MMA Ranks – Page 7 – Fight Matrix

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 6, 2024 by Jason

The WHR Win % is now age-adjusted, using a formula driven by previous results.

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Now for the options…

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov (06-08-2024)

Posted on June 3, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#5] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0, +112) vs. [#14] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0, -136)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #28 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Nassourdine Imavov	-136		54.99%
Elo K170	Jared Cannonier	2208.53	+340.23	87.63%
Elo Modified	Jared Cannonier	2134.22	+290.87	84.22%
Glicko-1	Jared Cannonier	2187.74	+309.63	85.60%
WHR	Jared Cannonier	1999.77	+191.96	75.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 357, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jared Cannonier leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#24] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1, -221) vs. [*] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0, +178)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#26LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#40LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-04-15: L vs. [#22LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (0-3-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#25LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-09-26: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dustin Jacoby	-221		65.68%
Elo K170	Dominick Reyes	1765.14	+97.81	63.71%
Elo Modified	Dominick Reyes	1743.59	+27.69	53.98%
Glicko-1	Dustin Jacoby	1791.95	+14.84	52.13%
WHR	Dustin Jacoby	1750.04	+123.29	67.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 175, Dominick Reyes 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Julian Marquez (9-4-0, -114) vs. [#196] Zachary Reese (6-1-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#25MW] Gregory Rodrigues (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#127HW+] Sam Alvey (34-18-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Zachary Reese (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#97MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2023-08-22: W vs. [#264MW] Eli Aronov (6-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:14 of round 1
2023-03-24: W vs. [#1163MW] Tommie Britton (5-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Julian Marquez	-114		50.64%
Elo K170	Julian Marquez	1435.22	+107.37	64.98%
Elo Modified	Julian Marquez	1500.00	+147.85	70.08%
Glicko-1	Julian Marquez	1538.00	+189.23	74.82%
WHR	Julian Marquez	1485.65	+184.61	74.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 462, Zachary Reese 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (06-02-2024)

Posted on June 2, 2024 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier (06-01-2024)

Posted on May 27, 2024 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0, -632) vs. [#6] Dustin Poirier (30-8-0, +428)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #42 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (34-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#18LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-07-29: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-632		82.00%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2525.11	+256.29	81.39%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2453.78	+232.02	79.18%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2573.50	+268.38	82.42%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2378.24	+318.86	86.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 224, Dustin Poirier 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Islam Makhachev leads 3-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#3] Sean Strickland (28-6-0, -221) vs. [#16] Paulo Costa (14-3-0, +180)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #19 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#1MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#57MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (26-6-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6MW] Robert Whittaker (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Strickland	-221		65.84%
Elo K170	Sean Strickland	2086.64	+138.31	68.91%
Elo Modified	Sean Strickland	2129.57	+178.51	73.64%
Glicko-1	Sean Strickland	2206.22	+181.22	73.95%
WHR	Sean Strickland	2060.68	+220.28	78.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 133, Paulo Costa 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sean Strickland leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#17WW] Kevin Holland (25-11-0, -249) vs. [#44] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-7-0, +198)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#13WW] Michael Page (22-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#6WW] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#45WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#19MW] Michel Pereira (32-11-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#75WW] Chidi Njokuani (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2023-04-29: L vs. [#17MW] Caio Borralho (16-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:49 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Holland	-249		68.01%
Elo K170	Kevin Holland	1836.81	+130.42	67.93%
Elo Modified	Kevin Holland	1874.82	+156.29	71.09%
Glicko-1	Kevin Holland	1957.17	+210.08	77.02%
WHR	Kevin Holland	1837.20	+169.66	72.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 84, Michal Oleksiejczuk 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-26-2024)

Posted on May 26, 2024 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-19-2024)

Posted on May 19, 2024 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs Murphy (05-18-2024)

Posted on May 13, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#15] Edson Barboza (24-11-0, +132) vs. [#38] Lerone Murphy (13-0-1, -158)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#47FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#44FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#16FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#108FW] Joshua Culibao (12-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#116FW] Gabriel Santos (10-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#394LW] Makwan Amirkhani (17-10-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:14 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Lerone Murphy	-158		58.69%
Elo K170	Edson Barboza	1917.98	+29.54	54.24%
Elo Modified	Edson Barboza	1926.08	+99.78	63.98%
Glicko-1	Edson Barboza	1973.01	+127.67	67.59%
WHR	Edson Barboza	1795.98	+1.44	50.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 217, Lerone Murphy 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#39] Carlston Harris (19-5-0, +118) vs. [#53] Kalinn Williams (14-3-0, -142)

