out of it!
Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Now for the options…
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira (06-15-2024)
Flyweight (125)
[#11] Alex Perez (25-8-0, +162) vs. [#23] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0, -196)
Alex Perez is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#17FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:16 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#147FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#142FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#84FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tatsuro Taira | -196 | 63.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Tatsuro Taira | 1822.35 | +12.85 | 51.85% |
| Elo Modified | Tatsuro Taira | 1821.80 | +35.83 | 55.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Tatsuro Taira | 1874.42 | +43.37 | 56.21% |
| WHR | Tatsuro Taira | 1786.62 | +49.95 | 57.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 49, Tatsuro Taira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, -917) vs. [*] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, +581)
Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#144MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#134MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [*] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ikram Aliskerov | -917 | 85.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1798.61 | +326.60 | 86.76% |
| Elo Modified | Ikram Aliskerov | 1835.68 | +329.70 | 86.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 1910.30 | +401.91 | 91.00% |
| WHR | Ikram Aliskerov | 1877.88 | +395.78 | 90.70% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ikram Aliskerov 238, Antonio Trocoli 937
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#251] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0, -112) vs. [#381] Josh Quinlan (6-2-0, -108)
Last 3 Fights: Adam Fugitt (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#82WW] Mike Malott (10-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#530WW] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:36 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#23WW] Michael Morales (16-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Josh Quinlan (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#180WW] Danny Barlow (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2023-04-29: L vs. [#125WW] Trey Waters (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Adam Fugitt | -112 | 50.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Adam Fugitt | 1432.45 | +149.94 | 70.33% |
| Elo Modified | Adam Fugitt | 1460.37 | +114.93 | 65.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Adam Fugitt | 1475.20 | +144.52 | 69.68% |
| WHR | Adam Fugitt | 1463.81 | +209.24 | 76.93% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Fugitt 371, Josh Quinlan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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