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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze (03-15-2025)

Posted on March 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +135) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -162)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -162 59.23%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 2009.39 +57.86 58.25%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1985.59 +20.87 53.00%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 2053.34 +4.01 50.58%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1907.49 +23.92 53.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 36.6, Marvin Vettori 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -186) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1844.67 +114.94 65.96%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1838.39 +95.93 63.46%
Glicko-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1888.49 +118.79 66.46%
WHR Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1808.24 +131.27 68.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 38.3, Chidi Njokuani 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -346) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diyar Nurgozhay -346 74.16%
Elo K170 Diyar Nurgozhay 1628.60 +185.41 74.41%
Elo Modified Diyar Nurgozhay 1664.08 +229.62 78.95%
Glicko-1 Diyar Nurgozhay 1692.56 +218.75 77.89%
WHR Diyar Nurgozhay 1685.27 +213.68 77.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diyar Nurgozhay 27.9, Brendson Ribeiro 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 6, 2025 by Jason

The huge Underdog parlay hit last week! Let’s try again!!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev (03-18-2025)

Posted on March 3, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -119 51.83%
Elo K170 Alex Pereira 2301.88 +82.59 61.67%
Elo Modified Alex Pereira 2263.89 +54.04 57.71%
Glicko-1 Alex Pereira 2399.12 +80.63 61.40%
WHR Alex Pereira 2171.55 +123.01 67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -128 53.86%
Elo K170 Justin Gaethje 2266.79 +349.47 88.20%
Elo Modified Justin Gaethje 2211.91 +306.89 85.40%
Glicko-1 Justin Gaethje 2261.68 +296.39 84.63%
WHR Justin Gaethje 1976.06 +103.38 64.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -128 53.63%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1706.38 +34.71 54.98%
Elo Modified Amanda Lemos 1696.13 +75.21 60.66%
Glicko-1 Amanda Lemos 1693.03 +90.69 62.76%
WHR Amanda Lemos 1605.17 +90.53 62.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Predicting Fight Outcomes: How Data Analytics in MMA and Casino Games Intersect

Posted on February 28, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is an unpredictable sport where a single moment can determine victory. Fans, analysts, and even fighters rely on data to assess matchups, predict fight outcomes, and understand performance trends. Similarly, the world of social casino gaming incorporates statistical modeling to create engaging and dynamic experiences. While one is a combat sport and the other is a form of entertainment, both fields leverage analytics to make informed decisions.

For those who enjoy number-driven insights, platforms like Spree provide a range of entertainment options where probability and analytics come into play. But how exactly does data influence both MMA and social casino games? Let’s break it down.

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 27, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (03-01-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#8UFC] Manel Kape (20-7-0, -240) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-2-0, +195)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#32FLY] Bruno Silva (14-7-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#207FLY] Jose Johnson (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#134FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -240 67.55%
Elo K170 Asu Almabayev 1906.15 +92.32 62.98%
Elo Modified Asu Almabayev 1867.33 +54.36 57.76%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1889.32 +0.11 50.02%
WHR Manel Kape 1810.43 +47.02 56.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 77, Asu Almabayev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Asu Almabayev leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#100][#51UFC] Cody Brundage (10-6-0, +141) vs. [#238][#70UFC] Julian Marquez (9-5-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#106MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#23MW] Bo Nickal (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (0-3-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-03-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -170 60.27%
Elo K170 Cody Brundage 1418.18 +93.47 63.14%
Elo Modified Cody Brundage 1396.06 +4.68 50.67%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1397.10 +20.82 52.99%
WHR Cody Brundage 1390.71 +60.37 58.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 231, Julian Marquez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Brundage leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#31][#21UFC] William Gomis (14-2-0, -218) vs. [#85][#43UFC] Hyder Amil (10-0-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#32FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#414BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#242FW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#132FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#936FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-08-15: W vs. [#784LW] Emrah Sonmez (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds William Gomis -218 65.58%
Elo K170 William Gomis 1851.45 +174.98 73.25%
Elo Modified William Gomis 1722.26 +73.41 60.41%
Glicko-1 William Gomis 1733.70 +67.07 59.53%
WHR William Gomis 1659.21 +25.17 53.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 154, Hyder Amil 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 20, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs Cejudo (02-22-2025)

