Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1P4P][#1][#1UFC] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0, -357) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Ian Garry (17-1-0, +279)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#7WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#10WW] Belal Muhammad (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#3WW] Carlos Prates (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [*] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -357 | 74.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2597.15 | +328.45 | 86.88% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2519.16 | +315.48 | 86.01% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2649.55 | +393.66 | 90.60% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2442.81 | +350.33 | 88.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.8, Ian Garry 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 273, Ian Garry 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Mackenzie Dern (16-5-0, -263) vs. [#11P4P][#5][#5UFC] Gillian Robertson (17-8-0, +207)
Mackenzie Dern is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Lemos (15-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#72SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -263 | 68.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Mackenzie Dern | 1840.66 | +80.73 | 61.41% |
| Elo Modified | Mackenzie Dern | 1809.16 | +46.00 | 56.58% |
| Glicko-1 | Mackenzie Dern | 1825.60 | +30.04 | 54.31% |
| WHR | Mackenzie Dern | 1688.65 | +29.06 | 54.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mackenzie Dern 33.4, Gillian Robertson 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 294, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#26][#19UFC] Charles Johnson (19-9-0, +280) vs. [#39][#24UFC] Jose Ochoa (9-2-0, -380)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 3
2026-03-14: W vs. [#44FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#97FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#132FLY] Cody Durden (18-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jose Ochoa | -380 | 75.04% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Johnson | 1678.72 | +123.75 | 67.09% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Johnson | 1643.52 | +61.20 | 58.72% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Johnson | 1643.95 | +41.64 | 55.96% |
| WHR | Jose Ochoa | 1620.89 | +16.48 | 52.37% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 35.6, Jose Ochoa 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 49, Jose Ochoa 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Mixed martial arts invites prediction.
Before almost every significant fight, fans compare records, recent performances, knockout percentages, takedown numbers, opponent quality and rankings in an attempt to answer one apparently simple question: who is more likely to win?
Modern MMA data makes that analysis much more sophisticated than it was a decade ago. Fight databases, advanced statistics and rating systems can help identify meaningful differences between two competitors before they enter the cage.
Check out the new page: Winless Streak Breakers
This page lists fighters who broke 5+ fight winless streaks in the 90 days preceding the data update. This data will be updated along with the weekly rankings.
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
Check out the new page: Undefeated Losers
This page includes previously undefeated fighters with 10+ wins, who lost in the 90 days prior to the data update. This data will be updated along with the weekly rankings.
Lightweight (155)
[#10][#9UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (26-4-0, +120) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Quillan Salkilld (12-1-0, -146)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2026-04-11: W vs. [#68LW] Esteban Ribovics (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2025-10-11: L vs. [#9DD][#3LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:48 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#53LW] Ludovit Klein (24-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#141LW] Jamie Mullarkey (18-9-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:02 of round 1
2025-10-25: W vs. [#67LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Quillan Salkilld | -146 | 56.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2078.89 | +112.78 | 65.68% |
| Elo Modified | Mateusz Gamrot | 2083.63 | +145.68 | 69.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2152.24 | +168.17 | 72.47% |
| WHR | Mateusz Gamrot | 1997.84 | +151.02 | 70.46% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 35.6, Quillan Salkilld 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 119, Quillan Salkilld 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Quillan Salkilld leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#45][#26UFC] Diego Ferreira (19-7-0, -172) vs. [*] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0, +141)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#40LW] Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 2
2025-01-18: L vs. [#21LW] Grant Dawson (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#62LW] Mateusz Rebecki (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [*] Cub Swanson (32-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:36 of round 3
2024-03-23: L vs. [#12FW] Youssef Zalal (18-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [#114FW] Damon Jackson (23-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Ferreira | -172 | 60.38% | |
| Elo K170 | Diego Ferreira | 1799.42 | +249.54 | 80.79% |
| Elo Modified | Diego Ferreira | 1826.04 | +232.29 | 79.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Diego Ferreira | 1885.28 | +288.56 | 84.04% |
| WHR | Diego Ferreira | 1704.91 | +166.36 | 72.26% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Ferreira 41.5, Billy Quarantillo 37.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 329, Billy Quarantillo 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Billy Quarantillo leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#102][#49UFC] Yadier Del Valle (10-1-0, -694) vs. [*] Darren Elkins (29-12-0, +486)
Last 3 Fights: Yadier Del Valle (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#82FW] Jordan Leavitt (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#318FW] Isaac Dulgarian (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#743FW] Connor Matthews (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#109FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Daniel Pineda (28-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#159LW] T.J. Brown (21-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:23 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Yadier Del Valle | -694 | 83.66% | |
| Elo K170 | Darren Elkins | 1651.46 | +61.79 | 58.80% |
| Elo Modified | Darren Elkins | 1656.83 | +17.07 | 52.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Darren Elkins | 1685.13 | +44.24 | 56.33% |
| WHR | Yadier Del Valle | 1637.60 | +82.33 | 61.63% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadier Del Valle 30.0, Darren Elkins 42.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadier Del Valle 168, Darren Elkins 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Ask a casual fan how MMA fights end and the answer is a knockout. Ask the database and the answer is a decision, by a comfortable margin.
