MMA Statistics – Page 3

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 (07-19-2025)

Posted on July 14, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Max Holloway (26-8-0, -126) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0, +104)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #8 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #5 ranked Lightweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2DD][#3P4P][#1LW] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2024-03-09: W vs. [#25LW] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-07-29: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Max Holloway	-126		53.21%
Elo K170	Max Holloway	2262.92	+25.76	53.70%
Elo Modified	Max Holloway	2221.02	+46.60	56.67%
Glicko-1	Max Holloway	2300.02	+40.62	55.82%
WHR	Max Holloway	2119.62	+112.04	65.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Max Holloway 33.6, Dustin Poirier 36.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 266, Dustin Poirier 413
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-5
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Paulo Costa (14-4-0, +222) vs. [#22][#19UFC] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0, -272)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #27 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#26WW] Chris Curtis (32-12-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:59 of round 3
2024-06-01: W vs. [#62MW] Cesar Almeida (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#13MW] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Roman Kopylov	-272		70.18%
Elo K170	Paulo Costa	1895.83	+59.57	58.49%
Elo Modified	Paulo Costa	1962.10	+131.01	68.01%
Glicko-1	Paulo Costa	2053.41	+169.37	72.61%
WHR	Paulo Costa	1860.66	+24.63	53.54%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paulo Costa 34.2, Roman Kopylov 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paulo Costa 413, Roman Kopylov 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#15][#12UFC] Kevin Holland (28-13-0, -436) vs. [#30][#24UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0, +327)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#21WW] Vicente Luque (23-11-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#47WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#17MW] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#50WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-12: W vs. [#57WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#21MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Holland	-436		77.64%
Elo K170	Kevin Holland	1968.48	+102.06	64.28%
Elo Modified	Kevin Holland	1961.99	+136.07	68.64%
Glicko-1	Kevin Holland	2064.18	+193.38	75.27%
WHR	Kevin Holland	1868.00	+154.25	70.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.7, Daniel Rodriguez 38.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 42, Daniel Rodriguez 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 3-2
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 10, 2025 by Jason

We took off last week. Time to get back to it!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-06-2025)

Posted on July 6, 2025 by Jason

Notable Info

Fluctuations caused by semi-annual community adjustment.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 26, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira (06-28-2025)

Posted on June 23, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1DD][#5P4P][#1FW][#1FWUFC] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0, -417) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0, +321)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-02-17: W vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#22LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ilia Topuria	-417		77.25%
Elo K170	Ilia Topuria	2330.19	+23.95	53.44%
Elo Modified	Charles Oliveira	2305.68	+31.04	54.45%
Glicko-1	Charles Oliveira	2407.19	+20.65	52.97%
WHR	Ilia Topuria	2276.84	+94.62	63.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ilia Topuria 28.4, Charles Oliveira 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 245, Charles Oliveira 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#4P4P][#5DD][#1][#1UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0, -259) vs. [#5][#4UFC] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0, +211)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#14FLY] Kai Asakura (21-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2024-05-04: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#6DD][#2FLY] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2023-06-03: L vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexandre Pantoja	-259		69.17%
Elo K170	Alexandre Pantoja	2201.64	+360.73	88.86%
Elo Modified	Alexandre Pantoja	2112.27	+258.94	81.62%
Glicko-1	Alexandre Pantoja	2188.07	+255.80	81.34%
WHR	Alexandre Pantoja	2045.28	+204.80	76.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexandre Pantoja 35.2, Kai Kara-France 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 203, Kai Kara-France 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 5-2
.

