A main event goes up at -250 and +200. Somebody in a forum thread converts the favourite to 71.4% and treats that as the market’s opinion. It is a reasonable thing to do and it is wrong, in a direction that quietly distorts every comparison you make afterwards.
The fix takes about thirty seconds and it changes how you read a fight card.
Lightweight (155)
[#10][#9UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (26-4-0, +120) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Quillan Salkilld (12-1-0, -146)
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2026-04-11: W vs. [#68LW] Esteban Ribovics (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2025-10-11: L vs. [#9DD][#3LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:48 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#53LW] Ludovit Klein (24-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#141LW] Jamie Mullarkey (18-9-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:02 of round 1
2025-10-25: W vs. [#67LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Quillan Salkilld | -146 | 56.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2078.89 | +112.78 | 65.68% |
| Elo Modified | Mateusz Gamrot | 2083.63 | +145.68 | 69.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2152.24 | +168.17 | 72.47% |
| WHR | Mateusz Gamrot | 1997.84 | +151.02 | 70.46% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Gamrot 35.6, Quillan Salkilld 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 119, Quillan Salkilld 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Quillan Salkilld leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#45][#26UFC] Diego Ferreira (19-7-0, -172) vs. [*] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0, +141)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#40LW] Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 2
2025-01-18: L vs. [#21LW] Grant Dawson (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#62LW] Mateusz Rebecki (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [*] Cub Swanson (32-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:36 of round 3
2024-03-23: L vs. [#12FW] Youssef Zalal (18-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [#114FW] Damon Jackson (23-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Ferreira | -172 | 60.38% | |
| Elo K170 | Diego Ferreira | 1799.42 | +249.54 | 80.79% |
| Elo Modified | Diego Ferreira | 1826.04 | +232.29 | 79.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Diego Ferreira | 1885.28 | +288.56 | 84.04% |
| WHR | Diego Ferreira | 1704.91 | +166.36 | 72.26% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Ferreira 41.5, Billy Quarantillo 37.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 329, Billy Quarantillo 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Billy Quarantillo leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#102][#49UFC] Yadier Del Valle (10-1-0, -694) vs. [*] Darren Elkins (29-12-0, +486)
Last 3 Fights: Yadier Del Valle (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#82FW] Jordan Leavitt (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#318FW] Isaac Dulgarian (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#743FW] Connor Matthews (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#109FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Daniel Pineda (28-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#159LW] T.J. Brown (21-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:23 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Yadier Del Valle | -694 | 83.66% | |
| Elo K170 | Darren Elkins | 1651.46 | +61.79 | 58.80% |
| Elo Modified | Darren Elkins | 1656.83 | +17.07 | 52.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Darren Elkins | 1685.13 | +44.24 | 56.33% |
| WHR | Yadier Del Valle | 1637.60 | +82.33 | 61.63% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadier Del Valle 30.0, Darren Elkins 42.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadier Del Valle 168, Darren Elkins 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
| Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri | |||
 [#5 FW] A.J. McKee |  [#6 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#20 FW] Salamat Isbulaev Last 5: W L W W W | Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#255 FW] Yuta Kubo Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri | |||
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina |  [#17 W105] Rena Kubota | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#9 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 12/31/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#2 W105] Seika Izawa Last 5: W L W W L | ||
| Friday, October 16th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Chicago 2: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 | |||
| [#6 W125] Liz Carmouche | [#14 W125] Jena Bishop | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#15 W125] Viviane Araujo Last 5: L W W W W | Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#38 W125] Ariane Lipski da Silva Last 5: W W L W W | ||
| [#15 LW] |  Salahdine Parnasse | [#20 LW] |  Dan Hooker | |
| [#45 LW] | Axel Sola | [#67 LW] | Fares Ziam | |
| [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev | [#28 FW] |  Pavel Andrusca | |
| [#188 FLW] | Michael Aljarouj | [#38 FW] |  Losene Keita | |
| [#95 MW] | Matthieu Letho Duclos | [#90 FW] |  Muhammadjon Naimov |
In this episode of the Cage & Ring Podcast, we sit down with Chris Lofton – a brown belt in Judo, and competitor under the United States Judo Federation. He is known for mentoring junior students on the mat. Chris opens up about his Judo journey: how he got started, why proper falling technique matters far beyond the dojo, and the throw he’s become known for. We talk about competition life, training his daughter, and what he believes is the most effective art for real self-defense. We also get into the Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano fight, MMA vs. Judo misconceptions, and the advice Chris would give anyone just starting out. A conversation about mentorship, fundamentals, and what martial arts can teach you both on the mat and off it.