One study of 8,591 UFC bouts running through late March 2026 puts decisions at 46.8% of all outcomes, against 32.6% for KO or TKO and 19.3% for submissions. Finishes account for 51.9%, close enough to a coin flip that treating them as the default is simply wrong.
One more figure from that dataset before the divisions: the average fight lasted 10 minutes 37 seconds, while the median was 13 minutes 48 seconds. A mean sitting three minutes below the median means the distribution is skewed by early stoppages, so anyone reasoning about fight length from the average is describing a fight that mostly does not happen.
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
Welterweight (170)
[#18][#15UFC] Uros Medic (13-3-0, -356) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0, +283)
Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#24WW] Geoff Neal (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:19 of round 1
2025-11-08: W vs. [#33WW] Muslim Salikhov (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-08-09: W vs. [#620WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (29-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#83WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-12: W vs. [#73WW] Alex Morono (24-13-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Uros Medic | -356 | 74.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Daniel Rodriguez | 1975.72 | +135.27 | 68.54% |
| Elo Modified | Daniel Rodriguez | 1932.38 | +91.33 | 62.85% |
| Glicko-1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 1987.45 | +60.63 | 58.64% |
| WHR | Uros Medic | 1807.07 | +36.23 | 55.20% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Uros Medic 33.2, Daniel Rodriguez 39.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uros Medic 161, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9][#8UFC] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2, +238) vs. [#27][#19UFC] Navajo Stirling (10-0-0, -354)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #11 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (0-2-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#11LHW] Bogdan Guskov (18-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-03-22: L vs. [#3LHW] Carlos Ulberg (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Navajo Stirling (3-0-0)
2026-06-20: W vs. [#38LHW] Ion Cutelaba (20-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 2
2026-03-28: W vs. [#92LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-3-0) via NC in 4:05 of round 2
2025-09-27: W vs. [#58LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Navajo Stirling | -354 | 72.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Jan Blachowicz | 1924.38 | +106.57 | 64.87% |
| Elo Modified | Jan Blachowicz | 1983.92 | +142.73 | 69.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Jan Blachowicz | 2075.59 | +174.08 | 73.15% |
| WHR | Jan Blachowicz | 1922.49 | +165.10 | 72.12% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 43.4, Navajo Stirling 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 238, Navajo Stirling 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#23][#15UFC] Marcin Tybura (27-11-0, +252) vs. [#36LHW][#23LHWUFC] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0, -313)
Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (1-2-0)
2026-03-28: L vs. [#22HW+] Tyrell Fortune (18-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: L vs. [#20HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [*] Mick Parkin (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (0-3-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#19LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:11 of round 1
2024-10-26: L vs. [#2LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (22-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (32-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Aleksandar Rakic | -313 | 72.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Aleksandar Rakic | 1782.12 | +101.11 | 64.15% |
| Elo Modified | Aleksandar Rakic | 1806.51 | +87.16 | 62.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Aleksandar Rakic | 1856.82 | +111.54 | 65.52% |
| WHR | Aleksandar Rakic | 1697.31 | +78.92 | 61.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcin Tybura 40.7, Aleksandar Rakic 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 126, Aleksandar Rakic 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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