Posted on February 17, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#8][#7UFC] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0, +215) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Yadong Song (21-9-1, -268)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#1BW][#4DD][#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#24BW] Chris Gutierrez (21-6-2) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -268 69.64%
Elo K170 Henry Cejudo 2117.01 +208.33 76.84%
Elo Modified Henry Cejudo 2108.85 +197.73 75.73%
Glicko-1 Henry Cejudo 2187.57 +227.06 78.70%
WHR Henry Cejudo 1987.79 +131.57 68.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 371, Yadong Song 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Brendan Allen (24-6-0, +227) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Anthony Hernandez (13-2-0, -286)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#31MW] Michel Pereira (32-12-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#20MW] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#54MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -286 70.78%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2018.80 +24.55 53.53%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 1982.98 +13.50 51.94%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2074.70 +37.34 55.35%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2000.39 +106.00 64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Anthony Hernandez 126
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Hernandez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brendan Allen leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (140)
[#12BW][#11UFCBW] Rob Font (21-8-0, +136) vs. [#37BW][#27UFCBW] Jean Matsumoto (16-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#16BW] Kyler Phillips (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#7BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#45BW] Brad Katona (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#206BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#224BW] Kasey Tanner (8-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Matsumoto -169 59.72%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1924.76 +58.03 58.28%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1907.33 +36.16 55.18%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1975.48 +93.38 63.12%
WHR Rob Font 1785.24 +10.63 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 126, Jean Matsumoto 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 13, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -184 62.01%
Elo K170 Jared Cannonier 1959.16 +106.65 64.88%
Elo Modified Jared Cannonier 1924.11 +33.41 54.79%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 1961.48 +15.14 52.18%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1865.10 +51.89 57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Youssef Zalal -417 76.91%
Elo K170 Calvin Kattar 1874.77 +91.45 62.87%
Elo Modified Calvin Kattar 1863.66 +74.96 60.62%
Glicko-1 Calvin Kattar 1913.70 +39.14 55.61%
WHR Youssef Zalal 1773.62 +19.24 52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ismael Bonfim -148 56.87%
Elo K170 Ismael Bonfim 1858.94 +287.23 83.93%
Elo Modified Ismael Bonfim 1850.07 +246.48 80.52%
Glicko-1 Ismael Bonfim 1894.65 +260.64 81.77%
WHR Ismael Bonfim 1823.27 +239.80 79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Top 6 Fighters with the Most Consecutive UFC Title Defenses

Posted on February 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Credit

Consecutive UFC title defenses are a true mark of greatness in mixed martial arts. Only a handful of champions have managed to hold onto their titles while defeating the best fighters in the world, time and time again.

These athletes not only reach the summit of their division but then fend off a constant stream of hungry contenders eager to dethrone them. Their consistent dominance also makes them key figures in the world of UFC betting BetUS, where fans follow the odds closely when these champions step into the Octagon.  Let’s explore the top UFC champions who achieved this remarkable feat, showcasing their dominance and resilience in the Octagon.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dricus Du Plessis -206 64.42%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2342.57 +202.95 76.28%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2265.23 +161.48 71.70%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2353.76 +176.08 73.37%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2149.81 +110.57 65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -116 51.18%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 2044.50 +194.83 75.43%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1998.60 +143.52 69.56%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 2019.82 +144.34 69.65%
WHR Weili Zhang 1911.21 +34.12 54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tallison Teixeira -154 57.91%
Elo K170 Justin Tafa 1439.06 +32.89 54.72%
Elo Modified Justin Tafa 1521.83 +89.07 62.54%
Glicko-1 Justin Tafa 1535.44 +83.04 61.73%
WHR Justin Tafa 1434.77 +27.93 54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Adesanya vs Imavov (02-01-2025)

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 2129.10 +55.48 57.92%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 2067.77 +8.80 51.27%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 2142.97 +48.45 56.93%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2001.24 +32.55 54.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -190 62.74%
Elo K170 Michael Page 1975.46 +48.71 56.96%
Elo Modified Michael Page 1965.28 +29.17 54.19%
Glicko-1 Michael Page 2034.18 +37.47 55.37%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1928.16 +31.50 54.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -304 71.83%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 1922.30 +39.40 55.65%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 1930.58 +93.97 63.20%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2022.14 +150.13 70.35%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1914.43 +131.64 68.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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