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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 2095.33 +86.75 62.23%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 2051.28 +65.22 59.28%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 2107.48 +66.11 59.40%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1974.39 +54.36 57.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -132 54.43%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1859.21 +96.31 63.52%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1855.48 +96.96 63.60%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1948.80 +158.52 71.35%
WHR Kevin Holland 1815.83 +55.68 57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -237 67.24%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1894.95 +109.13 65.21%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1876.91 +80.52 61.38%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1880.81 +81.29 61.49%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1833.98 +106.55 64.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 9, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (10-11-2025)

Posted on October 7, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-11-0, +103) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0, -125)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#3P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#43LW] Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#34WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2227.10 +126.49 67.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2236.28 +133.72 68.35%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2306.84 +142.21 69.40%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2123.44 +85.57 62.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.0, Mateusz Gamrot 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 105, Mateusz Gamrot 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1, +227) vs. [#19][#18UFC] Montel Jackson (15-2-0, -283)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (19-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -283 70.72%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1969.71 +15.47 52.22%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1965.31 +33.55 54.81%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 2002.60 +5.10 50.73%
WHR Montel Jackson 1963.94 +109.03 65.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Deiveson Figueiredo 37.8, Montel Jackson 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 161, Montel Jackson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24][#21UFC] Vicente Luque (23-11-1, +375) vs. [#21LW][#14LWUFC] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0, -526)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#105LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#81LW] Marc Diakiese (18-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joel Alvarez -526 79.96%
Elo K170 Joel Alvarez 1973.41 +122.34 66.91%
Elo Modified Joel Alvarez 1963.34 +94.48 63.27%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 2060.11 +167.67 72.42%
WHR Joel Alvarez 2000.06 +261.11 81.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 33.9, Joel Alvarez 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Joel Alvarez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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North America – Prospect Watch: October 2025

Posted on October 2, 2025 by Jason

Criteria

  • Fighters have a nationality belonging to a country in North America.
  • Never fought in a “big league” organization.
    • This is a manually managed list, which currently contains 37 organizations (some defunct).
  • Wins+(Draws*0.5) / Losses+(Draws*0.5) >= 5
    • Fighters must have at least 5 times as many wins as losses, with draws adding a half-point each to both sides of the equation.
    • Minimum of 5 wins.
  • Fought in the last 450 days.
  • Less than 30 years old.
    • We do not have birth dates for all fighters.
  • Fighters are ranked by their cumulative rank positions of R (standard rating), P4P rating, DD rating, WHR rating, and the above equation.

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 2, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 (10-04-2025)

Posted on September 29, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#6P4P][#1][#1UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1, -249) vs. [#14P4P][#2][#2UFC] Alex Pereira (12-3-0, +202)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #13 ranked Light Heavyweight and #50 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#25LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#14LHW] Johnny Walker (22-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#7LHW] Khalil Rountree (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -249 68.30%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2324.17 +127.08 67.51%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2299.36 +124.87 67.24%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2415.79 +113.87 65.82%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2116.82 +19.09 52.75%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 33.3, Alex Pereira 38.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 210, Alex Pereira 210
Previous Match-up Record: Magomed Ankalaev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1P4P][#2DD][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0, -374) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Cory Sandhagen (18-5-0, +286)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via Submission (North-South Choke) in 4:42 of round 3
2025-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-08-03: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#15BW] Rob Font (22-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Merab Dvalishvili -374 75.27%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 2406.93 +276.27 83.06%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 2358.08 +276.70 83.10%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 2457.47 +287.63 83.96%
WHR Merab Dvalishvili 2199.33 +207.14 76.72%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.7, Cory Sandhagen 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 119, Cory Sandhagen 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Merab Dvalishvili leads 3-1
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15P4P][#3][#3UFC] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1, -176) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Khalil Rountree (14-7-0, +144)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Khalil Rountree is the All-Time #47 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-06-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2025-06-21: W vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jiri Prochazka -176 60.87%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2133.48 +153.71 70.78%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2114.95 +165.95 72.22%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2227.22 +239.20 79.85%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2008.75 +161.16 71.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jiri Prochazka 32.9, Khalil Rountree 35.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 259, Khalil Rountree 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 26, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes (09-27-2025)

