MMA Statistics – Page 3

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song (08-29-2026)

Posted on August 24, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4][#4UFC] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0, -496) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Yadong Song (23-10-1, +374)
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Yadong Song is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#5BW] Mario Bautista (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#4DD][#9P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:42 of round 2
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-496		79.77%
Elo K170	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.88	+185.08	74.37%
Elo Modified	Umar Nurmagomedov	2188.14	+147.57	70.05%
Glicko-1	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.11	+146.48	69.92%
WHR	Umar Nurmagomedov	2137.53	+193.37	75.27%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Umar Nurmagomedov 30.6, Yadong Song 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 217, Yadong Song 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Umar Nurmagomedov leads 2-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0, -160) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Denise Gomes (12-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1SW] Weili Zhang (26-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#13SW] Tecia Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#105SW] Elise Reed (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#66SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Xiaonan Yan	-160		59.12%
Elo K170	Xiaonan Yan	1754.74	+22.29	53.20%
Elo Modified	Xiaonan Yan	1752.89	+24.23	53.48%
Glicko-1	Denise Gomes	1734.21	+15.44	52.22%
WHR	Denise Gomes	1629.58	+6.11	50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Xiaonan Yan 37.2, Denise Gomes 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 504, Denise Gomes 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Xiaonan Yan leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#46][#28UFC] Kai Asakura (22-6-0, -429) vs. [#173][#55UFC] Qileng Aori (28-13-0, +332)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#214BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#15FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#86BW] Cody Haddon (9-1-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2025-10-18: W vs. [#175BW] Cody Gibson (21-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-09-14: L vs. [#23BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kai Asakura	-429		77.79%
Elo K170	Kai Asakura	1849.72	+373.73	89.58%
Elo Modified	Kai Asakura	1809.05	+322.26	86.48%
Glicko-1	Kai Asakura	1835.42	+330.52	87.02%
WHR	Kai Asakura	1681.93	+191.42	75.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kai Asakura 32.8, Qileng Aori 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Asakura 91, Qileng Aori 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#26)

Posted on August 20, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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New Feature: Returning UFC Fighters

Posted on August 19, 2026 by Jason

New feature: Returning UFC Fighters lists former UFC fighters who are returning to the UFC either from lengthy inactivity or from another organization.

Fight Matrix Program – PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 18, 2026 by Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1DD][#4P4P][#1] Cristiane Justino (29-2-0) vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (16-5-0)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#2FW] Sara Collins (6-1-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:55 of round 3
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Larissa Pacheco (23-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-10-07: W vs. [*] Cat Zingano (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (2-1-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#10BW] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: L vs. [#5BW] Norma Dumont (13-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#14BW] Macy Chiasson (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Cristiane Justino	2018.75	+275.58	83.01%
Elo Modified	Cristiane Justino	2022.01	+233.42	79.31%
Glicko-1	Cristiane Justino	2094.58	+314.58	85.95%
WHR	Cristiane Justino	2039.47	+429.02	92.20%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cristiane Justino 41.1, Ketlen Vieira 35.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 252, Ketlen Vieira 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 3-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#18] Gadzhi Rabadanov (27-6-1) vs. [#269] Tracy Reeder (12-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Gadzhi Rabadanov (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#204LW] Aleksandr Chizov (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-08-15: L vs. [#20LW] Alfie Davis (20-7-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-06-20: W vs. [#128LW] Kevin Lee (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tracy Reeder (3-0-0)
2026-04-24: W vs. [#946LW] Chance Beck (11-10-0) via TKO in 1:03 of round 1
2026-02-20: W vs. [#530LW] Marshall Kemp (8-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:06 of round 2
2025-10-10: W vs. [#1554LW] Fred Freeman (8-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1973.89	+564.78	96.27%
Elo Modified	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1967.31	+529.37	95.47%
Glicko-1	Gadzhi Rabadanov	2032.45	+576.11	96.50%
WHR	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1912.84	+564.63	96.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gadzhi Rabadanov 112, Tracy Reeder 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#41] Marcirley Alves (15-5-0) vs. [#94] Gustavo Oliveira (13-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marcirley Alves (2-1-0)
2026-05-23: L vs. [#37BW] Naoki Inoue (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2025-08-15: W vs. [#111BW] Justin Wetzell (12-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-06-20: W vs. [#123BW] Jake Hadley (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gustavo Oliveira (3-0-0)
2026-05-23: W vs. [#187BW] Baris Adiguzel (10-2-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 1:10 of round 2
2025-12-13: W vs. [#332BW] Movsar Ibragimov (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 2
2025-07-05: W vs. [#654BW] Anas Azizoun (6-2-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 3:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Marcirley Alves	1770.05	+128.07	67.64%
Elo Modified	Marcirley Alves	1790.28	+114.41	65.89%
Glicko-1	Marcirley Alves	1842.41	+135.18	68.53%
WHR	Gustavo Oliveira	1708.86	+18.34	52.64%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcirley Alves 27.0, Gustavo Oliveira 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcirley Alves 91, Gustavo Oliveira 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hernandes vs Rodriguez (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 17, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#8UFC] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0, -176) vs. [#13][#11UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#3P4P][#7DD][#1MW] Sean Strickland (31-7-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#13LHW] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-02-22: W vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#23MW] Brunno Ferreira (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2025-11-15: W vs. [#24MW] Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#108WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:21 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-176		61.26%
Elo K170	Anthony Hernandez	2061.77	+47.85	56.84%
Elo Modified	Anthony Hernandez	2051.56	+27.58	53.96%
Glicko-1	Anthony Hernandez	2111.38	+11.89	51.71%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	1991.33	+60.71	58.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Anthony Hernandez 32.8, Gregory Rodrigues 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Hernandez 182, Gregory Rodrigues 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#12][#10UFC] Serghei Spivac (18-6-0, +143) vs. [#44][#23UFC] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Serghei Spivac (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#9HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#108HW+] Steven Asplund (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#84HW+] Thomas Petersen (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2025-07-12: W vs. [#167LHW] Austen Lane (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vitor Petrino	-171		60.52%
Elo K170	Serghei Spivac	1842.58	+128.17	67.65%
Elo Modified	Serghei Spivac	1859.96	+109.49	65.26%
Glicko-1	Serghei Spivac	1894.51	+133.75	68.35%
WHR	Serghei Spivac	1776.70	+110.89	65.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Serghei Spivac 31.6, Vitor Petrino 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serghei Spivac 182, Vitor Petrino 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#13][#12UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0, +287) vs. [#21][#16UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0, -367)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#11MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#10MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-03-15: W vs. [#29MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (1-2-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#8LHW] Robert Whittaker (27-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Reinier de Ridder	-367		75.25%
Elo K170	Reinier de Ridder	1915.96	+60.77	58.66%
Elo Modified	Reinier de Ridder	1894.31	+18.84	52.71%
Glicko-1	Roman Dolidze	1949.19	+4.39	50.63%
WHR	Reinier de Ridder	1860.39	+38.22	55.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 38.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 154, Reinier de Ridder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#25)

Posted on August 13, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry (08-15-2026)

Posted on August 10, 2026 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1P4P][#1][#1UFC] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0, -357) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Ian Garry (17-1-0, +279)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#7WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#10WW] Belal Muhammad (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#3WW] Carlos Prates (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [*] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-357		74.74%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2597.15	+328.45	86.88%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2519.16	+315.48	86.01%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2649.55	+393.66	90.60%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2442.81	+350.33	88.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.8, Ian Garry 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 273, Ian Garry 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Mackenzie Dern (16-5-0, -263) vs. [#11P4P][#5][#5UFC] Gillian Robertson (17-8-0, +207)
Mackenzie Dern is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Lemos (15-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#72SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mackenzie Dern	-263		68.98%
Elo K170	Mackenzie Dern	1840.66	+80.73	61.41%
Elo Modified	Mackenzie Dern	1809.16	+46.00	56.58%
Glicko-1	Mackenzie Dern	1825.60	+30.04	54.31%
WHR	Mackenzie Dern	1688.65	+29.06	54.17%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mackenzie Dern 33.4, Gillian Robertson 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 294, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#26][#19UFC] Charles Johnson (19-9-0, +280) vs. [#39][#24UFC] Jose Ochoa (9-2-0, -380)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 3
2026-03-14: W vs. [#44FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#97FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#132FLY] Cody Durden (18-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jose Ochoa	-380		75.04%
Elo K170	Charles Johnson	1678.72	+123.75	67.09%
Elo Modified	Charles Johnson	1643.52	+61.20	58.72%
Glicko-1	Charles Johnson	1643.95	+41.64	55.96%
WHR	Jose Ochoa	1620.89	+16.48	52.37%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 35.6, Jose Ochoa 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 49, Jose Ochoa 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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What Fight Metrics Can and Cannot Tell Us About an Upcoming MMA Matchup

Posted on August 10, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Mixed martial arts invites prediction.

Before almost every significant fight, fans compare records, recent performances, knockout percentages, takedown numbers, opponent quality and rankings in an attempt to answer one apparently simple question: who is more likely to win?

Modern MMA data makes that analysis much more sophisticated than it was a decade ago. Fight databases, advanced statistics and rating systems can help identify meaningful differences between two competitors before they enter the cage.

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New Feature: Winless Streak Breakers

Posted on August 7, 2026 by Jason

Check out the new page: Winless Streak Breakers

This page lists fighters who broke 5+ fight winless streaks in the 90 days preceding the data update. This data will be updated along with the weekly rankings.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#24)

Posted on August 7, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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