UFC betting is a challenging issue for any oddsmaker. Fights occur on a relatively rare basis, styles can lead to unexpected matchups, injuries are not always transparent and a single clean punch can change a number of rounds. While AI has the potential to analyze a wealth of data that a human bettor simply could not, this does not necessarily translate to better pricing of a fight.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse (09-05-2026)
Lightweight (155)
[#15][#13UFC] Dan Hooker (24-14-0, +409) vs. [#29] Salahdine Parnasse (23-2-0, -567)
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (1-2-0)
2026-01-31: L vs. [#10LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 2
2025-11-22: L vs. [#4LW] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-08-17: W vs. [#13LW] Mateusz Gamrot (26-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Salahdine Parnasse (3-0-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#123LW] Kenneth Cross (17-5-0) via KO in 4:18 of round 1
2026-01-17: W vs. [#127LW] Marcin Held (31-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 2
2025-05-10: W vs. [#172LW] Marian Ziolkowski (26-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Salahdine Parnasse | -567 | 81.22% | |
| Elo K170 | Salahdine Parnasse | 2065.29 | +74.13 | 60.51% |
| Elo Modified | Salahdine Parnasse | 2059.77 | +167.85 | 72.44% |
| Glicko-1 | Salahdine Parnasse | 2157.17 | +251.49 | 80.97% |
| WHR | Salahdine Parnasse | 2006.89 | +258.77 | 81.60% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dan Hooker 36.5, Salahdine Parnasse 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 217, Salahdine Parnasse 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Lightweight (155)
[#46][#27UFC] Fares Ziam (18-5-0, -158) vs. [#82][#43UFC] Axel Sola (12-1-1, +130)
Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2026-06-06: L vs. [#37LW] Tom Nolan (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#109LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-3-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#163LW] Mike Davis (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Axel Sola (2-1-0)
2026-07-25: W vs. [#190LW] Ismael Bonfim (20-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:44 of round 1
2026-03-21: L vs. [#75LW] Mason Jones (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#93MW] Rhys McKee (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Fares Ziam | -158 | 58.47% | |
| Elo K170 | Fares Ziam | 1835.65 | +86.79 | 62.24% |
| Elo Modified | Fares Ziam | 1810.71 | +30.66 | 54.40% |
| Glicko-1 | Fares Ziam | 1842.93 | +10.87 | 51.57% |
| WHR | Fares Ziam | 1745.70 | +6.12 | 50.88% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.4, Axel Sola 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 91, Axel Sola 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Welterweight (170)
[#12][#12UFC] Michael Page (25-3-0, -177) vs. [#40MW][#27MWUFC] Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2, +145)
Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#55WW] Sam Patterson (15-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#15MW] Jared Cannonier (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#22MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2026-06-27: W vs. [#178MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-5-0) via NC in 3:58 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#53MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#97MW] Eric McConico (11-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Michael Page | -177 | 61.01% | |
| Elo K170 | Michael Page | 2146.11 | +323.50 | 86.56% |
| Elo Modified | Michael Page | 2140.53 | +305.71 | 85.32% |
| Glicko-1 | Michael Page | 2190.49 | +256.90 | 81.44% |
| WHR | Michael Page | 2034.86 | +218.36 | 77.85% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Page 39.4, Nursulton Ruziboev 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 168, Nursulton Ruziboev 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading
Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
| Friday, October 16th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Chicago 2: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2 | |||
 [#6 W125] Liz Carmouche | [#14 W125] Jena Bishop | ||
|
| |||
| Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#16 W125] Viviane Araujo Last 5: L W W W W | Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#37 W125] Ariane Lipski da Silva Last 5: W W L W W | ||
| Thursday, December 31st 2026: Rizin FF New Years Eve Event | |||
 [#5 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev |  [#17 FW] Kyoma Akimoto | ||
|
| |||
| Last Fight Date: 9/10/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#7 FW] A.J. McKee Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 8/11/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#26 FW] Kleber Koike Erbst Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| Saturday, November 14th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Returns to Dubai: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy | |||
 [#6 HW] Vadim Nemkov | [#16 HW] Sergey Bilostenniy | ||
|
| |||
| Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 5/02/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#20 HW] Renan Ferreira Last 5: W W L W W | ||
Featured Fighters
| [#1 FLW] |  Joshua Van | [#172 HW] | Sean Sharaf | |
| [#4 LW] |  Arman Tsarukyan | [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev | |
| [#9 LW] |  Mauricio Ruffy | [#8 HW] | Josh Hokit | |
| [#256 HW] | Gable Steveson | [#3 FLW] | Alexandre Pantoja | |
| [#5 FW] | Rajabali Shaidullaev | [#13 FW] | Patricio Freire |
From the Tale of the Tape to the Roulette Table: Why Numbers Drive the Experience
Image source: Pexels
Combat sports turn bodies into columns. Height, reach, age, record, significant strikes, and takedown accuracy sit beside the fighters before the cage door closes. Roulette does something similar with a completely different kind of drama: 37 or 38 numbered pockets, a field of possible bets, and a result that arrives in one small ball’s final movement.
7 Fight-Night Numbers That Matter More Than a Fighter’s Record
How to Read MMA and Boxing Form Before the Opening Bell
Fight week is full of numbers: records, rankings, reach, striking percentages and betting odds. Fans who also compare gambling promotions around major events may come across an nd bonus, a type of offer that can be claimed without making an initial deposit and therefore needs to be judged by its wagering rules, withdrawal limits and eligibility rather than by the headline value alone. The same principle applies to fight analysis. A 15-2 record can look impressive, but without knowing the quality of opposition, recent form and style matchups, the number tells only part of the story.
How QQMacan Delivers a Seamless Gaming Experience Through Connected User Interaction
The evolution of online gaming has changed what players expect from a digital platform. Having a large selection of games is no longer enough to create a compelling experience. Users increasingly expect fast navigation, convenient access across devices, straightforward account management, efficient transactions, and responsive support. These expectations have made connected user interaction an important part of modern gaming ecosystems.
From the KRONK Gym to Probate Court: Securing the Legacy of Tommy Hearns
The KRONK Era: Blueprint of a Legend
Thomas “Tommy” Hearns is a boxing icon. Fans know him as “The Hitman”. He fought out of Detroit’s legendary KRONK Gym. Emanuel Steward trained him. The gym was an unforgiving environment. It forged highly disciplined fighters. Hearns was a physical anomaly. He stood 6-foot-1 as a welterweight. He utilized a massive 78-inch reach. His left jab measured distance. While his right cross ended fights. Tommy won world titles in five weight divisions; he fought legends like Sugar Ray Leonard and Roberto Duran. His career earned him over $40 million in prize money.
This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#27)
Still trying to get out of this hole…
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
How to Choose a Martial Art That Matches Your Personal Goals
Choosing a martial art becomes much easier when you begin with a clear purpose.
Some people want practical self-defence skills, while others aim to improve fitness, sharpen mental focus, compete, or become part of a supportive training community.
Each discipline develops a different mix of movement, strategy, conditioning, and personal qualities. By comparing these elements with your interests, schedule, and physical preferences, you can choose a practice that keeps you motivated for years.
Why MMA Underdogs Are Harder to Price Than Underdogs in Team Sports
An underdog is expected to lose. That is why the odds offer a bigger return if they win. But setting the right odds can be difficult.
Football, basketball, and other team sports provide huge amounts of data. MMA fighters compete far less often. A single punch can also end a fight that seemed to be going in one direction. For these reasons, pricing an MMA underdog can involve much more uncertainty.