Last 3 Fights: Carlston Harris (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#59WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#62WW] Jared Gooden (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#168WW] Rolando Bedoya (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#23WW] Randy Brown (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-11-13: W vs. [*] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kalinn Williams	-142		56.12%
Elo K170	Carlston Harris	1886.25	+136.39	68.68%
Elo Modified	Carlston Harris	1884.04	+140.04	69.13%
Glicko-1	Carlston Harris	1937.50	+155.94	71.05%
WHR	Carlston Harris	1943.64	+305.55	85.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlston Harris 287, Kalinn Williams 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlston Harris leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Angela Hill (16-13-0, -157) vs. [#29] Luana Pinheiro (11-2-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#19SW] Denise Gomes (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#8SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#21SW] Emily Ducote (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#54SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#49SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Angela Hill	-157		58.42%
Elo K170	Angela Hill	1585.39	+110.66	65.41%
Elo Modified	Angela Hill	1637.50	+192.11	75.14%
Glicko-1	Angela Hill	1633.90	+209.18	76.92%
WHR	Angela Hill	1519.59	+153.29	70.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 196, Luana Pinheiro 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luana Pinheiro leads 2-0
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-12-2024)

Posted on May 12, 2024 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Nascimento (05-11-2024)

Posted on May 6, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#15] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0, -153) vs. [#23] Rodrigo Nascimento (12-1-0, +125)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (20-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-45)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#24HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#10HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (3-0-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#54HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-7-0) via UD ()
2023-05-20: W vs. [#25HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#68LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Derrick Lewis	-153		57.63%
Elo K170	Derrick Lewis	1764.71	+21.43	53.08%
Elo Modified	Derrick Lewis	1789.57	+85.71	62.09%
Glicko-1	Derrick Lewis	1832.73	+120.95	66.73%
WHR	Derrick Lewis	1707.73	+31.91	54.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 189, Rodrigo Nascimento 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Derrick Lewis leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#12] Joaquin Buckley (18-6-0, -153) vs. [#46MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-8-2, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#16WW] Vicente Luque (22-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-10-07: W vs. [#35WW] Alex Morono (24-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#79WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#134MW] Sedriques Dumas (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52MW] Brunno Ferreira (11-1-0) via TKO in 1:17 of round 1
2022-04-10: W vs. [*] Paval Masalski (14-17-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joaquin Buckley	-153		57.85%
Elo K170	Joaquin Buckley	1963.90	+188.72	74.77%
Elo Modified	Joaquin Buckley	1947.86	+165.85	72.21%
Glicko-1	Joaquin Buckley	2025.23	+142.38	69.42%
WHR	Joaquin Buckley	1813.21	+5.26	50.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 42, Nursulton Ruziboev 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#18] Alonzo Menifield (15-3-1, +172) vs. [#33] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0, -214)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-0-1)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#44LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
2023-02-11: D vs. [#44LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#53LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
2023-05-13: W vs. [#79MW] Ihor Potieria (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Ulberg	-214		64.96%
Elo K170	Alonzo Menifield	1818.36	+67.13	59.54%
Elo Modified	Alonzo Menifield	1855.90	+78.72	61.14%
Glicko-1	Alonzo Menifield	1894.14	+84.27	61.90%
WHR	Carlos Ulberg	1779.00	+47.93	56.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 147, Carlos Ulberg 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-05-2024)

Posted on May 5, 2024 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 2, 2024 by Jason

Another not so great week… but like every gambler in the red, I just can’t stop.

Since the “smart” parlay is supposed to be smart, I’ve been hesitant to post some of the underdogs the associated query has chosen recently. Why? Because often, the rating systems favor proven older betting underdogs on the tail-end of their career, rather than good, only somewhat proven younger fighters entering their prime. In this regard, the smart parlay is well… kind of dumb and the betters aren’t. Every year of age advantage for the younger fighter results in ~1.2% additional chance of winning. I am considering implementing this somehow, but I don’t always have birth dates for fighters and it further complicates things. We’ll see.