Flyweight (125)
[#13P4P][#6DD][#2][#2UFC] Brandon Royval (17-7-0, -118) vs. [#13][#10UFC] Joshua Van (14-2-0, -102)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #14 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#6FLY] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#4P4P][#5DD][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#38FLY] Bruno Silva (14-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2025-03-08: W vs. [#45FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Royval	-118		51.73%
Elo K170	Brandon Royval	2042.96	+190.25	74.93%
Elo Modified	Brandon Royval	1871.32	+52.49	57.50%
Glicko-1	Brandon Royval	1918.10	+43.45	56.22%
WHR	Brandon Royval	1812.29	+129.14	67.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 32.8, Joshua Van 23.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 259, Joshua Van 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 19, 2025 by Jason

We’re on a losing streak. Gotta get it together!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree (06-21-2025)

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6][#6UFC] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0, +132) vs. [#11][#8UFC] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0, -160)
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Khalil Rountree	-160		58.81%
Elo K170	Jamahal Hill	1926.61	+42.10	56.03%
Elo Modified	Jamahal Hill	1913.55	+73.14	60.37%
Glicko-1	Jamahal Hill	1990.07	+96.99	63.61%
WHR	Jamahal Hill	1806.38	+38.93	55.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamahal Hill 34.1, Khalil Rountree 35.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 154, Khalil Rountree 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#16][#12UFC] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0, -113) vs. [#17][#13UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0, -108)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (0-3-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-09-14: W vs. [#56LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-04-06: W vs. [#164LW] Christos Giagos (20-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:34 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael Fiziev	-113		50.53%
Elo K170	Rafael Fiziev	1897.31	+7.72	51.11%
Elo Modified	Rafael Fiziev	1897.44	+17.85	52.57%
Glicko-1	Ignacio Bahamondes	1979.74	+37.43	55.36%
WHR	Ignacio Bahamondes	1881.86	+39.41	55.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rafael Fiziev 32.3, Ignacio Bahamondes 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 105, Ignacio Bahamondes 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0, -286) vs. [#71] Rizvan Kuniev (12-2-1, +230)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#9P4P][#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#205HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-4-0)
2022-03-11: W vs. [#227HW+] Anthony Hamilton (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Curtis Blaydes	-286		70.97%
Elo K170	Curtis Blaydes	2008.33	+363.39	89.01%
Elo Modified	Curtis Blaydes	2003.36	+328.99	86.92%
Glicko-1	Curtis Blaydes	2078.02	+336.12	87.38%
WHR	Curtis Blaydes	1975.80	+212.36	77.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Curtis Blaydes 34.3, Rizvan Kuniev 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 329, Rizvan Kuniev 305
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 12, 2025 by Jason

Last week didn’t go so well……… let’s try again!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley (06-14-2025)

Posted on June 9, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#6][#6UFC] Joaquin Buckley (21-6-0, -273) vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0, +212)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#11WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-10-05: W vs. [#16WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#37MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (0-3-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#4WW] Leon Edwards (22-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joaquin Buckley	-273		69.54%
Elo K170	Joaquin Buckley	2203.42	+32.44	54.65%
Elo Modified	Kamaru Usman	2191.46	+40.90	55.86%
Glicko-1	Kamaru Usman	2319.42	+49.08	57.02%
WHR	Kamaru Usman	2039.52	+62.39	58.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joaquin Buckley 31.1, Kamaru Usman 38.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joaquin Buckley 182, Kamaru Usman 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6][#6UFC] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0, -284) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0, +221)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#9P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#15FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (12-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#31FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#39FLY] Dione Barbosa (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#33FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rose Namajunas	-284		70.36%
Elo K170	Rose Namajunas	1783.83	+137.77	68.85%
Elo Modified	Rose Namajunas	1762.72	+85.46	62.06%
Glicko-1	Rose Namajunas	1759.79	+78.05	61.05%
WHR	Rose Namajunas	1718.21	+93.69	63.17%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rose Namajunas 32.9, Miranda Maverick 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 224, Miranda Maverick 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#45][#32UFC] Andre Petroski (13-3-0, +166) vs. [#65][#42UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Petroski (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#69MW] Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#181MW] Dylan Budka (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2024-08-24: L vs. [#51MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-23: W vs. [#180MW] A.J. Dobson (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Edmen Shahbazyan	-208		64.24%
Elo K170	Andre Petroski	1737.48	+156.61	71.13%
Elo Modified	Andre Petroski	1745.67	+123.15	67.02%
Glicko-1	Andre Petroski	1740.31	+86.32	62.17%
WHR	Andre Petroski	1647.43	+61.18	58.71%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Petroski 34.0, Edmen Shahbazyan 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Petroski 119, Edmen Shahbazyan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andre Petroski leads 2-1
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 5, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O’Malley 2 (06-07-2025)