*Subscribe to Cage & Ring Podcast for new episodes
When you look for online casino games, you will often see the term Return to Player (RTP). Many people notice bright colors and fun bonus parts first, but RTP is among the most important things in your gaming over time. If you know how RTP works, you can decide what games to play and not just guess or believe wrong ideas.
You are halfway through dinner when a friend sends a message about a fight that has already started. The television is off, the phone is across the room, and suddenly the evening feels slightly out of sync. Following boxing and combat sports from Malaysia takes more than remembering a headline because cards move, start times stretch, and international broadcasts rarely fit neatly around local routines. A few practical habits can make the whole thing less frustrating.
The internet has become an essential part of modern life, offering access to an incredible variety of information, educational materials, entertainment, and professional resources. Whether you’re researching a topic, learning a new skill, shopping online, or keeping up with current events, knowing how to explore online resources effectively can save time and improve the quality of the information you find. With millions of websites luxury138 available, developing smart browsing habits is essential for making the most of your online experience.
I don’t usually talk much about my own story, but it’s a big part of why PUNCH TRUNK exists.
When I was 16, I spent a year living in a hostel. It was a turning point in my life. During that time I made a decision that I wanted to build something better for myself and, if I could, help other people do the same.
For years, brands believed that bigger prizes automatically led to better giveaway results.
The logic seemed straightforward. Offer a high-value reward, attract more participants, and generate more attention. While expensive prizes can certainly increase visibility, many businesses are discovering that they don’t always create meaningful engagement or long-term customer loyalty.
UFC betting markets can shift quicker than lots of conventional sporting activities. Within a few minutes, odds can change drastically due to a rumor of an injury, trouble with weight loss, or a training camp disruption. In some instances, those moves are driven by the right information coming to market. In other instances, it could signal that a certain small crowd of bettors knows something that the rest of the world doesn’t.
Run enough fight cards through a rating model and a pattern emerges that is mildly humbling for anyone who builds them. The betting line is usually closer to the truth than the algorithm is.
Not always. Not by a lot. But consistently enough that it is worth asking what the market has access to that a rating system does not.
An Elo or Glicko implementation answers a specific question. Based on results against common opposition, adjusted for opponent quality and recency, who is the better fighter?
That is a good question. It is also not the question a betting market is answering.
Ask a casual fan how MMA fights end and the answer is a knockout. Ask the database and the answer is a decision, by a comfortable margin.
One study of 8,591 UFC bouts running through late March 2026 puts decisions at 46.8% of all outcomes, against 32.6% for KO or TKO and 19.3% for submissions. Finishes account for 51.9%, close enough to a coin flip that treating them as the default is simply wrong.
One more figure from that dataset before the divisions: the average fight lasted 10 minutes 37 seconds, while the median was 13 minutes 48 seconds. A mean sitting three minutes below the median means the distribution is skewed by early stoppages, so anyone reasoning about fight length from the average is describing a fight that mostly does not happen.
JQK Malaysia offers a transparent and user-friendly platform ideal for independent bettors valuing control and flexibility. It features diverse gaming options including sports betting, live casino, and lottery, catering to a wide range of preferences. The site is intuitive and accessible across devices, supported by responsive customer service available via multiple channels. Strong security measures guarantee user data protection while maintaining ease of use. Those interested in a detailed evaluation will find further insights ahead.
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Hosted by Salita Promotions
Undisputed heavyweight champion Claressa Shields (18-0, 3 KOs) headlines the first women’s main event in State Farm Arena history. Shields is moving down to middleweight to challenge unified WBC/WBA champion Kaye Scott. It will be streamed on DAZN.
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