Posted on September 22, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5][#4UFC] Carlos Ulberg (13-1-0, -251) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0, +204)
Carlos Ulberg is the All-Time #44 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #36 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#6LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#13LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#21LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#22LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-11-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:24 of round 1
2024-12-07: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Ulberg -251 68.49%
Elo K170 Carlos Ulberg 2063.01 +58.20 58.30%
Elo Modified Carlos Ulberg 2085.35 +106.19 64.82%
Glicko-1 Carlos Ulberg 2133.25 +61.06 58.70%
WHR Carlos Ulberg 2002.34 +84.02 61.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Carlos Ulberg 34.8, Dominick Reyes 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Ulberg 189, Dominick Reyes 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Ulberg leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[#166][#60UFC] Jack Jenkins (13-4-0, -284) vs. [#329][#73UFC] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0, +229)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (1-2-0)
2025-02-08: L vs. [#57FW] Gabriel Santos (12-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2024-08-17: W vs. [#531FW] Herbert Burns (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:48 of round 3
2023-09-09: L vs. [#33FW] Jose Mariscal (18-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 3:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ramon Taveras (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#32BW] Davey Grant (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#62BW] Serhiy Sidey (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#547FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Jenkins -284 70.87%
Elo K170 Jack Jenkins 1562.22 +120.73 66.71%
Elo Modified Jack Jenkins 1576.13 +130.95 68.00%
Glicko-1 Jack Jenkins 1574.08 +128.49 67.69%
WHR Jack Jenkins 1538.84 +166.52 72.28%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jack Jenkins 32.5, Ramon Taveras 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Jenkins 231, Ramon Taveras 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34][#21UFC] Jimmy Crute (13-4-2, -185) vs. [#48][#25UFC] Ivan Erslan (14-5-0, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (1-1-1)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#52LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:42 of round 1
2025-02-08: D vs. [#47LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-08: L vs. [#21LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ivan Erslan (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#42LHW] Navajo Stirling (7-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#29LHW] Ion Cutelaba (19-11-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Bogdan Gnidko (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmy Crute -185 62.06%
Elo K170 Jimmy Crute 1631.29 +200.33 76.01%
Elo Modified Jimmy Crute 1677.09 +156.50 71.11%
Glicko-1 Jimmy Crute 1696.32 +120.18 66.64%
WHR Jimmy Crute 1638.32 +94.13 63.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jimmy Crute 29.5, Ivan Erslan 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmy Crute 70, Ivan Erslan 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 18, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 11, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva (09-13-2025)

Posted on September 9, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#5][#5UFC] Diego Lopes (26-7-0, +224) vs. [#16][#11UFC] Jean Silva (16-2-0, -279)
Diego Lopes is the All-Time #49 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (16-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#16BW] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2
2025-02-22: W vs. [#283FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#78LW] Drew Dober (27-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Silva -279 70.46%
Elo K170 Diego Lopes 2006.94 +75.00 60.63%
Elo Modified Diego Lopes 1991.72 +55.63 57.94%
Glicko-1 Diego Lopes 2058.65 +46.30 56.63%
WHR Jean Silva 1964.33 +35.44 55.08%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Lopes 30.7, Jean Silva 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Lopes 154, Jean Silva 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#14][#13UFC] Rob Font (22-8-0, -183) vs. [#91][#48UFC] David Martinez (12-1-0, +151)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#28BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#21BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: David Martinez (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#774BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:38 of round 1
2024-10-01: W vs. [#237BW] Xavier Franklin (6-1-0) via UD ()
2023-05-28: W vs. [#550FW] Jose Zarauz (26-11-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 4:17 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -183 61.87%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1995.61 +324.28 86.61%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1910.01 +196.45 75.60%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1965.07 +206.80 76.68%
WHR Rob Font 1777.37 +72.27 60.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rob Font 38.2, David Martinez 27.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 203, David Martinez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#36][#20UFC] Jared Gordon (21-7-0, -268) vs. [#75][#40UFC] Rafa Garcia (17-4-0, +218)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#67LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2024-06-22: L vs. [#40LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-11-11: W vs. [*] Mark O. Madsen (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#306LW] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#15LW] Grant Dawson (23-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:42 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#148LW] Clay Guida (38-25-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jared Gordon -268 69.84%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1846.67 +37.21 55.33%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1852.88 +70.86 60.06%
Glicko-1 Jared Gordon 1905.48 +104.30 64.57%
WHR Jared Gordon 1839.09 +134.35 68.43%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Gordon 37.0, Rafa Garcia 31.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 119, Rafa Garcia 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 4, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho (09-06-2025)

Posted on September 1, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4][#4UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0, +107) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Caio Borralho (17-1-0, -129)
Nassourdine Imavov is the All-Time #41 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-09-28: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-04: W vs. [#29MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (28-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caio Borralho -129 53.83%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 2200.63 +104.36 64.58%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 2158.26 +83.89 61.84%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 2224.47 +108.34 65.10%
WHR Nassourdine Imavov 2038.88 +2.77 50.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nassourdine Imavov 30.5, Caio Borralho 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 217, Caio Borralho 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#23][#15UFC] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0, +165) vs. [#34][#19UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (12-1-0, -202)

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#213LW] Kyle Prepolec (18-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:35 of round 2
2024-09-28: L vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-03-09: L vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#46LW] Bobby Green (32-17-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#239WW] James Llontop (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mauricio Ruffy -202 63.93%
Elo K170 Benoit St. Denis 1896.72 +79.88 61.30%
Elo Modified Benoit St. Denis 1901.16 +91.71 62.90%
Glicko-1 Benoit St. Denis 1972.61 +83.80 61.83%
WHR Mauricio Ruffy 1837.85 +42.39 56.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Benoit St. Denis 29.7, Mauricio Ruffy 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Benoit St. Denis 119, Mauricio Ruffy 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#72][#38UFC] Mason Jones (16-2-0, -157) vs. [#182][#72UFC] Bolaji Oki (10-2-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#280LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-22-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-25: W vs. [#137WW] Michael Pagani (8-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-23: W vs. [#386LW] Bryce Logan (13-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 2:45 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bolaji Oki (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#443LW] Michael Aswell (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#47LW] Chris Duncan (14-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#209FW] Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mason Jones -157 58.42%
Elo K170 Mason Jones 1772.30 +189.77 74.88%
Elo Modified Mason Jones 1796.08 +207.87 76.79%
Glicko-1 Mason Jones 1817.61 +263.45 82.00%
WHR Mason Jones 1774.90 +256.35 81.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mason Jones 30.3, Bolaji Oki 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 126, Bolaji Oki 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 28, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

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