David Teymur’s counterstriking makes him a scary fighter in UFC’s lightweight division. His Muay Thai skills, built up over many years, are vital to his MMA success. Teymur’s strong left hand, great timing, and smart distance control make him tough to beat. He’s really good at figuring out what his opponents will do and using it against them.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley (12-14-2024)
Welterweight (170)
[#5] Colby Covington (17-4-0, +212) vs. [#9] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0, -264)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Leon Edwards (22-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#80WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#18WW] Vicente Luque (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Joaquin Buckley | -264 | 69.35% | |
Elo K170 | Colby Covington | 2244.12 | +162.96 | 71.87% |
Elo Modified | Colby Covington | 2179.50 | +135.34 | 68.55% |
Glicko-1 | Colby Covington | 2244.79 | +92.60 | 63.02% |
WHR | Colby Covington | 1960.38 | +28.86 | 54.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 364, Joaquin Buckley 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#40] Cub Swanson (30-14-0, +132) vs. [#44] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0, -159)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#21BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#25FW] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Billy Quarantillo | -159 | 58.75% | |
Elo K170 | Cub Swanson | 1678.39 | +57.33 | 58.18% |
Elo Modified | Cub Swanson | 1726.26 | +89.49 | 62.60% |
Glicko-1 | Cub Swanson | 1764.50 | +100.94 | 64.13% |
WHR | Cub Swanson | 1655.95 | +52.07 | 57.44% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 168, Billy Quarantillo 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#13] Manel Kape (19-7-0, -302) vs. [#21] Bruno Silva (14-6-2, +239)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#202BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Manel Kape | -302 | 71.80% | |
Elo K170 | Manel Kape | 1739.07 | +45.52 | 56.51% |
Elo Modified | Manel Kape | 1748.75 | +64.63 | 59.20% |
Glicko-1 | Manel Kape | 1810.78 | +61.47 | 58.75% |
WHR | Manel Kape | 1735.25 | +34.18 | 54.90% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 140, Bruno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Manel Kape leads 1-0
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Keep Reading
Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
Friday, April 4th 2025: Invicta FC 61: Ferreira vs. Palacios | |||
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Last Fight Date: 9/20/2024 [Invicta FC] Last Opponent: [#5 W105] Andressa Romero Last 5: L W W W W | Last Fight Date: 12/13/2024 [Invicta FC] Last Opponent: [NR] Monique Adriane Last 5: L L W W W | ||
Saturday, March 29th 2025: RIZIN 50 | |||
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Last Fight Date: 12/08/2024 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [NR] Rikito Tago Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 9/16/2024 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [NR] Rikito Tago Last 5: W W W L W | ||
Sunday, March 23rd 2025: Deep - Jewels 48 | |||
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Last Fight Date: 11/17/2024 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [NR] Yu Ri Shim Last 5: L L W L W | Last Fight Date: 12/22/2024 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [NR] Akari Kamise Last 5: W W L W W |
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[#5 LW] | ![]() |   | [#1 LHW] | ![]() |
[#2 LHW] | ![]() |   | [#13 W135] | ![]() |
[#4 MW] | ![]() |   | [NR] | ![]() |
[#1 HW] | ![]() |   | [#1 LW] | ![]() |
[#44 FLW] | ![]() |   | [#18 LW] | ![]() |

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
In the green so far….
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
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