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Now for the options…

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All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (05-02-2024)

Posted on May 2, 2024 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg (05-04-2024)

Posted on April 29, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0, -253) vs. [#14] Steve Erceg (12-1-0, +201)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#10FLY] Alex Perez (25-8-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#58FLY] Matt Schnell (16-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Alessandro Costa (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#53FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexandre Pantoja	-253		68.32%
Elo K170	Alexandre Pantoja	2123.73	+359.15	88.77%
Elo Modified	Alexandre Pantoja	2042.85	+292.38	84.33%
Glicko-1	Alexandre Pantoja	2089.73	+313.03	85.84%
WHR	Alexandre Pantoja	2001.52	+287.60	83.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 140, Steve Erceg 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0, +109) vs. [#12] Jonathan Martinez (19-4-0, -134)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #32 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#2BW/#9DD/#8P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#14BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#60BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:26 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#21BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#32FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jonathan Martinez	-134		54.47%
Elo K170	Jose Aldo	2024.35	+34.67	54.97%
Elo Modified	Jose Aldo	2047.09	+79.84	61.29%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2078.63	+54.67	57.80%
WHR	Jose Aldo	1934.46	+63.60	59.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 623, Jonathan Martinez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#17] Anthony Smith (37-19-0, +356) vs. [#28] Vitor Petrino (11-0-0, -491)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#10LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [#25LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#11LHW] Johnny Walker (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#56LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#43LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vitor Petrino	-491		79.11%
Elo K170	Anthony Smith	1792.60	+12.33	51.77%
Elo Modified	Vitor Petrino	1813.82	+61.88	58.81%
Glicko-1	Vitor Petrino	1828.30	+23.22	53.34%
WHR	Vitor Petrino	1842.17	+179.93	73.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 147, Vitor Petrino 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-28-2024)

Posted on April 28, 2024 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez (04-27-2024)

Posted on April 22, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#11] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1, -183) vs. [#60] Alex Perez (24-8-0, +152)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #35 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alex Perez is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#58FLY] Matt Schnell (16-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#53FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (0-3-0)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-11-21: L vs. [#8BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (23-3-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Matheus Nicolau	-183		61.97%
Elo K170	Matheus Nicolau	1799.85	+98.94	63.87%
Elo Modified	Matheus Nicolau	1753.52	+57.73	58.23%
Glicko-1	Matheus Nicolau	1760.10	+35.02	55.02%
WHR	Matheus Nicolau	1695.15	+57.28	58.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Nicolau 378, Alex Perez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#18] Ryan Spann (21-9-0, -193) vs. [#64] Bogdan Guskov (15-3-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#17LHW] Anthony Smith (37-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#9LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (2-1-0)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#120LHW] Zac Pauga (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1
2023-09-02: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:46 of round 1
2023-03-18: W vs. [#190HW+] Carlos Eduardo (20-11-0) via TKO in 0:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ryan Spann	-193		62.95%
Elo K170	Ryan Spann	1742.06	+171.79	72.89%
Elo Modified	Ryan Spann	1808.25	+201.55	76.14%
Glicko-1	Ryan Spann	1884.59	+226.05	78.60%
WHR	Ryan Spann	1706.17	+105.89	64.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 245, Bogdan Guskov 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#15] Karine Silva (17-4-0, -147) vs. [#17] Ariane Lipski (17-8-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Karine Silva (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#34FLY] Maryna Moroz (11-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-06-03: W vs. [#57FLY] Ketlen Souza (13-4-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:45 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [*] Poliana Botelho (9-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#28FLY] Casey ONeill (9-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:18 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#33FLY] Melissa Gatto (8-2-2) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#25FLY] J.J. Aldrich (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Karine Silva	-147		56.80%
Elo K170	Karine Silva	1674.63	+72.02	60.22%
Elo Modified	Karine Silva	1689.78	+110.32	65.36%
Glicko-1	Karine Silva	1765.73	+200.47	76.02%
WHR	Karine Silva	1682.86	+191.75	75.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karine Silva 252, Ariane Lipski 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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