Posted on June 2, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#4DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0, -287) vs. [#9DD][#2][#2UFC] Sean OMalley (18-2-0, +233)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#9DD][#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#9BW] Henry Cejudo (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#4DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#5FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Merab Dvalishvili	-287		71.17%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2373.66	+245.72	80.44%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2329.17	+256.18	81.38%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2409.03	+250.29	80.86%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2157.19	+148.06	70.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.4, Sean OMalley 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 140, Sean OMalley 266
Previous Match-up Record: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#1][#1UFC] Julianna Pena (12-5-0, +437) vs. [#10P4P][#7DD][#2][#2UFC] Kayla Harrison (18-1-0, -619)
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (16-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#11BW] Holly Holm (15-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2
2023-11-24: W vs. [#5FW] Aspen Ladd (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kayla Harrison	-619		82.21%
Elo K170	Julianna Pena	1843.78	+29.76	54.27%
Elo Modified	Kayla Harrison	1830.63	+63.71	59.07%
Glicko-1	Kayla Harrison	1864.54	+82.19	61.61%
WHR	Kayla Harrison	1894.71	+162.97	71.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julianna Pena 35.8, Kayla Harrison 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julianna Pena 245, Kayla Harrison 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#18][#16UFC] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0, +292) vs. [#22][#18UFC] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0, -383)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#27WW] Daniel Rodriguez (19-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#42MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [*] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#115MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joe Pyfer	-383		75.66%
Elo K170	Kelvin Gastelum	1926.30	+200.26	76.00%
Elo Modified	Kelvin Gastelum	1918.77	+162.07	71.77%
Glicko-1	Kelvin Gastelum	1964.07	+109.80	65.30%
WHR	Kelvin Gastelum	1848.38	+101.64	64.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kelvin Gastelum 33.6, Joe Pyfer 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 350, Joe Pyfer 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 29, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs Barber (05-31-2025)

Posted on May 26, 2025 by Jason

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9P4P][#4][#4UFC] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Maycee Barber (14-2-0, +196)
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7P4P][#8DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#10FLY] Taila Santos (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#23FLY] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2
2023-03-25: W vs. [#35FLY] Andrea Lee (13-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Erin Blanchfield	-242		67.68%
Elo K170	Erin Blanchfield	1906.59	+66.18	59.41%
Elo Modified	Erin Blanchfield	1891.88	+103.03	64.41%
Glicko-1	Erin Blanchfield	1911.05	+136.33	68.67%
WHR	Erin Blanchfield	1751.23	+59.89	58.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Erin Blanchfield 26.0, Maycee Barber 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Erin Blanchfield 210, Maycee Barber 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#8][#8UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0, -166) vs. [#42][#24UFC] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1, +138)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #39 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#16LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#164LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#63LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#486BW] A.J. Cunningham (11-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:36 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mateusz Gamrot	-166		59.76%
Elo K170	Mateusz Gamrot	2048.58	+143.23	69.52%
Elo Modified	Mateusz Gamrot	2059.16	+165.11	72.12%
Glicko-1	Mateusz Gamrot	2126.82	+206.41	76.64%
WHR	Mateusz Gamrot	1988.49	+172.34	72.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 34.4, Ludovit Klein 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 287, Ludovit Klein 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20][#16UFC] Dustin Jacoby (20-9-1, -184) vs. [#63][#30UFC] Bruno Lopes (14-1-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#33LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3
2024-06-08: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-16: L vs. [#24LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Lopes (3-0-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#112LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#152LHW] Mikheil Sazhiniani (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-01-27: W vs. [#189LHW] Marcos Brigagao (17-11-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dustin Jacoby	-184		62.10%
Elo K170	Dustin Jacoby	1712.78	+48.51	56.93%
Elo Modified	Dustin Jacoby	1747.71	+75.07	60.64%
Glicko-1	Dustin Jacoby	1797.21	+80.20	61.34%
WHR	Dustin Jacoby	1766.68	+111.90	65.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Jacoby 37.1, Bruno Lopes 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 168, Bruno Lopes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 22, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 15, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading